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The Northwest Experience with Energy Efficiency As A Resource Option

The Northwest Experience with Energy Efficiency As A Resource Option. Tom Eckman Manager, Conservation Resources Northwest Power and Conservation Council. Regional Engineering and Economic Forecast vs. Actual Use – 1965 to 1985.

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The Northwest Experience with Energy Efficiency As A Resource Option

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  1. The Northwest Experience with Energy Efficiency As A Resource Option Tom Eckman Manager, Conservation Resources Northwest Power and Conservation Council

  2. Regional Engineering and Economic Forecast vs. Actual Use – 1965 to 1985

  3. Impact of Actions Taken in Response to “Engineering and Economic Determinist’s Forecasts and Plans 416% Rate Increase over 5 years

  4. First Lesson – There Are No Facts About the Future

  5. Council Adopts First Regional Conservation’s Goals 4,790 aMW 660 aMW

  6. Utility Reaction to Council’s First Plan Was “Mixed”

  7. Second Lesson – Energy Efficiency Resources Can Be Acquired in Significant Quantities Utility & BPA Programs, Energy Codes & Federal Efficiency Standards Now Produced Over 30,000 GWH/year of Savings

  8. Third Lesson – Energy Efficiency Can Significantly Reduced Load Growth

  9. More Evidence That Efficiency Works - PNW Average Residential Electricity Use/Capita Energy Efficiency Programs Begin

  10. IS THAT AS GOOD AS IT GETS?

  11. Council’s Current Estimate of Remaining “Technically Available” Conservation Potential

  12. Fourth Lesson – Even After 30 Years of Development There Remains A Large Energy Efficiency Potential 5th Plan Estimate

  13. Lessons Learned – Power System Planning • Energy Efficiency Reduces NPV System Cost and Risk • Efficiency Resources Are A Low Cost (avg. 2.4 cents/kWh) Hedge Against Market Price Spikes • They’re Not Subject to Fuel Price Risk • They’re Not Subject to Carbon Control Risk • They Can Be Significant Enough In Size to delay “build decisions” on more expensive and higher risk generation • It takes REAL MONEY, DATA and ANALYSIS to properly size efficiency resources • Northwest invested about $14 per capita in 2005 acquiring efficiency, several other US states are spending more

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