1 / 29

Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

Deyr 2010/11. Information for Better Livelihoods. Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia. January 26, 2011. Gedo Region. Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC. EUROPEAN COMMISSION. Deyr 2010/11 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations.

aurora
Download Presentation

Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. Deyr 2010/11 Information for Better Livelihoods Food Security and Nutrition Analysis Unit Somalia January 26, 2011 Gedo Region Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation SDC EUROPEAN COMMISSION

  2. Deyr 2010/11 Seasonal Assessment Coverage Field Access and Field Data Locations Normal access in all livelihood zones and districts of Gedo region

  3. Main Livelihood Groups Sources of Food and Income • Livelihood Groups & Main Sources of Food and Income • 2 Pastoral Livelihoods (Southern Inland and Dawa Pastoralists) • Primary sources of income of poor: sale of livestock & livestock products • Primary sources of food of poor: purchase and own production • Primary livelihood assets of poor: camel, cattle and sheep/goat • 2 Agropastoral Livelihoods (Southern Agropastoral and Bay Agropastoral High Potential) • Southern Agropastoral are more pastoral than agriculturalists. Main sources of income: sale of livestock & livestock products, self-employment (fodder and bush products sales); main sources of food: purchase and own production • Gedo Agropastoral High potential are more agriculturalists than pastoralists. Main sources of income: sale of crops, livestock products and labour; main sources of food: own crop production and purchases. • Riverine Livelihood (Juba riverine pump irrigation) are agriculturalists. Main sources of income: sale of crops and labour; main sources of food: purchase and own crop production.

  4. Climate Performance of the Deyr 2010/11 Rainfall • Overall statement: Unfavourable climate in the • region with below normal rainfall in most • livelihoods of the region. • Start of Season: started on time • Temporal and Spatial Distribution: Poor rainfall with low intensity and inadequate duration, frequency and amount in the entire region. • Near average rains received in pockets of the north: Luuq district (Qoroyaale, Haarxoday and Galiya villages) received good rains in 3rd dekad of October (40 – 60% of normal) and 1st dekad of November.

  5. Climate Vegetation Conditions NDVI LTM Trend Analysis by district/ land cover

  6. Civil Insecurity • Civil Security Situation: • Conflict incidents occurred in October at Belethawa town. • Militia build-up on the other side of the border (Ethiopian side) likely to cause another confrontation • Direct and Indirect Impacts on Food Security & Nutrition: • Displacement towards the main villages off the region and Mandera (Kenya). • Imposed restrictions on trade movement in Gedo, with Belethawa and its surroundings to be most affected. Source: FSNAU & Protection Cluster

  7. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Crop Production Estimates

  8. AgricultureRegional Deyr 2010/11 Cereal Production Trends Deyr Cereal Production Trends (1995 – 2010) Annual Cereal Production Trends (1995 – 2010)

  9. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Cash Crop Production Estimates

  10. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Good Crop Onion Harvest. Hiloshiid, Bardera, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Good Maize Crop for Fodder. Bakalarose, Garbaharey, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec . 10 Riverine Labour Availability. Hamare, Dolow , Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. 10 Complete Crop’Failure. Tubaako, Bardhere, Gedo; FSNAU, Dec. 10

  11. Agriculture Deyr 2010/11Local Cereal Cereal flow : Sorghum comes from Bay, though the supply reduced following the crop failure in Bay region. Maize is supplied from Dolow Adde (Ethiopia side)

  12. Agriculture Regional Trends in Cereal Prices Regional Trend in Sorghum Prices (Bardhere) • Factors Influencing Sorghum Prices: • Sorghum crop failure in all agro pastoral livelihoods of the region • Reduction of sorghum inflow from Bay region following the sorghum harvest failure. Regional Trend in Sorghum Prices (Luuq)

  13. Agriculture Regional Trends in Daily Labour Wages • Regional Trend Daily Labour Rate (Bardhere) • Factors Influencing Wage Labour: • Increased agricultural labour activities in riverine livelihoods as a result of interventions (canal rehabilitation, bush clearance, etc.) from last Gu season • High inflow of casual labourers from agropastoral zones and neighboring regions (Bay, Bakool) into the riverine areas pushing the labour wages down. • Regional Trend in Daily Labour Rate • (Luuq)

  14. Agriculture Regional Trends in Terms of Trade (Labour/Cereal) Regional Trend in Daily Labour Rate / Sorghum (Bardhere): 6 kg/daily wage • Factors Influencing ToT: • High sorghum prices. • Decrease in labour wage rates. Regional Trend in Daily Labour Rate/ Sorghum (Luuq): 8 kg/daily wage

  15. Livestock Rangeland Conditions, Water and Livestock Migration • Deterioration of both pasture and water conditions. • Abnormal migration of livestock to Juba and Ethiopia (Weeb and Mooyaale) • Deteriorating livestock body condition, with the exception of camel.

