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Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder

Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder. Lou McClelland CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis June 2006 L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu. The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder. The higher the index The higher the 6-year graduation rate

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Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder

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  1. Relationship of CCHE admissions index to student outcomes at CU-Boulder Lou McClelland CU-Boulder Planning, Budget, and Analysis June 2006 L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu

  2. The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder • The higher the index • The higher the 6-year graduation rate • The higher the 4-year graduation rate • The higher the one-year retention rate • The faster students graduate • For CU-Boulder full-time first-time freshmen entering fall 1997, ’98, ’99 • All analyses use the “old” index calculation – Before the Oct 2003 revisions

  3. The basic relationships are also true for subgroups of these freshmen • The same relationships hold for • Colorado residents and out-of-state freshmen • Male and female freshmen • Minority freshmen • African-American, Hispanic/Latino, and Native American freshmen combined

  4. The following plots demonstrate the relationship • Each plot shows • A different outcome measure • For the 12,919 entering freshmen divided into deciles on index • Outcome measures plotted • 6- and 4-year graduation rates • Retention to second fall • Average number of elapsed terms to graduation

  5. The plots show that the relationships hold for all subgroups • Black dots show results for all freshmen • Blue: Residents and Non-residents • Red: Males and Females • Green: Minority and BHN – Black-Hispanic-Native American • Each point plotted is based on at least 40 entering freshmen; 90% are based on 100 or more freshmen

  6. The index predicts outcomes at CU-Boulder • Index also predicts first-year GPA’s at CU-Boulder • Within CU-Boulder, HS GPA is by far the strongest single predictor of outcomes. • Test scores only add a small bit of predictive power • Past CCHE work says that the index predicts outcomes within and across other schools as well L:/ir/cche/adm/IndexCk IR@colorado.edu

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