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HI 112. Raffael Scheck 7. The Start of the Cold War. Background. Neither side initially wanted a confrontation. The division of Germany and Europe was no foregone conclusion
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HI 112 Raffael Scheck 7
Background • Neither side initially wanted a confrontation. The division of Germany and Europe was no foregone conclusion • But the differences between the Soviet Union and the western victors were irreconcilable from the start (democracy, capitalism)
Initial Understandings • American forces will withdraw by 1947 • Soviet Union moderates its policies so as not to endanger American withdrawal and because it believes French and Italian Communists will take power • U.S., Soviet Union, Britain, and France take occupation zones in Germany and Austria but agree to a common administration of both countries • Soviets hint that they will respect democracy and the exiled prewar governments in Eastern Europe • Delineation of zones of influence
The Understandings Unravel (1945-48) • Incompatibility of Soviet interests (security, economy) with democracy in Eastern Europe • Soviet frustration with their share of Germany • Fallout over the Civil War in Greece • Truman Doctrine, 1947 • Soviets oust all non-communist members of governments in Eastern Europe and manipulate elections • Marshall Plan 1948
What to Do With Germany? • Soviet Union annexes a part of East Prussia and insists on a “move” of Poland to the west. Consequence: deportation of 10 million Germans • Potsdam Conference, July-August 1945: commitment to a democratic, demilitarized, and denazified Germany administered by the four powers • Problems with the ex-territoriality of the western sectors of Berlin • The West consolidates its sectors in response to economic problems • Soviet reaction: The Berlin Blockade 1948-49 • Foundation of two German states, 1949
Conclusions • An “Iron Curtain” runs through Europe and cuts through Germany and Berlin • Democracy and close ties to the United States prevail in most of Western Europe • Stalinist puppet regimes are firmly in power in most of Eastern Europe • Europe becomes a “battleground” of the Cold War - from subject to object of world history • Both halves of Europe begin to unite - with close military and economic ties to their respective superpower ally
The Integration of Western Europe • Motivated by Marshall Plan and desire to overcome old divisions • Pooling of coal and steel resources: the European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC, 1951) • Defense cooperation (NATO) • The Treaty of Rome, 1957. Creation of a European Economic Community (EEC), but vision of a union in all aspects • Franco-German reconciliation as the motor of European integration • The enlargement of the EEC/EC
Milestones Of Western European Integration During the Cold War • 1948 Marshall Plan • 1949 NATO • 1951 European Coal and Steel Community, ECSC (It, Fr, West Germany, Benelux countries) • 1957 European Economic Community (Treaty of Rome) • 1973 Accession of Great Britain, Ireland, and Denmark to the EEC (now renamed European Community, EC) • 1981 Accession of Greece to the EC • 1986 Accession of Spain and Portugal to the EC
Decolonization • Background: frustration of non-European states with the Versailles peace order • Growing independence movements in the European colonies; Marxist ideology and democratic principles • World War II shakes up the colonies and weakens ties to Europe • Peaceful dissolution of most of the British Empire 1945-60 • Less peaceful dissolution of the French Empire (conflicts in Vietnam and Algeria) 1950-62
What Was Similar in East and West? • Recovery and reconstruction, albeit on a much lower level in the East • Lasting peace • Strong international cooperation, albeit forced, not voluntary (COMECON; Warsaw Pact) • Promise of access to consumer goods - although much less successful in the East
What Was Different in the East? • Total state control over the economy • Full employment but low productivity • Control of education and careers • Social security and universal medicare, but at very low quality • Exploitation by the Soviet Union • Industrialization, but ailing agriculture • Consumer sector remains a great source of frustration due to shortages and low-quality products (examples: refrigerators, bananas, radios, Trabant) • Repression; secret police; censorship
Phase I: Reconstruction 1945-1953 • Rebuilding of destroyed areas • Beginnings of land reform in Eastern Europe (collectivization of agriculture; forced industrialization) • Tight political control under Stalin • Military-industrial achievements (nuclear power)
Phase II: Post-Stalinism 1953-64 • Destalinization: Attack on Stalin Cult but not on the flaws of the system • Stalin’s death sends false signals to fellow communist countries (GDR, Hungary) • Khrushev emerges as successor by 1956 • Berlin crisis 1961 • Cuban missile crisis
Phase III: Stagnation 1964-85 • Brezhnev; rule of the apparatchiks: premium on loyalty of party bureaucrats rather than performance • Intensified corruption and mismanagement • Economic crisis worsens but is kept largely secret • Repression of Prague Spring, 1968 • Arms race with U.S. • Invasion of Afghanistan, 1979
Phase IV: Acknowledgment of Crisis 1985-89 • Gorbachev • Perestroika: restructuring of the economy toward liberalization of trade and services • Glasnost: transparency in political discourse • Confrontation with the Stalinist past • Yet: reforms are hesitant and exacerbate the crisis. Vision of becoming a wealthy welfare state like Sweden is ludicrous
The 1980s: A Decade of Stress in the Communist Countries • Economic crisis • Astronomic debt to the West • Demand for democratization and peaceful reform • Defensive Communist parties • The Solidarity movement in Poland under Lech Walesa - repressed in 1981 but still vital in 1988
The East German Problem • Comparison to the West; widespread desire to leave • Trabi treck through Hungary and Austria, summer 1989 • Mass protests in Leipzig (Monday Demonstrations): “we are the people” • Conservative Communist Regime. Gloomy 40th anniversary celebration in October 1989
The Specter of Tiananmen Square • Massacre in Beijing on 4 June 1989: People’s Liberation Army crushes pro-democracy protest by students • Signal for Eastern Europe?
The Collapse of the Soviet Bloc • Polish government opens “round table” meetings with Solidarity - 1988 • Hungarian communists dismantle iron curtain with Austria - Summer 1989 • Opening of the German Wall, 9 November 1989 • Peaceful revolutions except in Romania
Summary • Eastern European communist regimes, pressed hard by economic crisis, sooner or later make concessions to vast popular movements for reform. They give up their power monopoly peacefully and concede democratization • Decisive: the Soviet Union no longer takes an interest in keeping up bloody repression. Eastern European Reform Communists take advantage of the new latitude
The Reunification of Germany • From “we are the people” to “we are ONE people” • Currency reform 1:1 - July 1990 • Rush to German unity - 3 October 1990 • Economic and social collapse in the East
The Dissolution of the Soviet Union • Glasnost and economic crisis strengthen centrifugal tendencies • Attempted Putsch to reinstate hard-line communism, August 1991 • Russian President Yeltsin as key figure • Dissolution of Soviet Union for the sake of a Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), November 1991
Widening and Deepening the EU • Treaty of Maastricht, 1992/1996 • Introduction of the Euro, 2002 • Europe of the 25 (2004) • Critique and Achievement
A Bitter Tune: National Hatreds Revived • The violent dissolution of Yugoslavia, 1992-98 • Demand for national self-determination and democracy • Serb minorities in Croatia and Bosnia - cicil war 1992-95 • Albanian-Serb tensions in Kosovo. NATO intervention 1999