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Achievements in Sociology and Economy applied to Wildland Fires. Acquis en Sociologie et Economie appliquées aux Incendies de Forêt. Teams, objectives & deliverables in socio-economy issues. socio-economy issues shape it all.
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Achievements in Sociology and Economy applied to Wildland Fires Acquis en Sociologie et Economie appliquées aux Incendies de Forêt EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Teams, objectives & deliverables in socio-economy issues EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
socio-economy issues shape it all EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
The Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires: a State of the Art • Effective fire management needs to know more about where, when and why fires occur. • In the Mediterranean Area, we deal with human caused fires (mostly). • We therefore need to investigate socio-economic factors. • Since causes are more diverse than it is often assumed, • a rational approach is necessary to give an interpretation to this complex reality, which is site and culture-specific (Leone et al, 2003). • Geographic Information Systems (GIS) are appropriate tools to create, transform, and integrate geographical variables related to fire risk in order to supply the geographical location of those areas where risk factors are most severe. EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires • Planning, execution & coordination of II International Fire Economic Symposium (April 2004) with the following topics: • Methodological approaches to Strategic Fire Management Economy and Planning • Market and no-market economic evaluation techniques into wildland fire management and strategic planning • Trade-offs between fuel treatment and suppression activities EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires • Planning, realization and coordination of 1st International Course on Landscape, Society and Defense against Forest Fire, (August, 2005) International University of Andalucia. with the following topics: • "The forest landscape, modeling prevention of forest fires and economic point of view" • "The forest landscape, modification, evolution and forest fire, technical and interpretation tools.“ • "Methodological procedures for the determination of the natural regeneration after forest fire the Pinaster Pine” EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires • “Fire in the forest landscapes: cause and effects“ • "The danger of forest fires in the interface area“ • "Economic valuation and perception of the society before the forest fires impact“ • "The human risk in the forest fires starting and their implication in the causes and motivations.“ Economic analysis of the conditions of the fire behavior, frequency of fires, and costs in the dispatch of the suppression resources, for the initial attack evaluation a province scale, developing and application tool (2005 fire season) EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Interest of Socio-Economical Sciences in Wildland Fires • An example in S. Spain • Planning, research, and mathematical algorithm developed about economic values of natural Mediterranean from forest fire impact point of view. To integrate in “The National Forests Fire Management System” (Spain) • Research on recreation economic value to elaborate a specific digital map methodology how fire management tool in prevention and strategic planning using GIS. EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Towards methods for investigating fire causes • Identification and generation of source data for the analysis of human factors related with fire occurrence (spatial and socio-economical variables) at regional scale using GIS. • Integration of available historical fire data and official fire statistics into the database. • Elaboration, application and validation of methodologies to predict fire occurrence at regional scale. EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Towards methods for studying cost-to-benefit ratio of wildland fire prevention A French study site Mean damage/year Scenario Mean mean Forests damages Buildings damages Mean damage/fire surface interface Witness 9,0 ha 4,2 hm 2707 euros 21182 euros 23888 euros 716647 euros 50 % reduction in track number 9,2 ha 4,2 hm 2750 euros 21117 euros 23928 euros 717834 euros 50 % wildland- urban interfaces improved 8,9 ha 3,9 hm 2662 euros 9736 euros 12398 euros 371944 euros • Forest fire valuation and assessment: a survey • A method to study cost-to benefit ratio of wildland fire prevention EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Enjeux