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Lebanese / Iranian Diaspora . Links to Terrorism and Transnational Crime. Lebanese / Iranian Diaspora . Presented by: LTC Robert A. Albino Lead Combating Terrorism Planner US ARMY EUROPE . Diaspora = Means to Asymmetric Power Projection .
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Lebanese / Iranian Diaspora Links to Terrorism and Transnational Crime Lebanese / Iranian Diaspora • Presented by: • LTC Robert A. Albino • Lead Combating Terrorism Planner US ARMY EUROPE
Diaspora = Means to Asymmetric Power Projection “The guerrilla must move amongst the people as a fish swims in the sea.” Mao Tse-Tung
History of Lebanon-Iran Relations Historical Ties that Bind
Recent Reasons for Iranian Exodus - Safety from Persecution - Economic Security IslamicRevolution
Recent Reasons for Lebanese Exodus • Lebanese Civil War(1975–1990) • Hundred Days' War1978 (part of the Lebanese Civil War) • 1982 Lebanon War(part of the Lebanese Civil War, also known as the 1st Lebanon War) • Mountain War (Lebanon)1983-1984 (part of the Lebanese Civil War) • War of the Camps 1984-1989 (part of the Lebanese Civil War) • 2006 Lebanon War(also known as the 2nd Lebanon War or Israel-Hezbollah war)Spillover from Syrian Civil War Today and Continuing WelcometoLebanon Decades of War
Iranian Diaspora ≈ 5 million expatriates globally 50,000 121,505 1.5 million Top Six: USA Qatar UAE Bahrain Canada Germany 1.5 million 270,000 400,000 18,798 172,000 121,505 120,000 Darker Green = More Iranians
Lebanese Diaspora ≈ 15 million expatriates globally 449,000 3,300,000 Top Six: Brazil USA Argentina Colombia Australia Canada 10 million 3.3 million 500,000 1.5 million 840,000 500,000 449,000 Darker Red = More Lebanese
Lebanese & Iranian Diaspora 50,000 449,000 1.5 million 10 million 500,000
Hezbollah / Iranian Actions via Lebanese / Iranian Diaspora 50,000 449,000 1.5 million 10 million 500,000
Terrorism Crime Support Support MutuallyBeneficial Relationship Violent Terrorism Support Support Organized Crime
Example: Smuggling Drugs, Weapons, Money, Stolen Goods, Black Market Contraband, Sanctioned Items, Nuclear Material of Concern, People (Sex Workers, Illegal Immigrants, Foreign Fighters, etc) , etc. SeXXX
M-I-C-E Terrorism & Crime’s Recruitment of Diaspora Ego / Coercion / Compromise Excitement Ideology Money “What is patriotism but the love of the food one ate as a child?” -- Lin Yutang Lebanese Food Iranian Food
Lebanese Hezbollah Truck Bombing 23 OCT 1983 • Deadliest terrorist attack against American Service Members. • Deadliest terrorist attack against Americans abroad. • Deadliest single attack against Americans abroad since WWII. • LH Military Wing officially designated a terrorist organization 22 JUL 2013 due to: • Bombings in Bulgaria & elsewhere • Growing role in Syria
Lessons Learned from Iran-Iraq War Iran vs. Iraq, 8 yrs, 1 Million Causalities = Stalemate U.S. vs. Iraq, 3 wks, 150 U.S. Dead = U.S. in Baghdad . Iran’s conventional military ability is limited …. . .