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1. 1 The New Budget DemandsFinancialization and Anti-Capitalism Professor Sacco, George Mason, and H.A. Sauer, Former Deputy Director for the Budget Committee, U.S. House of Representatives
Research Assistants
Sunitha Thummala
Liang Li
April 22nd 2009
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3. 3 New Budget Challenges for the Republic, Representative Governments in the US Traditional budget concerns
War
Role of the banks
Budgeting for electoral districts and special interest
Infrastructure
Add The Entitlements for elderly and safety net
Social security, 1935 and Medical, 1965
For example, Earned Income Tax Credit
Add International Financialization (1990s) and Terrorism, 9/11/09
Add Government as insurance agent for failure
4. 4 1974 Budget and Impoundment Control Act Remains the key guide for Congressional budgeting
The Act strengthened the congressional role over the President in the making the budget
The instrument created to coordinate the budget was the concurrent budget resolution, a form of congressional decision that can, but not necessarily, bind congressional action
Reconciliation results in one budget package that often ignores the concurrent resolution
5. 5 Budget Outlays and Reciepts The next three slides show trends
A general picture of budget outlays
A more detailed view of budget outlays
Sources of Revenue
6. 6 India overview US Budget vs. GDP See spreadsheet India overview US Budget vs GDP
Most file names have India as the first term to identify it with the 4/22/09 presentation
7. 7 US Budget Expenditure Trends See spreadsheet India US Budget Expenditures
8. 8 India Sources of Revenue See India Sources of Revenue spreadsheet
Most file names have India as the first term to identify it with the 4/22/09 presentation
9. 9 Budget Financialization Financialization means seeking profit by leveraging for future monetary outcomes rather than future production
Global Financialization is greater the nation state’s budget
Financial intermediaries are political more powerful and regulations
10. 10 US Debt Picture
11. 11 International Theories and Budgeting Demands Neo-liberalism
Free trade, international cooperation (WTO), less militarism, protection of private property and limited government spending; the economic piece gets larger for a better global life
Realism
Coercive power to raise money, military spending, international mistrust and coalitions based on electoral favors; zero sum
Marxism
Implosion of capitalism as profit margins are reduced below zero; the Republic attempts to save industry with bailout after bailout
Anti-globalization
global attacks on capitalism, huge debts to build electoral coalitions and address environmental and poverty demands
12. 12 Percent US Debt Held by Other Countries
13. 13 Percent US Debt Held by Other Countries Spreadsheet See India debt held by foreigners 1970 to 2007
14. 14 Financing US Debt and Deficits Foreign ownership of US debt
Taxes
Surplus in Social Security goes to Treasury to pay government non SS bills
Surplus in Medicare goes to Treasury to pay government non Medicare bills
Raising retirement age
Larger Medicare co-pays
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16. 16 The New GDP Challenge – BRIC
17. 17 The Budget Crimp in Economic Rationality How Negative NPV becomes law
Lower the discount rate
Log rolling
Off budget financing
18. 18 US Budget Process and Rules: formal and pay-go Formal rules restrict how much can be spent for discretionary and the size of the deficit as set by the Budget Committees
Pay go (pay as you go) says that any times revenues are decreased expenditures must decrease by an equal amount
Practice of waiving formal rules and pay go
19. 19 US Budget and Too Big to Fail History
20. 20 Budgets, Fraud and Corruption Jack Abramoff lobbyist convicted
Illinois Governor Bovankovich under investigation
San Diego city, US, took money from employee pension and lost in the market and covered it up
21. 21 Budgets, Financialization and Black Winter;
22. 22 Taking Away Black Winter Reduce arms war
Industrial policy?
Energy
Clear water
education
Enforce moderate investment leveraging
Transparency with Risk levels
23. 23 The New Black Winter Explosion of Arms Trade
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25. 25 Replacing the 1974 Budget and Impoundment Act Budgets sensitive to debt ceilings
Reduce arms war
Regular Fed and SEC presentations to Congress
Coordination among GAO, CBO, OMB and OECD
District and special interest spending is published
26. 26 Readings on Global Currency and Regulatory Changes A 'Copper Standard' for the world's currency system? Telegraph.com.uk; By Ambrose Evans-PritchardLast Updated: 2:41PM BST 16 Apr 2009
China’s Dollar Trap, Paul Krugman. NYT. 4/2/09
In Europe, Obama Faces Calls for Rules on Finances. NYT. 4/2/09
Pentagon preps for economic warfare. Politico. 4/9/09
India US Budget history.pdf from 2009 Presidents Budget