forts 93% 418ha brûlés 74hm d'interface Délai long 35% Densité faible 82% 418ha brûlés 51hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 7% Densité forte 18% 314ha brûlés 57hm d'interface Surface forte 10% Enjeux forts 66% 209ha brûlés 68hm d'interface Délai court 65% Densité faible 32% 209ha brûlés 10hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 34% 157ha brûlés 10hm d'interface Densité forte 68% Enjeux forts 67% 125ha brûlés42hm d'interface Délai long 59% Densité faible 48% 125ha brûlés12hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 33% Vigie + PF 2 GA 1 GAAR Densité forte 52% 94ha brûlés8hm d'interface Situation 3 16% Surface moy. 18% Enjeux forts 62% 63ha brûlés46hm d'interface Délai court 41% Densité faible 38% 63ha brûlés8hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 38% Densité forte 62% 47ha brûlés11hm d'interface Densité faible 75% 31ha brûlés 12hm d'interface Délai long 75% Densité forte 25% 24ha brûlés 13hm d'interface Surface faible 72% 16ha brûlés 14hm d'interface Densité faible 51% Délai court 25% Densité forte 49% 12ha brûlés13hm d'interface Enjeux forts 70% 84ha brûlés19hm d'interface Délai long 2% Densité faible 89% 84ha brûlés 21hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 30% Densité forte 11% 63ha brûlés 20hm d'interface Surface forte 10% Enjeux forts 76% 21ha brûlés 14hm d'interface Délai court 98% Densité faible 38% 21ha brûlés 3hm d'interface Enjeux faibles 24% Densité forte 62% 16ha brûlés 2hm d'interface Densité faible 80% 25ha brûlés7hm d'interface Délai long 13% Densité forte 20% 19ha brûlés10hm d'interface Vigie + PF 2 GA 0 GAAR Situation 2 72% Surface moy. 18% Jour 68% Densité faible 39% 6ha brûlés4hm d'interface Délai court 87% Densité forte 61% 6ha brûlés4hm d'interface Densité faible 95% 6ha brûlés 3hm d'interface Délai long 18% Densité forte 5% 5ha brûlés 3hm d'interface Été 57 % Surface faible 72% Densité faible 61% 2ha brûlés 3hm d'interface Délai court 82% Densité forte 39% 1ha brûlés3hm d'interface Vigie + PF 1 GA 0 GAAR Ts les feux 100 % Situation 1 12% 0,5ha brûlés 0hm d'interface Ni vigie, ni PF, ni GA ni GAAR Nuit 32% 13ha brûlés 10hm d'interface Ni vigie, ni PF, ni GA ni GAAR Hiver 43 % 3ha brûlés 0hm d'interface Towards methods for studying cost-to-benefits ratio of wildland fire prevention Decision tree EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Recommendations for updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF • Recommendations in this document will be made within six broad topics • 1. Wildland Fire Data sets: enhancing Wildland Fire documentation causes investigation and official Wildland Fire Data sets • 2. Wildland Fire Risk Assessments. • 3. Infrastructures for Wildland Fire Pre-attack • 4. Wildland Fuel treatments across the landscape (Rx) • 5. Best wildland suppression actions • 6. Fire Fighter Job hazard Abatement Actions • 7. Enforcement and punishment (castigation, retribution) EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Recommendations for updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF Single owner versus community EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF • Job Hazard Safety issues: education, training, equipment, protocols, ICS EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF Trigger Point of Fire Behavior change Fire Track Job Hazard Safety issues: education, training, equipment, protocols, ICS, … All three fires hit the trigger point and were then in full alignment with wind, slope and solar preheated fuels. Firefighters died because they did not understand the potential fire behavior. EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF • Rx • Suppression fire • wise use of fire in Catalonia (NE Spain) recent (2006) regulation • Smart (skilful) use of fire under well known fuel bed structures & fire weather EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Kids’ education - Social acceptability • M. EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Updating the relevant European regulations UL-UFF • Citizen confinement or evacuation • If confinement, most likely output • People care for house survival. 6% houses survive undamaged. People may suffer smoke inhalation only. • If evacuation, most likely output • People CANNOT care for house survival. +23% houses CANNOT survive undamaged. People may die: • Catalonia 1993: 5 people died during evacuation (Vespella de Gaià) • Catalonia 2003: 5 people died during evacuation (St Llorenç Savall) • Please, confine citizens • If it is not extreme hazard • If evacuation is unsafe EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006
Unit 05- Merci / thanks EUFIRELAB, Symposium conclusif, Conclusive symposium, Avignon, 20/10/2006