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BIG DATA in a small world. Alessandro Panconesi Informatica. THE STARS. PEOPLE. The INTERNET is an observatory on Crowds. A Paradigm Shift. A Paradigm Shift. COMPUTATIONAL SOCIAL SCIENCE?. A CLASSIC REVISITED. Outcome. 30% of the letters reached the target
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BIG DATA in a small world Alessandro Panconesi Informatica
Outcome 30% of the letters reached the target Average (median) chain length was roughly six
Conjectures Take any two people in the world, and they will be connected by a very short chain of acquaintances
A matter of scale 300 60,000
A matter of scale 230,000,000 300 60,000
A matter of scale 230,000,000 300 750,000,000 60,000
A matter of scale 230,000,000 300 750,000,000 60,000 Non trivial computational issues
Google Flu Trends Nature 457, 1012-1014 (2009)
More Evidence Movies Hits Stocks? …
No one would have believed in the first years of the XXI century that this world was being watched keenly and closely by awesome computing and financial powers; that as people busied themselves about their various concerns they were scrutinised and studied, perhaps almost as narrowly as a person with a microscope might scrutinise the transient creatures that swarm and multiply in a drop of water. … Adapted from “The War of the Worlds” by H.G.Wells
All'inizio del XXI secolo nessuno avrebbe mai creduto che il nostro pianeta fosse sotto osservazione da parte di entità cibernetico-finanziarie di inimmaginabile potenza e che mentre l'umanità si affaccendava nella sua quotidianità i suoi movimenti venivano osservati da vicino da occhi cupidi, allo steso modo in cui i batteri che pullulano e si moltiplicano sono studiati attentamente al microscopio… Adapted from “The War of the Worlds” by H.G.Wells
FINAL REMARKS • Paradigm shift in the social sciences? • Computational Statistics (more predictive power) • Hybrid science: data processing CANNOT be naïve • New algorithms are the key • Ethical caveats apply (privacy etc)