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Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODEL PART 20B: AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK FOR GLOBAL FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE. Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA . FRAMEWORK 1 A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE ON GLOBAL DISASTERS AND DISASTER RESILIENCE.

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Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

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  1. THE GLOBAL DISASTER LABORATORY MODELPART 20B: AN INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK FOR GLOBAL FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA 

  2. FRAMEWORK 1A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY DIALOGUE ON GLOBAL DISASTERS AND DISASTER RESILIENCE

  3. 1. SCOPE FROM VULNERABLE CONTINUUMS TO A DISASTER TO DISASTER RESILIENT COMMUNITIES THROUGH IMPLEMENTATION OF “THE BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES” OF DISASTER RESILIENCE

  4. A DISASTER is --- --- the set of failures that occur when the continuums of: 1)  people, 2) community (i.e., a set of habitats, livelihoods, and social constructs), and 3) recurring events (e.g., floods, earthquakes, ...,) intersect at a point in space and time, when and where the people and community are not ready.  

  5. THREE DYNAMIC CONTINUUMS • PEOPLE (7+ Billion and counting) • COMMUNITIES • RECURRING EVENTS (AKA Natural Hazards, which are proof of a DYNAMIC EARTH)

  6. PEOPLE = INNOVATION SUB-SAHARA AFRICA CARIBBEAN BASIN EUROPE 200 NATIONS AND 7+ BILLION PEOPLE NORTH AMERICA MEDITER- RANEAN SOUTH AMERICA ISLAND NATIONS ASIA

  7. INTERSECTION OF THESE CONTINUUMS IS INEVITABLE SOME INTERSECTIONS WILL CAUSE A DISASTER, AND SOME WON’T

  8. THE PEOPLE CONTINUUM • 7 + BILLION (DISTRIBUTED THROUGHOUT THE WORLD)

  9. LIKE AN INFINITE SERIES: a continuum OF INNOVATION NEVER ENDS

  10. LIKE A CHAIN: a continuum HAs WEAK LINKS TO IMPROVE

  11. FOUR UNIVERSAL WEAK-LINKS • IGNORANCE • APATHY • DISCIPLINARY BOUNDARIES • LACK OF POLITICAL WILL

  12. THE COMMUNITY CONTINUUM: (SOCIAL CONSTRUCTS TO BENEFIT THE PEOPLE) • GOVERNMENT • DWELLINGS • SCHOOLS • HEALTH CARE FACILITIES • BUSINESSES • INFRA-STRUCTURE • ETC

  13. EACH COMMUNITY MUST BE READY FOR THE INEVITABLE INTERSECTION THAT WILL CHALLENGE ITS STATE-OF-RESILIENCE

  14. THE RECURRING - EVENTS CONTINUUM • FLOODS • SEVERE WINDSTORMS • EARTHQUAKES • DROUGHTS • VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS • ETC.

  15. RECURRING EARTHQUAKES

  16. RECURRING TROPICAL STORMS TYPHOONS, HURRICANES, AND CYCLONES

  17. RECURRING FLOODS

  18. RECURRING DROUGHT EPISODES

  19. RECURRING VOLCANIC ERUPTIONS

  20. CURRENT KNOWLEDGE IS DEFINED BY ANECTDOTAL, EMPIRICAL, LINEAR, NON-LINEAR, STATISTICAL, FUZZY, PROBABILISTIC, . . . AND THEORETICAL MODELS HAVING DIVIDES, GAPS, AND UNCERTAINTIES

  21. FRAMEWORK 2A COMPREHENSIVE, INTER-DISCIPLINARY INTEGRATION OF KNOWLEDGE FORTHE END GAME OF DISASTER RESILIENCE IN THE 21ST CENTURY

  22. POLICIES AND PRACTICES FOR DISASTER RESILIENCE Anticipatory Preparedness Adoption and Implementation of a Modern Engineering Building Codes & Standards Timely Early Warning and Evacuation Timely Emergency Response (including Emergency Medical Services) Cost-Effective Recovery/Reconstruction

  23. FLOODS • SEVERE WIND STORMS • EARTHQUAKES …ETC • BEST POLICIES • BEST PRACTICES A DISASTER DISASTER RESILIENCE FAILURES IN POLICIES CAUSES FAILURES IN PRACTICES COUNTER MEASURES YOUR COMMUNITY DATA BASES AND INFORMATION HAZARDS: GROUND SHAKING GROUND FAILURE SURFACE FAULTING TECTONIC DEFORMATION TSUNAMI RUN UP AFTERSHOCKS

  24. THE END GAME CHALLENGEBEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES INNIVATIVE ACTIONS: CREATE, ADJUST, AND REALIGN PROGRAMS, PARTNERS AND PEOPLE UNTIL YOU HAVE CREATED THE PARA-DIGM SHIFTS THAT ARE NEEDED FOR MOVING TOWARDS DISASTER RESILIENCE

  25. BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL IDENTIFY/CLOSE KNOWLEDGE DIVIDES AND GAPS, AND IDENTIFY/FIX WEAK LINKS IN THE PEOPLE/COMMUNITY CONTINUUMS

  26. BEST POLICIES AND BEST PRACTICES WILL CALL FOR INNOVATIVE USE OF TECHNOLOGY AND STRATEGIC PLANNING

  27. THE STATE-OF-RESILIENCE WILL INCREASE EXPONEBTIALLY AS --- a) The CAPACITY of the PEOPLE is increased, b) Physical and organizational VULNERABILITIES in the COMMUNITY are eliminated, and c) Each people-community-hazard INTERSECTION is met successfully.

