TPA BILL CHART SURVEY!

1. HART Chesapeake Beach Consulting RESEARCH ASSOCIATES Voters’ View of Fast-Track Authority for the Trans-Pacific-Partnership PactEMBARGOED UNTIL 2:30 PM ET, WED, JAN 29 National survey among 816 US registered voters January 14-18, 2014

2. Methodology • Survey among 816 US registered voters nationwide • Conducted by telephone (72% landline, 28% cell), January 14 to 18, 2014 • Margin of error = ±3.5percentage points among all voters, higher among subgroups • Sample includes 37% Democrats, 28% independents, 35% Republicans

3. Concern about Free Trade Agreements Has Grown over Time Perceived Impact of Free Trade Agreements between the United States and Foreign Countries By 62% to 19%, voters believe that free trade agreements cost the United States jobs rather than create them. * Hart-McInturff for NBC NEWS/The Wall Street Journal

4. Voters’ Priorities for Trade Deals Align with TPP Opponents, Not Supporters Two Most Important Goals for US Trade Agreements with other Countries All voters Preventing US jobs moving overseas Preventing unfair competition that lowers US workers’ wages Ensuring safety of imported products/foods Preventing harm to environment Opening foreign markets to US exports Protecting patents/ copyrights of US companies Lowering prices for US consumers Demo-crats 45% 25% 23% 26% 15% 10% 14% Inde-pendents 47% 25% 22% 16% 14% 12% 14% Repub-licans 55% 23% 20% 8% 15% 21% 10% Jobs Wages Food safety Environment Exports IP Lower prices

5. Voters Oppose Fast-Track Authority by More than Two to One As you may know, the Obama administration is now negotiating a new free trade agreement with 12 Pacific nations called the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Congress will soon decide whether to give the president "fast-track" authority for these negotiations, which would mean that once the administration's negotiations are completed, Congress must take an up-or-down vote on the agreement as a whole, and could not make any amendments or changes in the agreement. Do you favor . . . or oppose giving the president fast-track authority for TPP? 62% 28% Strongly 43% Strongly 12% Favor Oppose Not sure

6. Initial Opposition to Fast Track Is Widespread Do you favor . . . or oppose giving the president fast-track authority for TPP? Favor 28% 31%28%28%26% 30%28%29% 33%27%24%30% Oppose 62% 51%64%67%65% 60%64%65% 58%63%64%61% Favor 52%20%8% 61%45% 6%12% 53%8%19% Oppose 35%66%87% 27%43% 89%85% 34%88%67% All voters Age 18 to 34Age 35 to 49Age 50 to 64Age 65/over Income: Under $50K $50K to $100K Over $100K NortheastSouthMidwestWest DemocratsIndependentsRepublicans Democrats: Liberal Moderate/conservative Republicans: Conservative Liberal/moderate 2014 Vote for Congress: Democrat Republican Undecided

7. Prior to Hearing Debate, Voters Have Mixed Expectations for Pacific Trade Deal The Trans-Pacific Partnership is a free trade agreement being negotiated with 12 other Pacific nations, including Australia, Japan, Peru, Singapore, and Vietnam. What impact do you think this kind of trade deal will have on America? Very positive impact Very negative impact 37% NEGATIVE 46% POSITIVE Somewhat negative impact Somewhat positive impact Both (3%)/not sure

8. On Fast-Track Process, Opponents’ Case is More Compelling to Voters Which comes closer to your view of giving the president fast-track negotiating authority? Congress should approve fast-track authority, as it has several times before, because it's impossible to negotiate a deal among 12 nations if each country's legislature can amend the agreement. Fast-track authority allows the president to negotiate agreements while preserving Congress's crucial role in reviewing and ratifying agreements, just as the Constitution calls for. 27% Much more 14% Fast-track authority has been denied before, and should be denied now because it would give the President too much power by forcing Congress to make a take-it-or-leave-it decision on a 29-chapter, 1,000-page agreement. Congress should meet its responsibility, review the agreement carefully, and make sure it is in the best interests of American workers and consumers. It's more important to do trade deals right than fast. 68% Agree much more 44%

9. Simulating the Coming Debate over Fast Track and the TPP Deal • All respondents heard seven reasons to support fast track and seven reasons to oppose it, in randomized sequence. (Half heard supporters’ arguments first, half heard opponents’ arguments first.) • Half the respondents then assessed the likely impact of the trade deal on jobs, the environment, and other relevant factors. • The other half identified whom they believe would be helped and hurt by the trade deal. • All respondents were then asked their overall opinion on fast track a second time to provide an informed measure of public support.

10. Voters’ Evaluation of Reasons to Support Fast Track for TPP Free trade is good for US economy: 38 million jobs, 1/3 of agriculture sales Reduce barriers to US products, boost exports, create 100Ks jobs Protect US intellectual property (74% of US exports, supports 55 million jobs) If US doesn’t China will, taking business from US firms and dominating Asia Half the growth in world economy in next 5 years will come from Asia-Pacific area Would eliminate lots of unfair barriers to US exports, level playing field for US business More choices for US consumers, lower prices Strengthens role of Congressin trade policy 49% 44% 42% 41% 39% 39% 34% 31%

11. Voters’ Evaluation of Reasons to Oppose Fast Track for TPP Gives president too much power; Congress responsibility TPP countries pay little ($.28/hr.), unfair for US workers Expands food imports: health threats, FDA inspects only 2% NAFTA-like: $8 trillion deficit, millions of lost jobs Secret agreement, Congress must approve without seeing Pharma increase prices, AARP says will increase seniors’ costs Worsen US trade deficit, cost 130,000 US jobs Foreign corps can attack US enviro and public health laws Undermine US sovereignty: fgn. corps challenge US laws 69% 66% 66% 62% 58% 53% 52% 50% 44%

12. After Debate, Voters Believe TPP Will Have Negative Impact On Jobs And Wages Prices American Consumers Pay Better 43% Worse 36% -35 -22 American Jobs American wages and salaries

13. Voters Also Expect Environment and Consumer Safety To Be Undermined By TPP -45 -30 Environment Safety of imported food

14. Voters Believe TPP Will Help Large Corporations, But Hurt America’s Small Businesses +55 -40 Large corporations Small Businesses

15. After Voters Hear Full Debate, Strong Opposition to Fast Track Remains Do you favor . . . or oppose having Congress give the President fast-track authority to negotiate a new Pacific trade agreement, which would mean that Congress must take an up-or-down vote on the agreement as a whole and could not make any changes in the agreement? Initial View Post-Debate View 65% 62% 30% 28% Strongly 45% Strongly 43% Strongly 13% Strongly 12% Favor Oppose Not sure Favor Oppose Not sure

16. Political Risk for Members of Congress Who Support Fast Track If a Member of Congress voted in favor of giving the president fast-track negotiating authority for the Pacific trade agreement, in the next election I would be: All voters Less Likely to Vote For Democrats Independents GOP Conserv. GOP Northeast South Midwest West 17 47 68 74 46 44 39 43 -32 More likely to votefor candidate Less likely to votefor candidate

17. HART Chesapeake Beach Consulting RESEARCH ASSOCIATES Voters’ View of Fast-Track Authority for the Trans-Pacific-Partnership PactEMBARGOED UNTIL 2:30 ET, WED, JAN 29 National survey among 816 US registered voters January 14-18, 2014