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The Perfect Storm? How do Ports Plan for the Future?

The Perfect Storm? How do Ports Plan for the Future?. Congestion. Freight Growth. Constrained Infrastructure. Jeannie Beckett, Sr. Dir. Inland Transportation, Port of Tacoma Talking Freight Seminar, June 16,2004. Steps in the Planning Process. Strategic Business Plans Trend Forecasts

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The Perfect Storm? How do Ports Plan for the Future?

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  1. The Perfect Storm?How do Ports Plan for the Future? Congestion Freight Growth Constrained Infrastructure Jeannie Beckett, Sr. Dir. Inland Transportation, Port of Tacoma Talking Freight Seminar, June 16,2004

  2. Steps in the Planning Process • Strategic Business Plans • Trend Forecasts • Land Use Planning • Capacity Studies • Planning for the Future

  3. Strategic Business Planning • What is your Vision and Mission? • What is your core competencies? • Where are your Growth potentials? • Current Customers • New Customers • New Line of Business • New ideas

  4. Forecasts • World Cargo Trends • US Trends • State Forecasts • Individual Port Cargo Forecasts

  5. Issues Are Systemic According to GAO’s 12/03 Freight Transportation Study… • Studied 10 major international ports • Handle 66% of all containers moving in and out of the country • All face similar congestion-related problems: • Sited in dense urban areas • Limited ability to expand rail yards, roadways and other infrastructure • New security controls may exacerbate congestion by drastically slowing movement of goods

  6. Issues Are Systemic According to GAO’s 12/03 Freight Transportation Study • Freight movement projects receive limited visibility during planning and prioritization • Limitations of federal funding for multimodal projects – single mode focus • No comprehensive evaluation approach to implement most effective projects

  7. Trends Effecting US Ports

  8. Port Land Use Planning What do You want to look like when You grow up? • Terminal • Waterways • Roads • Rail Looking inside your Port

  9. Forecast of Cargo Opportunities at the Port of Tacoma Forecast Actual

  10. Potential Uses of Tideflats

  11. Widened Waterway At Hyundai Wharf 732 Ft 17 Wide 20 Wide 17 Wide 749 Ft 18 Wide 20 Wide 18 Wide 790 Ft 18 Wide 22 Wide 18 Wide 850 Ft 22 Wide 22 Wide 22 Wide

  12. Waterway Improvements Summary - Blair 2005

  13. Road Network Summary 2005

  14. Rail Expansion Summary 2005

  15. Capacity Studies • Road • Rail • Looking Outside the Port • The Last Mile • Getting your cargo to Final Destination

  16. Freight Transportation – the future • Where will the needed capacity come from? • Who will pay for it? • Who will Benefit? • How will “Benefit” calculations be determined?

  17. Planning for the FutureHow Do We Ensure System Fluidity? • Planning for things we can’t control or influence • Planning for things we can control or influence

  18. Things We Can’t Control or Influence • Mode shifts – all indicators point to more intermodal, less road freight • Longer trains – five years ago, 6,000 ft; near future, 8,000 ft; • Manufacturing trends – China is hot now, but will inevitably cool down; where will manufacturing go? • Transloading and Distribution Centers

  19. Things We Can Control or Influence • Operational methods • Local rail network capacity and configurations • Entering new or changed market sectors • Legislative intervention, assistance and regulatory relaxation • Focused funding, new Public Private Partnerships

  20. Planning For The Future • From a Rail industry perspective: • Railroads focus on long end-to-end movements; great for primary markets, not so good for non-end markets • Inland ports, logistics centers, intermodal facilities are the current buzz • “Feeding the beast” takes priority on the West Coast • Freight is cool again, but not in urban areas

  21. Planning For The Future • From a Rail industry perspective: • Rolling stock, crew resources, capacity all in high demand, short supply • Railroads are opening up to public investment • Congestion issues are getting attention – GAO report • Feds will have to pay attention to freight mobility funding – a national concern

  22. Planning For The Future • From a Port logistics perspective: • Planned stowage by steamship lines • Agile port concept (Direct to Train) will be difficult to achieve • Visibility is key; know what’s coming at you and when • Free-flowing trains to inland intermodal yards? Eliminates much local switching, frees capacity?

  23. Planning For The Future • From a Port funding perspective: • Infrastructure improvements hard to justify if not tied to revenue enhancement • Grant funding is great, but administrative overhead can be onerous • Competing with passenger dollars • Funding needs will far outweigh financial capacity in near future

  24. Questions?

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