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Air Service Issues at Grand Forks and North Dakota

International Air Transport Consultancy. Air Service Issues at Grand Forks and North Dakota. Presented to:. Presented by:. The Grand Forks Community. David Dague. November 29, 2001. Post 9/11 Air Service Changes.

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Air Service Issues at Grand Forks and North Dakota

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  1. International Air Transport Consultancy Air ServiceIssues at Grand Forks and North Dakota Presented to: Presented by: The Grand Forks Community David Dague November 29, 2001

  2. Post 9/11 Air Service Changes

  3. Among the Major Carriers, United Airlines Had the Largest Service Decline and Southwest Had the Least % Change in Daily Scheduled Seats Pre September 11th vs. November 2001 Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  4. The US Airline Industry Was in a Gradual State of Decline Before September 11th Change in Load Factors From Prior Year US Major Airlines Source: Carrier SEC Filings.

  5. Even with the Federal Airline Bailout the Financial Results for the 3rd Qtr Were Disastrous Source: Airline SEC Filings.

  6. The Reduction in Flying After September 11this Equivalent to Grounding 800 Jet Aircraft Source: OAG Schedule Tapes, USDOT, Form41

  7. Nonstop Service Operated With Hushkitted Stage 3 Narrow Bodies Has Declined Significantly Since 9/11 % Change in Daily Departures by U.S Airlines Pre September 11th vs. November 2001 Source: OAG Schedule Tapes.

  8. The Majority of Post 9/11 Service Reductions at Hub Airports Have Occurred in the Early Morning and Late Evening Hours Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  9. Mountain -15.7% Northeast -20.5% Central -14.4% Pacific -16.9% Great Lakes -15.6% Southeast -11.1% Southwest -12.6% Florida -9.2% The Northeast Region Had the Largest Decline in Capacity After 9/11 Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  10. -5.7% -17.5% -25.4% -18.1% -8.6% -11.8% -13.6% In the Central Region, North Dakota Had the Smallest Decline in Capacity Post 9/11 Change in Daily Seat DeparturesPre-September 11th vs. November 2001 Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  11. North Dakota's Post 9/11 Air Service Changes Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  12. United's Hubs are the Hardest Hit in Terms of Post 9/11 Service Reductions Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  13. Minneapolis Detroit Memphis Service Changes From Northwest Hubs Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  14. Chicago ORD San Francisco Washington IAD Denver Los Angeles Service Changes From United Hubs Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  15. Salt Lake City Cincinnati New York JFK Atlanta Dallas/Ft. Worth Orlando Service Changes From Delta Air Lines Hubs Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  16. Grand Forks and North Dakota Air Service Issues

  17. North Dakota’s Current Service Pattern Source: OAG Schedule Tapes, December 2001.

  18. During September 2001, Most of the North Dakota Airports Performed Better than the National Average September Passenger Comparison of North Dakota Commercial Service Airports U.S. Average -33.4% Devils Lake Minot Fargo Bismarck Jamestown GrandForks Williston Dickinson TotalNorthDakota Source: Aeronautics Commission.

  19. October 2001 Passenger Boardings Have Improved But Still Not Near Normal Levels October Passenger Comparison of North Dakota Commercial Service Airports U.S. Average -22.9% Devils Lake Minot Fargo Bismarck Jamestown GrandForks Williston Dickinson TotalNorthDakota Source: Aeronautics Commission.

  20. Grand Forks Total Traffic Passengers, Revenue, and Fares Indexed to 1990 CY 1990 - YE 2Q 2001 Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products

  21. Grand Forks Top 25 O&D Passenger Markets Year Ended 2nd Qtr 2001 Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products

  22. The Pacific Region is Grand Forks Largest Market Area, Accounting for 21% of the Total Traffic Pacific 21.4% Mountain 7.1% Northeast 13.3% Great Lakes 13.1% Central 18.2% Southeast 7.2% Southwest 12.6% Florida 6.9% Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products

  23. The Grand Forks Load Factor is at a Nine Year High CY 1990 - YE 2Q 2001 Source: USDOT, T100 Databank.

  24. Initial Analysis of Air Fares Offered in the State Shows Discouraging Results for the EAS Communities Phoenix Leisure Fares Source: SH&E and UND Fare Tracking Database.

  25. Grand Forks Air Service Expansion Opportunities

  26. Nine Major Connecting Hubs Are Within the Range for Potential Regional Jet Expansion from North Dakota

  27. Regional Jets Will Play an Important Role in Air Service Expansion from the Major North Dakota Airports Delta Northwest United Current Fleet Orders Current Fleet Orders Current Fleet Orders 179 188 67 23 67 110

  28. Frontier Airlines Provides 59 Daily Departures to 23 Destinations From Denver Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  29. Frontier’s Previous Service Pattern in North Dakota May be Feasible Operated With Regional Jets Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  30. Frontier's Average Fares at Denver Are Consistently Lower than United's Source: USDOT, O&D Survey, via Database Products

  31. Operating Statistics For Proposed United Express Grand Forks - Denver Nonstop Service 2 Daily Roundtrips Operated With CRJ's

  32. Financial Results for Proposed United Express Grand Forks - Denver Nonstop Service 2 Daily Roundtrips Operated With CRJ's /1 @ 1.5% of passenger revenue based on regional jet experience

  33. Delta Air Lines Operates 282 Daily Departures to 66 Nonstop Destinations from Salt Lake City Source: OAG Schedule Tapes

  34. Summary of Proposed New Regional Jet Markets From Salt Lake City

  35. SH&E Has Been Hired to Perform the North Dakota Statewide Air Service Update • Analyze Air Fares • Airline Recovery • Feasibility of an Intra-State Network • Feasibility of Expanded Service From the Four Major Airports - BIS, FAR, GFK, MOT • Regional Jets • New Hub Services • Expand Existing Service • Essential Air Service Program Enhancements • Other Study Topics - Create Historic Databases, Role of Charters, Load Factors, Marketing Effectiveness

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