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Do Sweat the Small Stuff !

Do Sweat the Small Stuff !. Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology. Mike Treder, Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 n Chicago n July 30, 2005. Where. What. How. Who. When. Why Everyone Should Care.

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Do Sweat the Small Stuff !

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  1. Do Sweat the Small Stuff! Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology Mike Treder, Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology www.CRNano.org WorldFuture 2005 n Chicago n July 30, 2005

  2. Where What How Who When Why Everyone Should Care About Nanotechnology

  3. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When… About Nanotechnology

  4. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  5. You’re driving a car, very fast, on a poorly marked road, in the pitch-black darkness. There are no streetlights, there is no moon out tonight, the only illumination you have is your car’s headlights. You’re in uncharted territory; you have no roadmap, no way to know for sure where you are going…but you’re driving very fast, into the pitch-black darkness…

  6. That’s the state of nanotechnology today. We’re advancing rapidly into uncharted territory. The changes this technology will bring may arrive sooner than we are prepared to respond effectively to them. It’s like driving a car in the darkness with only your headlights to show what’s ahead. The speed you are driving exceeds your ability to react, and if something suddenly comes out of the darkness, you won’t have time to respond and avoid disaster.

  7. One other thing: you don’t know it, but there is a chasm up ahead in the distance. You are driving directly toward it, very fast, and you don’t even know it’s there. That’s where we are going with advanced nanotechnology.

  8. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  9. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  10. What… is nanotechnology?

  11. What… is nanotechnology? 1) Nanoscale technology Big machines making small products 2) Molecular manufacturing Small machines making big products

  12. What… is nanotechnology? • 1) Nanoscale technology • Incremental advances • Familiar problems • 2) Molecular manufacturing • Revolutionary advances • Unfamiliar problems

  13. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  14. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  15. How… will MM affect us?

  16. How… will MM affect us? Not just new products — A new means of production!

  17. How… will MM affect us? • faster, smaller, better • exponential proliferation • revolutionary products • vastly accelerated product improvement Scaling laws Factories that make factories Bottom-up, atomically precise manufacturing Cheap rapid prototyping

  18. How… will MM affect us?

  19. How… will MM affect us?

  20. How… will MM affect us?

  21. How… will MM affect us?

  22. How… will MM affect us?

  23. How… will MM affect us?

  24. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  25. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  26. Why… is MM coming soon? • Five leading drivers: • Energy/Environment • Life Quality • Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals • Industrial Productivity • Info Tech & Manufacturing • Security/Surveillance/Privacy • Military/Geopolitics

  27. Why… is MM coming soon? • Energy/Environment • Clean power • Smaller footprint • Remediation • Nano-litter • Planet-scale engineering • Albedo change

  28. Why… is MM coming soon? • Life Quality • Conquer diseases • Increase healthspans • Improve mental wellness • Overpopulation • Psychotropic drug abuse

  29. Why… is MM coming soon? • Industrial Productivity • Supercomputing • Low-cost manufacturing • Rapid product improvement • Economic disruption / social chaos • Monopolies / black markets

  30. Why… is MM coming soon? • Security/Surveillance/Privacy • Counterterrorism • Crime fighting & prevention • Intrusive surveillance • Stolen intellectual property • Identity theft

  31. Why… is MM coming soon? • Military/Geopolitics • Nano arms race - Easy to build - Hard to monitor - Easy to deliver - Obsolete almost immediately - Programmable and controllable • Rapidly shifting balance of power

  32. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  33. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  34. Who… should start preparing? • All Stakeholders! Business & Trade Medical Ethics & Research Policing & Criminology Surveillance & Privacy Social Justice Intellectual Property Sustainable Development Information Technology Arms Control & Geopolitics Ecological Remediation

  35. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  36. Where… What… How… Why… Who… When…

  37. 2030 2025 2020 2015 2010 When… will MM be developed? ?

  38. Battelle – Foresight Roadmap Initiative Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems Brookhaven National Laboratory National Renewable Energy Laboratory Oak Ridge National Laboratory Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Idaho National Laboratory When? We may know the answer soon…

  39. CRN Policy and Implications Task Force For Advanced Nanotechnology • Study implications • Evaluate policy options • Consider all stakeholders • Seek integrated, comprehensive solutions • Publish recommendations • Promote proposals with relevant groups

  40. Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

  41. WE ALL must start working onwise solutions! Before molecular manufacturing starts working...

  42. For more information: www.CRNano.org Mike Treder — Executive Director Center for Responsible Nanotechnology mtreder@CRNano.org

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