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American Chemical Corporate HBS Case. BackgroundThe Collinsville opportunityAppropriate cost of capital for valuationEstimate cash-flows for Collinsville planEstimate cash-flows for laminate technologyValuation of the opportunityStrategic implications . American Chemical. Large diversified chemical company1979 announces tender offer to acquire Universal Paper Corp .
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1. American Chemical Corporation HBS Case
2. American Chemical Corporate HBS Case Background
The Collinsville opportunity
Appropriate cost of capital for valuation
Estimate cash-flows for Collinsville plan
Estimate cash-flows for laminate technology
Valuation of the opportunity
Strategic implications
3. American Chemical
Large diversified chemical company
1979 announces tender offer to acquire Universal Paper Corp
4. Universal Paper corporation
5. Court Resolution
6. Product: Sodium Chlorate
7. Market for Sodium Chlorate
8. Growth in sales/capacity
9. Average price
10. The Collinsville Plant
11. The Collinsville Plant
12. The laminate technology
13. Cost of capital for valuation Find comparable firms
Estimate the project FCF’s beta
Calculate WACC for the Collinsville plant
14. Finding comparable firms
15. Comparable firms
16. Estimating project’s beta For each firm we calculate D/E ratio
We take beta debt to be zero
Beta equity from table
Calculate beta assets for each firm
Use the average for beta assets of the Collinsville project
17. The Dixon Corporation
18. Estimating project’s WACC obtain D/E ratio for Dixon corporation
Use beta assets and beta debt to estimate beta equity for Collinsville project
Use CAMP to calculate r equity and r debt for the Collinsville project
Long-term Treasure bills carry 9.5% interest
Historical equity premium is about 6-7%
19. Estimating future FCF’s (1980-84)
20. Estimating future FCF’s (1980-84)
21. Estimating future FCF’s (1980-84) Downward price pressure due to increased competition (entry & new technology)
Increased variable/fixed costs (estimated)
Stationary CapEx
Continuation value (predict growth in FCF’s)
22. Conclusions and Strategic implications Valuation
Reduced selling costs and cheap TVA power together with laminate technology lead to positive NPV
Reconsider deal terms
Attractiveness relies on Laminate technology
Risks and opportunities
Commodity business
Requires low production costs and large scale
Currently controls 13% of regional market. But entry into the industry is expected.
Metal electrodes produce savings of 30% relative to 17.5%. Introduces a cost disadvantage.
Collinsville as method of entry into the sodium chlorate industry
Cheap way to enter, acquire customers and market share without “competing” with existing players
The laminate technology limits the potential damage form new technology deployed