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ICES plans 2014 forward

ICES plans 2014 forward. ICES work 2014. Recurrent TAC advice Sandeel 28/2 NS main package 30/6 Rays and skates 30/9 Data limited stocks DLS categories developed and used in advice since 2012

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ICES plans 2014 forward

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  1. ICES plans 2014 forward

  2. ICES work 2014 • Recurrent TAC advice • Sandeel 28/2 • NS main package 30/6 • Rays and skates 30/9 • Data limited stocks • DLS categories developed and used in advice since 2012 • Establish ‘target categories’ for all stocks – proposal has been developed and communicated in DC-MAP process • 2013 – develop risk assessment approach to vulnerable by-catch species – productivity /suceptibility approach • Landing obligation .... • Mixed fisheries ... • Multispecies considerations .... • Overviews - Ecosystem integration ... • Popular advice • Publication of ‘popular advice’ sheets shortly after main advice • Further development of overview and availability • Feed back and suggestions very welcome! • ICES work can be followed • On the external webpage http://www.ices.dk/community/Advisory-process/Pages/default.aspx • In details /real time on sharepointhttp://groupnet.ices.dk/Workplan/default.aspx

  3. Landing obligation • Shift to catch-based advice in 2013 • Further develop catch based advice – data and ecosystem effects • Catch data after landing obligation? • Division of work agreed between ICES and STECF • ICES will develop guidelines for survival estimation experiments to be delivered in 2014

  4. Mixed fisheries advice options

  5. Options outcomes 2013

  6. Mixed fisheries 2015 (advice in 2014)? • All stocks exploited at or below FMSY • = ‘Minimum’ option? • Dialogue to clarify basis with advice recipients (EU, Norway)

  7. Multispecies considerations NS

  8. Multispecies considerations • Fish eat fish – the natural mortalities and growth of one population depends on the size of other populations. North Sea – Cod and Saithe most important predators among exploited fish stocks • Fish populations depend on wider ecosystem regime • All reference points are therefore dependent on other stocks and the ecosystem state – and natural processes become increasingly important at F is reduced • FMSY – no single solution in multispecies/ecosystem context • Policy choices need to be made – what to ‘maximise’ ? • Ecosystem state needs to be specified • FMSY in multispecies context generally higher than those derived from simplistic single-stock approach • Single stock target biomasses illusionary • Biomass not directly controlled by F, will vary with ecological regime • Biomass will depend on stock sizes of other fish stocks • Biomass lower precautionary limits

  9. How to further dialogue? • Multispecies considerations presented to stimulate dialogue and feed back regarding policy preferences and choices • Reactions from policy makers have revealed that this is politically complex and difficult to handle (at best silence, at worst blaming ICES for making its own choices) • Reactions from stakeholders have varied from praise through silence to blame • BUT – nearly no constructive debate, helping all parties to move towards greater clarity about policy preferences • In 2014: • ICES again to present ‘considerations’ to provide some basis for debate • Autumn 2014: dialogue meeting (Policy makers, stakeholders, scientific advisers) regarding MSY in an ecosystem (especially multispecies) context

  10. Overviews in consolidated advice report

  11. See you at MIRAC 201416-17 January 2014Copenhagen

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