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Oil Infrastructure Requirements Constraints & Solutions

Oil Infrastructure Requirements Constraints & Solutions. Dr. S. N. A. Zaidi General Manager (Operations) Pakistan State Oil Company Limited. Pakistan Energy Mix. Natural Gas Sector-wise Consumption. 27.5 MTOE. Future Gas Shortfall. Pakistan Power Sector Capacity Breakdown.

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Oil Infrastructure Requirements Constraints & Solutions

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  1. Oil Infrastructure RequirementsConstraints & Solutions Dr. S. N. A. Zaidi General Manager (Operations) Pakistan State Oil Company Limited

  2. Pakistan Energy Mix

  3. Natural Gas Sector-wise Consumption 27.5 MTOE

  4. Future Gas Shortfall

  5. Pakistan Power Sector Capacity Breakdown

  6. Pakistan Power Sector Supply & Demand Gap

  7. Refinery Capacity & Crude Processing 13.2 MMT

  8. Crude Sourcing & Import Handling

  9. Refined Product Sourcing & Import Handling Import Handling Sourcing 12.4 MMT 20.5 MMT

  10. Ports in Pakistan (for Oil Imports) Source: OCAC

  11. OMCs in Pakistan • Currently there are 12 OMCs operating in Pakistan • The 5 major OMCs* have combined market share of around 96% • APL, BYCO, TPPL have refinery backup • HSD & FO contribute 85% of country’s oil products demand * PSO, SPL, CPL, APL & TOTAL

  12. OMCs Market Shares +8% 18.1 MMT Source: OCAC

  13. Industry Deficit Product Imports 19.0 MMT

  14. Port Utilization Unit: MMT Non-POL at Keamari 48% Utilization 110% Utilization

  15. POL Forecast – Scenario-I Unit: MMT 25.0 24.3 23.7 23.1 21.3 Source: OCAC

  16. POL Forecast – Scenario-II Unit: MMT 18.3 25.0 16.9 24.3 23.7 23.1 15.9 21.3 13.7 13.3

  17. HSFO DEMAND / LOCAL AVAILABILITY STATUS TRL & BOPL full production & PRL partial reduction TRL & BOPL Partial production PRL reduced production

  18. Constraints & Solutions

  19. Challenges to Oil Industry Supply Chain Constraints • Port • Logistics • Storages

  20. Supply Constraints • Limited average refinery production of max 250,000 MT/month • Increase reliance on imports • Jetty constraints at FOTCO (Existing capacity 750,000 M.Tons or15 Cargos • Expected Cargo arrival at FOTCO in future is as under:

  21. Port Constraints • By 2016, POL demand expected to touch 25 MMT • Despite BYCO refinery project coming on-stream, deficit imports will be more than 14 MMT • With KPT OP-I planned maintenance in 2013, the port capacity will be reduced to 16 MMT for 2 years • With Crude, FO & HSD imports and Export prospects (in view of new refinery), following options will have to be explored: • SBM at HUB connecting the Bosicor refineries for crude imports • Pipeline link between strategic ports for effective utilization of KPT oil piers and also as a contingency measure in case of port shutdown • 2nd berth at FOTCO to handle probable FO demand surge in view of gas supplies depletion

  22. Logistics • With increased product demand in future, there will be an imbalance in points-of-input and points-of-consumption • 70:30 is the FO demand in Southern and Central region (respectively) • Initially, Pakistan Railway (PR) moved more than 2.5 million tons of product nationwide. This has declined to <0.5 million last year • As railways is a more efficient and cost effective mode of transport, the PR infrastructure needs to be reinforced through local & foreign equity • Currently more than 10,000 Tank Lorries are being used to transport petroleum products • Road infrastructure be further developed to handle this movement in safe manner

  23. LOGISTICS OVERVIEW

  24. Storages • At present no major investment is required in storage development. • 1.15 Million Mt storages at Power Sector is empty due lack of funds for purchase of Fuel Oil. • There is a serious need of strategic storage development to build up country reserves of crude and finished product. • The potential of Gwadar as a bunkering hub is huge due to proximity to strait of Hormez, the oil industry needs to develop oil depots at the point of consumption to cater for this demand

  25. Thank you

  26. Keamari – Port Qasim Pipeline link

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