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Middle East Peace Process. Importance: 1) Important to achieving other US FP goals in the region. 2) Stability in the ME. 3) Decreases Terrorism. British declare end of rule in 1948 --international pressure --Terrorism (Irgun). UN General Assembly- November 1947
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Importance: 1) Important to achieving other US FP goals in the region 2) Stability in the ME 3) Decreases Terrorism
British declare end of rule in 1948 --international pressure --Terrorism (Irgun) UN General Assembly- November 1947 Partition into Jewish and Palestinian state Jerusalem- international admin
Jewish Leaders Accept Arab Leaders Reject End of 1947- Conflict Egypt, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Jordan May 14, 1948- Official End British Mandate State of Israel Declared
War, Five Arab States vs Israel Israel victorious Result of War: 1) Israeli state larger than UN plan
2) Refugees 3) Arab Antagonism 1948-1967 Military Crises 1967- 6 Day War Effects of 1967 War 1) Israeli Growth
2) Occupied Territories and Terrorism 3) Settlements UN 242 1) Israeli withdrawal 2) Recognition of all states
1973 Yom Kippur War Egypt and Syria vs Israel Effects of War 1) UN Buffer Zones 2) US prevent future wars 3) PLO internationalizes
1979 Camp David Accords 1987- Intifada • 1993 Oslo Declaration of Principles • Right to exist • Self Governance 1995 Interim Agreement
Nov. 1995 Rabin assassinated, renewal of violence Unsettled Issues 1) Refugees 2) Jerusalem 3) Violence 4) PNA 5) Settlements
Current US Policy 1) Road Map 3 phases 1) end violence, freeze settlements 2) Palestinian State with provisional borders 3) Final borders, refugees, Jerusalem 2) Acceptance of Unilateral Israeli Withdrawal
Quartet- US, EU, Russia, and UN Advs: 1) gradualism 2) Intl Commitment 3) Normalize SQ Problems 1) First Phase Problems 2) Quartet Blues 3) No real solutions- like Oslo
Alternatives: Indyk, Frmr Ambassador to Israel- Trusteeship US runs Palestinian territory as trustee Build Palestinian Institutions Final Status Negotiations
Advantages: 1) Only outside power can break violence cycle 2) Past Success 3) US commitment Problems: 1) Imperialism 2) American Public 3) Palestinian and Israeli Resistance
Alternative: Partition, Neighbors Make Good Fences Advs 1) Separation solves violence 2) Decrease Dependence 3) Easier Negotiate other issues Problems: 1) No integration 2) False Hope 3) Economic Collapse