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Georgia Bankers Association Organizational Meetings. The State of Banks in Georgia A Situation Analysis for Strategic Planning June 19, 2003. 5 Year History – Number of GA Banks. Georgia Banks by Asset Size. Banking Demographics of Southeastern States.
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Georgia Bankers AssociationOrganizational Meetings The State of Banks in Georgia A Situation Analysis for Strategic Planning June 19, 2003
Recent Trends in the Georgia Economy • Employment • Loss of 133,000 jobs between cyclical peak of Jan 2001 and Oct 2002 • 4th qtr 2002 employment down 2.2% over same qtr of prior year – worst performance in the nation.
Recent Trends in the Georgia Economy • Economic Shocks • Contractions in manufacturing by mid-1999, especially textiles and apparel. • NASDAQ tech bubble bursts in 2000. • Weakening absorption of office markets and construction in Atlanta MSA from 2000 on. • 9/11/01 terrorism and aftermath on transportation & tourism.
Significant Balance Sheet Trends • “Hot” loan / deposit ratios; tight liquidity • Higher risk profiles in assets • More commercial real estate in portfolios • More reliance on external noncore funding • Slight lessening of capital ratios • Reasonable credit quality so far
Significant Income Statement Trends • Declining profits, ROAs, ROEs • The smaller the banks, the harder the fall • Declining net interest margins • More reliance on noninterest income • Mortgage origination fees • Overdraft fees • Belt tightening on noninterest expense is not enough
Margin compression Funding / ALCO mgmt Liquidity pressures Recessionary economy Bottom of interest cycle Nonbank competition Fraud/security/tech risks Credit quality-losses to come? Corporate governance Integrity image of banks Staffing /compensation Evolving infrastructure Slowing mortgage cycle Replacing noninterest income Overhead controls Current Issues for GA BanksFrom Preliminary Board Questionnaire Responses
Credit Unions FDIC Insurance Reform Overdraft Protection Products Bankruptcy Reform Predatory Lending Payday Lending Real Estate Powers Dual Banking System Nonbank Regulation Intrastate Branching Interest on Corp Checking Subchapter S Top Legislative & Regulatory IssuesFrom Preliminary Board Questionnaire Responses
Strategic PlanningFor a New GBA Year • Thanks for your attention. • Please refer to committee agenda.