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HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Audio = 1-800-857-6535 Passcode = 13677# Meeting ID = 748-323-442

HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Audio = 1-800-857-6535 Passcode = 13677# Meeting ID = 748-323-442. 18 June 2012. HFIP Regional Ensemble Call. Today’s Agenda Product Update (Mark DeMaria ) Display Update (Paula McCaslin ) Ensemble Update (Brian Etherton).

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HFIP Regional Ensemble Call Audio = 1-800-857-6535 Passcode = 13677# Meeting ID = 748-323-442

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  1. HFIP Regional Ensemble CallAudio = 1-800-857-6535Passcode = 13677#Meeting ID = 748-323-442 18 June 2012

  2. HFIP Regional Ensemble Call • Today’s Agenda • Product Update (Mark DeMaria) • Display Update (Paula McCaslin) • Ensemble Update (Brian Etherton)

  3. HFIP Ensemble Product SubgroupUpdate on Prototype Products Mark DeMaria May 14, 2012 Conference Call

  4. 2 Prototype Ensemble ProductsPlanned for Aug. 1, 2012 • Genesis ensembles from global models • T. Marchok lead (GFDL) • Development continuing • Hybrid dynamical-statistical wind speed probabilities • A. Schumacher, M. DeMaria (co-leads) • Arrangements made to have ensemble tracks/intensities pushed to CIRA from GFDL • Script being developed at CIRA for real time runs • Coordination needed with Paula to post products on HFIP web page

  5. HFIP Ensemble Display SubgroupUpdate on HFIP Web Page Paula McCaslin June 18, 2012 Conference Call

  6. HFIP Ensemble SubgroupUpdate on Realtime 2012 Ensemble Brian Etherton June 18, 2012 Conference Call

  7. HFIP Regional Ensemble • Formal work to be an EMC/GSD effort, running on S-JET, for summer 2012. • 20-member ensemble, ‘basin-scale’ 27km domain • Forecast length=120hr at 00Z and 12Z, 9hr at 06Z and 18Z • Use GEFS for IC/BC, add on smaller scale perturbations via dynamical downscaling / cycling method • Hope to tap into products work • Future years aim for multi-physics ensemble, as well as higher resolution • Start from EMC scripting set (Zhan Zhang), with GSD modifications to incorporate small scale perturbations

  8. HFIP Regional Ensemble Call • Meeting summaries/presentations to be located here: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/research/tropical_cyclones/hfip/add_conference_call_summaries.asp  • Next Call • Tentatively scheduled for Monday, July 16th, at 11AM Pacific, Noon Mountain, 1PM Central, 2PM Eastern (Standard Time) • Speakers… likely the three subgroup leads

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