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Goals of Workshop

Goals of Workshop. Update of Flash Flood Forecast techniques, systems and approaches in use Today Identify weak links in establishing end to end Flash Flood Forecast systems and how to fill these gaps Showcase best practices and studies

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Goals of Workshop

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  1. Goals of Workshop Update of Flash Flood Forecast techniques, systems and approaches in use Today Identify weak links in establishing end to end Flash Flood Forecast systems and how to fill these gaps Showcase best practices and studies Identify prospective countries, technologies and donors in order to establish projects

  2. End to End Flash Flood Warning and Response System Technology By Curtis Barrett NOAA National Weather Service, USA March 13, 2006

  3. Four day loop Hurricane Mitch

  4. Outline What is an “end to end System?” Steps to Building an end to end Flash Flood Warning System Appropriate Technologies An All Hazards Approach

  5. FORECASTS AND RESPONSE END TO END ALL HAZARDS FORECAST AND WARNING REGIONALAND NATIONAL CENTERS Decision Support Data Communication Forecast Notification Warn people Actions Collect hazard data Transmit Data To Forecast Center Forecast Tsunamis, Typhoons, Floods,droughts Warning Send Warning To Countries at risk EVACUATION Warnings to communities Integrated All Hazard forecasting, warning and response with Tsunami Warning system

  6. Warning Principles • LEAD TIME --A MUST ! • ACCURACY LEADS TO CREDIBILITY • SYSTEM MUST BE RELIABLEl. 7x24

  7. Steps in Building a Flash Flood Warning and Response System • Build Automated Data Network • Establish Robust Communications system that is sustainable • Models can be simple (FFG) • Need Dedicated Coordinator • 24 Hour Operations Center • Warnings must tell people risk and actions • Dissemination system a Must • Preparedness and Response a must • Awareness

  8. Hydrologic Forecast Services Data for Operational Flash Flood Forecasting Satellite Data Precipitation Estimates River Gauge Data Weather Observations Radar Data Snow Cover/ Melt Data Precipitation Forecasts Reservoir Releases Climate Predictions

  9. Flash Flood modeling Approaches • ALERT - Automated Community Systems • Self Help Community Warning Systems • Flash Flood Guidance • Distributed hydrologic models

  10. Flash Flood Models Precip - Gage Precip - Radar Precip - Satellite Flash Flood Forecast System Flash Flood Watch/Warnings Streamflow Weather Forecasts Snowpack

  11. Data and Decision Assistance ToolsFFMP Data Integration

  12. Current Flash Flood Services and Performance Impact of Technology, Training, Expanding Outreach and Dissemination on Flash Flood Services NEXRAD Implementation FFMP Implementation

  13. Users Public Emergency Management Private Sector Government Agencies Academia Methods NOAA Weather Radio NOAAPORT Weather Wire Internet Emergency Managers Weather Information Network (EMWIN) Disseminating Forecasts

  14. FORECASTS AND RESPONSE END TO END ALL HAZARDS FORECAST AND WARNING REGIONALAND NATIONAL CENTERS Decision Support Data Communication Forecast Notification Warn people Actions Collect hazard data Transmit Data To Forecast Center Forecast Tsunamis, Typhoons, Floods,droughts Warning Send Warning To Countries at risk EVACUATION Warnings to communities Integrated All Hazard forecasting, warning and response with Tsunami Warning system

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