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NASA Programs -- Jon Morse

To get more from our budgets through better management and investments in R&A. ... IBEX. SDO. OCO. Glory. HST SM-4. Kepler. OSTM. GOES-O. GOES-P. CINDI ...

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NASA Programs -- Jon Morse

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    1. Astrophysics Division Report

    Jon Morse, Director Astrophysics Division Science Mission Directorate NASA Headquarters October 11, 2007

    2. SMD Guiding Principles

    To advance the priorities of all four decadal surveys. To get more from our budgets through better management and investments in R&A. To help the Vision for Space Exploration succeed (e.g., fostering a lunar science community).

    3. SMD Organization

    Chief Scientist (J. Mather) DCS for ES (Randy Friedl) DCS for SS (Andy Cheng) Management & Policy Division Dir. (R. Maizel) Deputy (Vacant) Heliophysics Division Dir. (R. Fisher) Deputy (V. Elsbernd-Act) Astrophysics Division Dir. (J. Morse) Deputy (R. Howard) Planetary Science Division Dir. (J. Green) Dep. (J. Adams) Associate Administrator (AA) (Alan Stern) Deputy AA (Colleen Hartman) Deputy AA for Programs (Todd May - Detailee) Senior Advisor for R & A (Yvonne Pendleton) Earth Science Division Dir. (M. Freilich) Deputy (B. Cramer) Dep - Programs (M. Luther) Budget (C. Tupper) Policy & Administration (G. Williams- Act) Applied Science (T. Fryberger) Research (J. Kaye) Flight (T. Hammer-Act) Mars Program (D. McCuistion) Draft: October 1, 2007 Senior Advisor for Science Process & Ethics (Paul Hertz) Chief of Staff (Jens Feeley - Act) Special Asst for NEOs and Exploration (Dan Durda) AAA for Strategy, Policy & International (Marc Allen) Blue dashed boxes denote individuals who report to other organizations, but support SMD

    4. Astrophysics Directions

    Numerous recent community reports call for re-establishing balance among small, medium, and large missions in the Astrophysics program: Astronomy & Astrophysics Advisory Committee 2007 Annual Report: “The balance between small, medium and large programs in the NASA Astrophysics Division has been undermined. The AAAC recommends that the funding "wedge" in FY09/10 be used to add some funding for R&A and small missions, to rebalance the program.” NRC 2007 NASA Astrophysics Program Assessment report: Recommendation #1: “NASA should optimize the projected scientific return from its Astrophysics Program by ensuring a diversified portfolio of large and small missions that reflect the scientific priorities of the decadal review and by investing in the work required to bring science missions to their full potential: e.g., technology development, data analysis, data archiving, and theory.”

    5. Astrophysics Division What’s New

    Exciting new capabilities to launch within two years: GLAST, HST-SM4, Kepler, Herschel/Planck, WISE New SMD focus on Strategic Investments in: Research and Analysis, Data Analysis, and Suborbital Opportunities. Re-instatement of NuSTAR mission Next Small Explorer (SMEX) AO: pre-proposal conference Nov. 6 in Washington DC (NOI Nov. 16) Proposals due January 15, 2008 Mission cost cap of $105M (FY08$), not including launch vehicle Mission of Opportunity allocation of $70M (FY08$) Selections anticipated 4 months after proposals due Approximately 6-8 Phase A concept studies Anticipate selecting up to 3 for flight New experience standards for PI, but only PI Strategic Mission Concept Studies NRA (proposals due Nov 20)

    6. Astrophysics Timelines

    Tan: mission in development, blue: mission in formulation

    7. FY2008 SMD Budget by Division ($M)

    Astrophysics

    New Horizons ? ST-5 ? STEREO ? Cloudsat ? CALIPSO ? GOES-N ? ST-6 ? TWINS-A ? Hinode THEMIS AIM ? Phoenix ? Dawn TWINS-B GLAST IBEX SDO OCO Glory HST SM-4 Kepler OSTM GOES-O GOES-P CINDI Chandrayan 1 Herschel Planck NPP MSL WISE ST-8 SOFIA NOAA-N’ ST-7/LPF 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 NASA Mission on US ELV DoD Mission with Substantial NASA Contribution Foreign Mission with Substantial NASA Contribution Joint NASA - International Partner Mission Reimbursable for NOAA

    8. NASA Science Mission Launches (CY06-CY14)

    2011 NuSTAR Juno LDCM Mars Scout 2013 2012 RBSP MoO SMEX Discovery ExoMars SMEX GPM Core JWST As of 09-25-07 GPM Const MMS ES Decadal 1 Discovery 2014 = Successfully launched to date * = Early science; targeting 2009 Aquarius

    9. SMD Launches (Phase A-D, $M)

    10. Looking Forward

    BEPAC report recommendations JDEM first for development and launch Technology investments in LISA and other missions Cost estimates (70% confidence) for total portfolio >$11B ExoPTF recommendations imminent Assumptions for future planning Approximately flat Astrophysics Division Budget Currently planned facilities operate at least as long as planned for (but most will likely last longer) Complete current missions in development Basic Research & Analysis (R&A) funding will go up, or at worst remain the same Mission funding profile shapes will resemble those in the past

    11. What Can We Afford?

    Fixed costs for the next 5 years are $M (FY08)/yr R&A, Mission Data Analysis, Theory: >130 Small Mission operations (e.g., GALEX, Swift, etc.): ~ 90 Medium Mission operations (e.g., Kepler, GLAST, etc.): ~130 Great Observatory operations: ~150 JWST development: ~300 Total >800 Funding available for other things (medium-class missions, Explorers, …) by the end of the 5 year period ~300 Balanced portfolio: Reinvigorate R&A, suborbital; Missions of Opportunity Medium class missions with cost envelope ~$600-700M at ~$150-200M/year peak requirement E.g., JDEM, exoplanets, US share of LISA, additional Probe-class missions Next >$1B mission after JWST Improve early cost estimation for strategic missions

    12. Conclusions

    Next two years rich in new observational capabilities as missions in development launch While constrained, NASA Astrophysics budgets capable of supporting the initiation of several new missions in the next decade Increased R&A, suborbital and small launch opportunities Future creativity and hard work of the community, working with government and industry, will produce equally stunning results during the next decade and beyond in a program that is affordable and executable

    13. Backup

    14. Astrophysics: Content of FY08 Budget

    15. Astrophysics Research Budget

    For FY2007, the following aggregates the competed Astrophysics research budget excluding flight hardware development “Astrophysics R&A” (really ST&T) ………………………………$50M Data analysis (other than “Astrophysics R&A”) …………………..$88M Mission specific General Observer/Guest Investigator programs Archival data analysis programs Mission Science Teams (other than “Astrophysics R&A”) ……..~ $75M PI teams for missions and instruments selected through AO Additional team members selected through competition Participating scientists, interdisciplinary scientists, science working group members, etc. Total Astrophysics research and data analysis funding ………..~ $213M

    16. FY2008 Federal Budget Context

    17. Total NASA Budget ($17.3 billion requested for FY08)

    OSTP-OMB FY08 budget overview for SSB, March 2007

    18. NASA Funding History

    ($B FY2000)

    19. We Are Successful !

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