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General Slides for SOC120 Fall 2005 Week 8 (edited 2/17/06 5:30pm)

General Slides for SOC120 Fall 2005 Week 8 (edited 2/17/06 5:30pm). Thoughts for Critical Thinkers Credibility. “Can You Rely On Social Security“. What does a critical thinker think/do?.

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General Slides for SOC120 Fall 2005 Week 8 (edited 2/17/06 5:30pm)

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  1. General Slides for SOC120Fall 2005Week 8(edited 2/17/06 5:30pm)

  2. Thoughts for Critical ThinkersCredibility “Can You Rely On Social Security“ What does a critical thinker think/do?

  3. Most People believe no!1994 survey found more young people believing in UFO’s then in the possibility they would get anything back from Social Security taxes The Government retirement fund most experts agree will become increasingly less able to meet the needs of the growing retirement population unless changes are made. What changes, “just a little from each” • Remove ceiling (currently no SS tax above $87,000 year) and set 1.5% rate for this income above $87,000). • Raise retirement age raise age of full benefits 1 year from 65 to 68 (from current raise to 67 by 2027) • Cut Benefitsby changing calculation of benefits from inflation “wage inflation” to “price inflation Above assumes the Trust Fund won’t be raided for other uses such as cutting taxes for the wealthy—which has been done Andrew Tobias Sunday August 31, 2003 Parade Magazine Note: Social Security was not designed as a retirement program but as an insurance program for those with little are no retirement, disability, and survivor. It is pretty difficult to live on Social Security alone [I get $1500 month after 40 years]. The idea was SS was for an emergency those who had for some reason been unable to create a retirement through work or savings and for children disabled and those under 21 whose parents were disabled or died.

  4. What does a Critical Thinker do?Check the source • Find out who is: Andrew Tobias • Do other sources agree with his statements • Then make a decision Using your web search skills evaluate the above and make a decision

  5. Thoughts for Critical ThinkersThe Media has a liberal biasCredibility Reported in Lies and The Lying Liars Who Tell Them by Al Fanken. He sites the source as Pew Charitable Trusts Project for Excellence in Journalism. What does a critical thinker think/do?

  6. What does a Critical Thinker do?Check the source • Find out who is: Pew Charitable Trusts Project for Excellence in Journalism • Determine if they did the study and found the data as reported • Determine their credibility Using your web search skills evaluate the above

  7. Thoughts for Critical Thinkers “..between 60% and 70% of American purchasing decisions are made at the point of sale with a very limited amount of information.“ Underhill, Paco Why We Buy: The Science of Shopping, 2002 What does a critical thinker think/do?

  8. CT Thoughts Unless you have a lot of money to toss try the following! • Wait, sales are like busses there is always another one coming • Ask yourself; “ Do I really need this, can I buy a less expensive version that does everything I need? • Check sources for information on reliability, functionality, prices, alternatives (Consumers Report, Kelly Blue Book, PC World, Car and Driver…) Louderback, Jim “But wait That’s not all!” USA Weekend Nov 15-17 2002 • Your ideas? If you don’t need it, don’t buy it!

  9. Thoughts for Critical Thinkers • The flu vaccine shortage is being given to those “At greatest risk for those whose life would be most endangered …” • Children 6-23 months • Anyone age 2-64 with potentially serious chronic condition • Adults 65 and older • Pregnant women • Residents of long-term care facilities • Health care givers • Caregivers for children • Dr. Isadore Rosenfield Parade Nov 7, 2004 p19 Flu Update Is this reasonable? What group should be first, second…? What does a critical thinker think/do?

