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Quantifying water productivity in rainfed cropping systems: Limpopo Province, South Africa. John Dimes CPWF PN17 Final Project Workshop 15-18 June 2009, Univ of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. Impact target. Smallholder farming systems in Limpopo Basin
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Quantifying water productivity in rainfed cropping systems:Limpopo Province, South Africa John Dimes CPWF PN17 Final Project Workshop 15-18 June 2009, Univ of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
Impact target Smallholder farming systems in Limpopo Basin • Largely Rainfed systems (highly variable) • Perennial low productivity (poor fertility) • Resource-poor farmers • Highly risk-averse • Poor market access • Largely an issue of ‘Green Water’ productivity – near term and longer term
Purpose of Farmer-based research is to raise crop yields and water productivity of green water Av. Yield 680 kg/ha (298) Simulated maize yields, Bulawayo – WP of 1kg grain /mm/ha
1 bag Weeded 3 bags Weeded 1 bag No weeding What about under farmer conditions?
So where are the highest payoffs? Short season, N use, water cons. 4.5
CPWF PN17 Activity • 1 year study (2007-08) • To measure crop water use (maize, cowpea, groundnut) • Evaluate APSIM performance • Use APSIMto extrapolatethe field based results of crop water productivity (APSIM is a point-source model)
2 Issues: • Establish local credibility of model output (above & below ground) • Model outputs as information source for off-site impacts
Approach • Did not initiate new experimentation • Added value to existing field activities by monitoring soil water. • Partnerships • Sasol Nitro/Univ Limpopo – NxP in Maize • ARC-GCI:- Gnut and Bambara variety trials • Venda Univ/ACIAR Project – P trial in Gnut
This Presentation • Experimental data and simulation results from 1 site – Tafelkop, ARC-GCI • Higher potential ( > 1200masl, >500mm, Sekhukune District, 2007/08 = 717mm) • Sandy Loam • Gnut and Bambara variety trial, on-farm • Improved varieties of Maize and Cowpea Demonstration plots (30m x30m)
Exptn. Details • Different Planting Dates: • Nov 14th, 2007, Maize (29kgN ha-1) and Gnut • Dec 5th, 2007, Cowpea • Soil water measurements • 0-10, 10-30, 30-60, 60-90cm, gravimetrically • Dates • Dec 12th 2007, Gnut and Bambara • > 300mm, DUL for soil layers • Feb 22nd , 2008, All crops • almost 1 month without rain – Crop LL of soil layers • Mar 29th, 2008, Mz, Cwp, Gnut • Physiological Maturity – Mar rains 70mm, 30mm on 27th – refilling of soil profile
Filling measurement gaps SOC 0-10cm = 0.51%, PAWC 0-90cm = 90mm : Oct-Nov14= 180mm, to Dec 12th = 134mm
Obs and Pred Yields Total Biomass Grain yield Driver of crop water use Assessment of water productivity
Water Balance Components Season rainfall – Oct 1st 2007 to May 28th 2008
Water Productivity (kg/mm/ha) WP1 = grain/ m3 in_crop rainfall WP2 = kg grain/ (m3 of rainfall +delta SW storage sowing to harvest – using model outputs) WP3 = kg grain/ m3 of seasonal water balance (Oct 1st 2007 to May 28th 2008) Crops of different value($)
Simulation Analysis • Tafelkop soil • Groblersdal climate (1974-2004) • In Addis, Nov 2008 • Maize response to N (0N, 30N, Non-limiting N) • maize is the dominant crop grown by SHF’s • Today • Include legume options • Bag of LAN increased from R200 to > R500
Conclusions • Crop modelling (hydrological modelling AND Livestock modelling) are essential tools for systems analysis and WP assessment: • Caution: need to establish local credibility for these tools. • Crop/soil simulation output can provide important data (drainage/runoff) to inform catchment level analysis for different crop management interventions (the green-blue interaction) • Crop modelling adds value to field experimentation • Helps fill measurement gaps • APSIM performed well in simulation of crop yields and soil water use in Limpopo Basin
Some issues with Input data Marble Hall – 800masl – Tafelkop > 1200 masl Used Polokwane Temp data (1230 masl) to adequately simulate crop duration