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Universidad Complutense de Madrid. Oceanic and atmospheric teleconnections in the North Atlantic climate variability: observational studies and GCMs responses. África Barreto, Teresa Losada, Javier García, Irene Polo, Belén Rodríguez de Fonseca y Encarna Serrano.
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Universidad Complutense de Madrid Oceanic and atmospheric teleconnections in the North Atlantic climate variability: observational studies and GCMs responses África Barreto, Teresa Losada, Javier García, Irene Polo, Belén Rodríguez de Fonseca y Encarna Serrano Dpto. de Física de la Tierra I (Geofísica y Meteorología) Universidad Complutense de Madrid, UCM Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM CICYT/CLI96-1843 Anomalous rainfall regimen in Iberian Peninsula and NW Africa Low frequency variability in North Atlantic Geopotential & temperature ERA15 (surface - 200 hPa) Observed & ERA15 data • International meetings (EGS, Asamblea Hispano-Portuguesa Geodesia-Geofísica, Meteorology of the Milenium/Roy. Meteo. Soc, 2nd. Int. Conference on Reanalyses, Internatioal Meeting on Statistical Climatology) • 3 conference proceedings • -Rodriguez-Fonseca B. Relación entre el Régimen Anómalo de Precipitación en la Península Ibérica y la Variabilidad del Sistema Climático en el Atlántico Norte, 2001. PhD Thesis. • Rodríguez-Fonseca, B. and E. Serrano, 2002:Winter ten-day coupled patterns between geopotential height and Iberian Peninsula rainfall using the ECMWF precipitation reanalysisJ. Climate, 15, 1309-1321 . Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
CICYT/REN2000-0770 Atmospheric predictors stratosphere Oceanic predictors Winter rainfall Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM CICYT/CLI96-1843 -Subtropical Atlantic SST • Rodríguez-Fonseca and Castro, 2002: On the connection between winter anomalous precipitation in the Iberian Peninsula and Morocco and the summer subtropical Atlantic SSTGeophys. Ress. Lett. 29, Nº 18, 1863, doi=10.1029/2001GL014421 2002 International Meeting: Chapman Conference on the NAO Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
SVD1 correlation maps (SST_JJAS, pt_NDJF) oceanic index SA: JJAS SST {15ºN-25ºN-20ºW-30ºW } potential predicting use for winter seasonal anomalous rainfall • Evaluation of the North Atlantic SST forcing on the European and Northern African winter climate, 2004. Rodríguez-Fonseca, Polo, Serrano and Castro (accepted in Int. J. Climatol.) Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM CICYT/REN2000-0770 MCYT/REN2002-3424 Anomalous winterrainfall regimen in Europe/NW Africa North Atlantic SST anomalies ERSST database (2ºx2º lat-lon) U. Delaware data (1ºx1º lat-lon) • International meetings ( IAPSO-IABO, Asamblea Hispano-Portuguesa Geodesia-Geofísica, EGS) • 2 conference proceedings Connection between rainfall anomalies in winter and the previous subtropical North Atlantic summer SST anomalies, NAO-like precipitation dipole. Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM CICYT/REN2000-0770 MEC/REN2002-3424 Anomalous winterrainfall regime in Europe/NW Africa Subtropical North Atlantic previous summerSST anomalies Stratospheric bridge NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis (2.5º x 2.5º) ERSST database (2º x 2º lat-lon) Mid-latitude geopotential anomalies at low stratosphere are connected to subtropical SST 3 months before and propagate downwards in 2 months Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
CICYT/REN2000-0770 MEC/REN2002-3424 Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM Current studies Anomalous winterrainfall in Euro-Atlantic region Forcing stratospheric North Atlantic climate variability ERA40 Reanalysis (1.125º x 1.125º) part of a MCYT project, announcement 2004-07 Standarized geopotential anomalies over 70º-90ºN;-180º-180ºE LOW NAO (DJF) HIGH NAO (DJF) Large geopotential anomalies in the polar low stratosphere a few days before NAO extreme events propagate downwards and lead anomalies in the troposphere mean • International meetings (EGS, APMG) • 1 conference proceedings • Serrano and Rodriguez-Fonseca (2004), Revista Física de la Tierra. Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM MEC/REN2002-3424 Anomalous winterrainfall regimen in Europe /NW Africa Subtropical North Atlantic summerSST anomalies Physical mechanisms AGCM of UCLA • Role of the Atlantic Ocean generating atmospheric circulation anomalies • Sensitivity studies using prescribed SST in the Subtropical North Atlantic. • International meetings (EGU) • Rodriguez-Fonseca, B., A. Robertson and R. C. Mechoso, 2005. The North Atlantic oceanic Internal Variability generating atmospheric circulation anomalies. Submitted to GRL. Collaboration with: UCLA (USA) Dr. C. R. Mechoso and Dr. Gabriel Caces Boeccio Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
MCYT/REN2002-3424 Subtropical Atlantic Ocean subsurface temperature European Climate variability Subtropical Atlantic Ocean SST Collaboration with: CICESE (Mejico) Dr. Julio Sheimbaum and Dr. Julio Candela LODYC (Paris) Dr. Alban Lazar International meetings (APMG,EGS) Conference proceedings • Polo, Losada and Rodriguez-Fonseca (2004), Revista Física de la Tierra. • - Polo, I., Rodríguez-Fonseca, B., Sheinbaum, 2004. The Subsurface Subtropical North Atlantic role on the European climate variability (submitted to Geophys. Res. Lett)
Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM EC/AMMA-004089-2 African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (2005-20010) UCLA AGCM • Study of the effects of SST anomalies of different ocean • basins on the west african monsoon (WAM) rainfall variability. • 2. Identificaton of key WAM diagnostics/variables • and predictands. • Teleconnection between WAM and the Mediterranean climate • variability. • Intercomparison of models. Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005
Geofísica y Meteorología, UCM Seminario CLIVAR; Madrid, 14-15 Febrero 2005