  10. What does a Critical Thinker do?Check the source Is this reasonable? What group should be first, second…? No, not according to the Japanese model. They decided to vaccinate school kids when there was limited vaccine—results significant decrease in flu deaths by all categories. Why? School kids get the flu, are the most significant distributors but don’t have a high death rate from the flu since they are not in a high risk category. The Japanese model stopped the limited the distribution. Any k-6 teacher can verify this because of his/her experience. Recent Report looked at 20 years of data and found flu shots in US have not significantly decreased flu deaths of older people. (Archives of Internal Medicine; 2/14/2005, Vol. 165 Issue 3, p265, 8p ) Using your web search skills evaluate the above Pos-http://www.canoe.ca/Health0103/23_kids-ap.html Neg-http://www.whale.to/vaccines/flu7.html

  11. Week 8-10 [edit 2/17/056]: • Groups C8 concepts web PP, Review C7 problems: independent&dependent p229, deduction/induction p238, eval argument p251, Rev fallacies Slippery slope, Group think, Pity • Credibility and miracles, horoscopes Slides…“The Amazing Randy”[movie –Next week F05] Good luck/ Horoscopes, etc. [W6 S4,5] also John Edwards [W7 S9,10] • Critical Thinking slides Winner”(W2 S2, S3), Study? (W2 S8,9), -*- Ethics (W7 S2), Iraq and Al Queda Decision (W4 S8,9 @W7S12) Cooperate Responsibility? (W6 S9), Media Liberal Bias? (W8S5,S6), Purchasing decisions (W8S7,8), Flu vaccine(W8S9,10), SS (W8S2,3,4) • Web Credibility Exercise Pt I Boolean (Search Basics), Pt II Credibility Criteria, Pt III Credibility Exercise • Class project PT III • Step 1—Done • Step 2---Continuing finished first day week 9 • Step 3---Group Debate Drafts combine/edit A04 TR Due first class Week 9 (Next Wed W05) • Step 4---Oral Debates: Last 2 days in quarter • A04 due last day week 8 1 printed copy-send digital copy pro to con (Monday W05) • A05– Start Week 9 Day1-Due last class day Week 10, obtaining data, interrupt, conclusions • Schedule for remainder of Quarter (W8S13) • Chapter 10 Overview –relevance for A05 • Chapter 11 Overview –relevance to A05 Week 10, 11 after this Note: We do not cover Chapter 9 in this class

  12. 3 categorical operations • universe of discourse, • complementary class/term • Conversion • Obversion • Contraposition • ___________________ • Syllogisms Def/Ex (p281) • Categorical Syllogisms • Terms • Relationship • Venn diagram of syllogism • validity test • limits of validity test • 3 Rules method validity test • distribution (b p294) Chapter 8 Study Guide F03 Categorical logic Def and Purpose 4 standard claims A, E, I, O and Affirm/Negative Venn Diagrams… Translations Purpose Simple Past->Present Only The only Whenever, Wherever Claim about Individual Mass nouns Square of Opposition Contraries Subcontraries Determining Truth Limits

  13. Schedule W06 Schedule for remainder of quarter. • Week 8 Last Day -- Pt II class project 5 articles, --all individual articles with summary like A02. May be from any sources web, periodical, news, journals, etc. Printed from web, Xerox copies or actual articles with summary like A02 for each article. • Week 8 Last Day --A04 due {2 copies}, • Week 8 Last Day -- Start Project Pt III class project • Week 9 Day 1 Pt III first draft of group write up of pro and con for debate due • Week 9 –Start A05 • Week 10 Last Day --A05 due NO LATE PAPERS • Week 10 (last day) -11--Debates

  14. Schedule F05-- Revise for F05 Schedule for remainder of quarter. • Nov 4 [TR], 8[MW]– Pt II class project, all individual articles web, Xerox copies or actual articles and summary statements due. • Nov 4[TR], 8[MW] --A04 due {2 copies}, • Nov 9 [TR], 10[MWF]--Pt III group write up of pro and con for debate due • Nov 18[TR], 17[MW] --A05 due • Nov 18, 23[TR], 17, 22[MW] – Debate

  15. Chapter 9 Categorical Logic W06 A system of logic developed to clarify and evaluate deductive arguments. The study of categorical logic dates back to Aristotle. Based on the relations of: • Inclusion • Exclusion • Relevance: • Understand car purchase, loans, etc. • Understand contractual agreementsfor renting an apartment • completing catalog requirements for a major, etc. • Understanding instructions on medicine • Etc.