  28. FLOODS

  29. INNOVATIVE PREPAREDNESSUSE GLOBAL FLOOD DISASTER LABORATORIES AS A BASIS FOR PREPARING FROM “A” (Emergency Response) TO “Z” (Recovery and Reconstruction)

  30. EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES

  31. REAL TIME WEATHER FORCASTING AND WARNING SYSTEMS MEASURMENT TECHNOLOGIES (E.G., STREAM GAGUES) RISK MODELING (E.G., HAZUS, INSURANCE UNDERWRITING) DATABASES MAPS: 100-YEAR AND 500-YEAR FLOODS FLOOD DISASTER SCENARIOS DRONE PLANES HAZMAT MANAGEMENT EMERGING TECHNOLOGIES FOR FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE

  32. FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCETRATEGIES

  33. PURPOSE PREVENTION PROTECTION URBAN PLANNING TECHNIQUE DRAINAGE BASIN MANAGEMENT FLOOD CONTROL (DIKES, LEVEES, AND DAMS) HAZARD MAPS (RISK ZONES) RISK REDUCTION STRATEGIES FOR FLOODS

  34. DRAINAGE BASINMANAGEMENT • WETLANDS AND , UPSTREAM RESERVOIRS REDUCE THE VOLUME OF WATER REACHING DOWNSTREAM LOCATIONS

  35. PROTECTIONUSE MODERN ENGINEERING DESIGN AND CONSTRUCTION TECHNOLOGIES TO PROTECT THE PEOPLE AND IMPORTANT INFRASTRUCTURE AND TO FIX PHYSICAL VULNERABILITIES IN THE COMMUNITY

  36. DIKES, LEVEES, AND DAMS • BUILDING AND MAINTAINING DIKES, LEVEES, AND DAMS IN CONCERT WITH WETLANDS AND RESERVOIRS CAN CONTROL SERVERITY OF FLOODING .

  37. EXAMPLE: THE LEVEE SYSTEM IN QUINCY, IL: FLOOD CONTROL • THE 154-MILE-LONG LEVEE SYSTEM IS DESIGNED TO REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD AND SEVERITY OF FLOODS ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.

  38. EXAMPLE: THREE GORGES DAM, CHINA: FLOOD CONTROL • THE GREATEST ENGINEERING FEAT IN CHINA SINCE THE GREAT WALLIS DESIGNED TO REDUCE THE LIKELIHOOD AND SEVERITY OF FLOODS ON THE YANGTZE RIVER.

  39. THREE GORGES DAM: 2309 M LONG, 190 M HIGH, 15 M THICK

  40. YANGTZE RIVER

  41. FLOODING: YANGTZE RIVER • Historical records indicate that in 2,100 years, between the early Han Dynasty and late Qing Dynasty, the Yangzte flooded 214 times, an average of once every 10 years.

  42. YANGTZE RIVER AND THREE GORGES DAM

  43. The Three Gorges Dam is located in Central China's Hubei Province, 600 miles southwest of Beijing. It replaced Brazil's Itaipu Dam as the world's largest hydroelectric and flood-control installation. After 13 years of work and 35 million cubic yards of concrete, the dam reached its full height of 190 m (606 ft) and width of 2,309 m (7,575 ft) across the Yangtze River. THREE GORGES DAM

  44. FLOOD CONTROL ON THE THAME RIVER RIVER: LONDON, ENGLAND

  45. URBAN PLANNING • LAND USE REGULATIONS BASED ON FLOOD HAZARD MAPS CAN PREVENT UNWISE CON-STRUCTION IN RIVER FLOODPLAINS AND IN COASTAL AREAS.

  46. PURPOSE SITE MODIFICATION ALERT/WARNING MONITORING TECHNIQUE EMBANKMENTS; SANDBAGS EVACUATION INTERNATIONAL SPACE STATION; WEATHER RADAR STRATEGIES FOR FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE

  47. PURPOSE RISK ZONES PREPAREDNESS TECHNIQUE STREAM GAGUES; DRONE PLANES 100-500 YEAR FLOOD MAPS, DISASTER SCENARIOS STRATEGIES FOR FLOOD DISASTER RESILIENCE

  48. FORECASTS, ALERTS, AND WARNINGS; EVACUATION • WORKS FOR RIVERINE FLOODS, BUT NOT FOR FLASH FLOODS.

  49. SITE MODIFICATION IN THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN • EMPLACING 2.5 MILLION SAND BAGS REDUCED LOSSES IN THE GREAT 1992 FLOOD

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