  16. Livestock Deyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Medium Camel Body Condition. Garbahaarey, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. 10. Deteriorating Cattle Body Condition. Ceelcade, Garbahaarey, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. 10. Empty Communal Water Catchment. Balanbaal, Ceelwaq, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. 10. Low Water Availability. El-Ma’aw, Garbaharey Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. 10.

  17. Livestock Trends in Livestock Holdings and Milk Production

  18. Livestock Regional Trends in Local Goat Prices Regional Trends in Local Quality Goat Prices (Bardhere) • Factors Influencing L.Goats Prices: • Poor livestock body conditions • Low demand on livestock after the end of Hajj period. Regional Trends in Local Quality Goat Prices (Luuq)

  19. Livestock Regional Trends in Terms of Trade (Goat/Cereal) Regional Trends in Terms of Trade between local goat/red sorghum (Bardhere) • Factors Influencing ToT • High cereal prices • Decreased livestock prices due to poor body conditions and high supply on the markets. Regional Trends in Terms of Trade between local goat/red sorghum (Luuq)

  20. Markets Trends in Imported Commodity Prices Gedo: Imported Commodity Prices compared to Exchange Rate • Prices of most imported commodities remained relatively stable in the last six months • Factors Influencing Commercial Import Prices: • Increased commercial imports after the end of Monsoon season • Removal of road check-points between Mogadishu and Gedo. • Improved road accessibility (Mido Road).

  21. Nutrition Summary of Nutrition Findings

  22. Nutrition Nutrition Situation Estimates Nutrition Situation Estimates, January 2011 Nutrition Situation Estimates, August 2010

  23. IPCSummary Progression of Rural IPC Situation MAP 3: LIVELIOOD ZONES MAP 1: IPC, Gu 2010 MAP 2: IPC, Deyr 2010/11 • Key IPC Reference Outcomes: North Gedo: Dawa Pastoral - AFLCWatch, 75% P AFLC; Southern Agro-pastoral - 50% P AFLC & 50% P HE, Watch; Riverine – AFLC 50% P), Watch ; South Gedo: Riverine – BFI Watch, Southern Inland Pastoral - BFI with Moderate Risk; Gedo Agropastoral HP- AFLC 50% P AFLC, Watch; Southern Agropastoral - 50% Poor AFLC, Watch • Acute malnutrition: Very Critical in Riverine, Pastoral and Agropastoral (deterioration from Deyr ’09/10) • Food Access: In north Gedo: unable to meet 2100 kcal ppp day • Water Access: inadequate in the hinterland pastoral area. • Destitution/Displacement: No direct displacement for all rural livelihoods. • Coping: Deteriorating coping strategies • Livelihood Assets: Livestock is deteriorating, cattle herd size significantly below BL • Main Contributing Factors: • Significantly reduced cereal production (22% of PWA) with a complete sorghum failure. • Poor pasture and water access/availability • Decreasing trend for cattle and sheep/goat (< 30% of baseline levels) but sustained camel herds • Decreased livestock reproduction and low milk production • Increased cereal prices and deteriorated terms of trade (6 –8kg of sorghum/daily wage and 40 –42kg of sorghum/goat) • Decreased number of saleable animals and reduced livestock prices • Abnormal livestock migration (towards Juba and Somali State of Ethiopia) and reduced milk availability

  24. IPCEstimated Rural Population in AFLC & HE by Districts

  25. IPCEstimated Rural Population in AFLC & HE by Livelihood Zones

  26. IPCEstimated Urban Population in AFLC & HE by District

  27. LivestockDeyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Trucked Water. ElWak, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Poor Cattle Condition. Bardheera, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Poor Cattle Body Condition. Luuq, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Near Average Camel Body Condition. ElWak, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10

  28. AgricultureDeyr 2010/11 Assessment Photos Maize Crop For Fodder. Luuq, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 A crop failure in Agropastoral. Bardheera, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Good Onion Crop. Luuq, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10 Good Cash Crops. Luuq, Gedo, FSNAU, Dec. ‘10

  29. The End

More Related