  16. * Standard CategoricalClaims 06 subject: noun or noun phrase*. Example: Methodists (Class members) predicate: noun or noun phrase. Example: Christians (College Students) _predicate_ subject A: All _______ are _________(affirmative) E: No________are__________(negative) I: Some_______are__________(affirmative) O: Some______are not _______(negative) Error In 7th ed. Of Text *Only noun or noun phrases are allowed--Not All fire trucks are red (adj)

  17. A E I O Circles-classes/categories Shaded-empty * Venn Diagrams of 4 Standard Claims All Methodists are Christians No Buddhists are Christians Some Christians are Methodists Some Christians are not Methodists Blank-no mention X-some, at least one

  18. Purpose is to translate an ordinary claim into an equivalent standard form e.g “Every A is a B --> All A’s are B’s [A: Claim] “Minors are not eligible --> No minors are eligible [E: Claim] Translation of claims into standard form: “equivalent claims”06 Introduces predicate of A: • Past to present: “There were….” To “Some …”p264 • Only; Only adults are admitted to see Napoleon Dynamite All admitted to Napoleon Dynamite are adults • The only; The only people allowed to drink beer are over 21 All people allowed to drink beer are over 21 • Whenever, wherever; She makes friends wherever she goes All places she goes are places she makes friends • Claims about an individual (object, occasion or place); Hitler was a psychopath All people identical with Hitler are psychopaths • Mass nouns; Daisy Dukes are too out of style to get one now All Daisy Dukes are too out of style to have now Etc, in an introduction it is not possible to cover all possibilities. Introduces subject of A: A: or E: All…: Treat as A: are E: claim: Treat as A: claim:

  19. * The Square of Opposition: Correspondence (same S and P)

  20. All Aluminum cans are recyclable * Determining Truth Values for Corresponding Claims 1 No Aluminum cans are recyclable T thus F Known Some Aluminum cans are recyclable Some Aluminum cans are not recyclable thus T thus F

  21. All Muslims are Christians * Determining Truth Values for Corresponding Claims 2 No Muslims are Christians F ? Known Limits If T at top all known If F at bottom all known If F at top or T at bottom only contradictory known Some Muslims are Christians Some Muslims are not Christians ? thus T

  22. * Limits on determining Truth value • If we have one truth value, it is often possible to determine other Truth values. • True claim, top of square, we can determine all others • If we know A is false all we can infer is corresponding O (not E or I) • False claim at the bottom (I or O) we can infer other 3 • If false at top all can infer is value of contradictory

  23. * Three Categorical Operations • Conversion: (E and I claims not A and O) switch S and P • Obversion: (A<-> E, I<->O) horizontal change affirmative to negative (vis versa)and replace predicate with its complementary term* • Contraposition: (A and O not E and I) switch S and P and replace both with complementary terms. • *Universe of discourse-context that limits scope of terms (“everyone passes” [in class not world]) • Complementary class-everything in the universe not in first category (everyone not in the class, simplest to put “non” in front of class p273) • complementary term-the names of complementary classes (students vs non students (p273))

  24. No Aluminum cans are (recyclable) No Aluminum cans are non-(recyclable) All aluminum cans are (recyclable) All Aluminum cans are non-(recyclable) Obversion Claims 3 T thus F Known Some Aluminum cans are (recyclable) Some Aluminum cans are not-(not recyclable) Some Aluminum cans are (not recyclable) Some Aluminum cans are not non-recyclable thus T thus F

  25. * Two Syllogisms Two common Nature vs Nurture arguments • All animals have X • Man has X • Therefore man is an animal • Man is an animal • Animals have Y • Therefore man has Y Conclusion used as Premise for another argument * We would have to convert these to standard form for analysis

  26. * Categorical Syllogisms • Standard form, two premise deductive argument, whose every claim is a standard form categorical claim in which three terms occur exactly twice in exactly two of the claims • Example: All CSUB students are college students Some college students are not dorm residents Therefore some CSUB students are not dorm residents • Terms: P Major (predicate of conclusion) -- dorm residents S Minor (subject of conclusion) -- CSUB students M Middle (both premises but not in conclusion) -- college students

  27. Consumers (Collectivists) Relationship of Terms Americans (Socialists) Democrats (Republicans)

  28. * Venn Diagram Validity Test-0 No Republicans are collectivists All socialists are collectivists Therefore, no socialists are Republicans Minor Major Middle

  29. * Venn Diagram Validity Test-1 Minor Major Middle No Republicans are Collectivists

  30. * Venn Diagram Validity Test-2 Minor Major Since result (green) is an overlap of shaded area, thus empty, we have a correct diagram of the conclusion, a valid syllogism No Rs are collectivists Middle All Socialists are Collectivists

  31. (p286…) * Venn Diagram test of Validity • (1) Some syllogisms are problematic -I or O as one premise, where to place the X If one premise A or E and other premise is I or O diagram A or E first (p287) and there is no longer a choice of where to place the X • (2) Some syllogisms still have a problem-an X could go either of two places. Place the X on the line If the the X falls entirely within the appropriate area the argument is valid. If the X fails to entirely fall within the area the argument is invalid (p289) • (3) When both premises of a syllogism are A or E (shading) and the conclusion is an I or O (an X), a diagram cannot possibly yield a diagram of the conclusion • If any area has only one area unshaded place the X there and then the conclusion can possibly be read—valid, if not the conclusion is invalid

  32. * Rules Method for Test of Validity p294 • (1) # Negative claims premises = # negative claims conclusion • (2) One premise must distribute * the middle term • (3) Any term distributed* in conclusion must be distributed in premise * Distributed: see next slide

  33. * Distributed: claim says something about every member of class. Memorize this to apply rules method. Error in 7th ed Text on this –change box on page 294 7th edition • A-claim all S are P • E-claim No S are P • I- claim Some S are P • O-claim Some S are not P The circled terms are distributed

  34. (a) Man is an animal (b) Animals have Y (c) Therefore man has Y Quiz Chapt 9—From Chapter quiz (quiz file link on class schedule) • (1) Display the first claim (a) in a square of opposition • (2) Translate, if necessary, and Create a Venn diagram test of this syllogism • (3) State the rules for tests of validity and apply the rules to test the validity of this syllogism if possible. {state why not possible if this is the case}

  35. All Men are Animals Determining Truth Values for Corresponding Claims 2 No Men are Animals T F Known Limits If one T at top all known If one F at bottom all known If both F at top or T at bottom only contradictory known Some Men are Animals Some Men are not Animals T thus F

  36. Venn Diagram Validity Test-2 Minor Major Middle

  37. Thoughts for Critical Thinkers “..PAIN: Redheads need 20% more painkiller.“ “Research breakthrough” USA Weekend Nov 15-17 2002 What does a critical thinker think/do?

  38. CT Thoughts Based on Chapter 11, What do you need to know? • .. • .. • .. • .. • .. • F.. • .. University of Louisville study presented at meeting of American Society of Anesthesiologists, Sample 10 redheads and 10 brunettes given a common anesthetic then electrically shocked until moved only ½ the time, redheads required 20% more anesthesia. http://www.asahq.org/news/redheads.htm

  39. The Question: Define, give an example and an exception to the fallacy of burden of proof. Writing Errors: Identify the errors, rewrite correctly Identify the errors and rewrite the following answers to the question • Burden of proof is when a person needs to explain why the argument is true. Ex. Two people are conversating and one says God is real. The person who believes that God is real has the burden of proof • When the affirmative makes the opponent prove an argument Ex: God exist, one person says God does not exist, so the first person says, Prove it then Exception: It is unplausable • When the second person states a claim and has the burden. Example Jose I believe and then Tony says “I believe in God” Tony has the burden of proof because he claimed it second • When there is a doubt you can prove your point. Ex: When someone says there are aliens Exception: In court cases when you have more cons against a person but you have 2 good claims to prove them innocent. • The placing of the requirement for proof on the wrong side of an issue. Example: God is real and exists, the burden of proof is placed on the person who is for something, rather then against. Exception: Doesn't have one.

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