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Using the American Community Survey for Dynamic Populations. Dr. Richard Rathge Policy Analyst North Dakota Kids Count North Dakota State University. Kids Count Data Workshop San Antonio, TX March 1, 2012. Issues to be Highlighted:.
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Using the American Community Surveyfor Dynamic Populations Dr. Richard Rathge Policy Analyst North Dakota Kids Count North Dakota State University Kids Count Data Workshop San Antonio, TX March 1, 2012 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Issues to be Highlighted: 1. ACS data challenges for small and/or dynamic populations 2. New Census initiative that may be helpful in addressing ACS data limitations Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
42% 92% Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
23% of all U.S. counties 49% are Great Plains counties Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
ACS Data Availability by Dataset 85% of counties have a population base under 10,000 (55% below 5,000) Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
ACS challenges for small and dynamic population Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012 5-year ACS data is limited in capturing rapid population shifts limiting policy makers’ options for monitoring changing characteristics. Small population base creates reliability issues. Overlapping time periods restricts comparison of 5-year ACS data on annual basis. Disclosure issues limited type and amount of ACS data that can be explored. PUMA data has regional and urban influence bias.
Illustration of limitations of ACS Data for dynamic populations • Thanks to Jerry Deichert for data • Omaha city was an ACS test sites: 1997-2004 • Can examine 1, 3, 5-year data Nebraska ACS Data Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Crude Oil Productionin North Dakota: 1952 to 2011 2,500 capacity “crew camp” authorized in 2011 with est. 19,000 workers in oil patch. ND Ranking in oil production 9th in 2006 6th in 2008 4th in 2009 3rd in 2012 (tied with California) (only behind Texas Alaska) 12,750 worked in the oil patch in 2010 compared to 2,000 in 2007 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Population Change: 2002 to 2003 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Population Change: 2008 to 2009 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
View of Energy Development Activity in the Bakken Oil Formation, Western ND Stretching an Estimated 200,00 Square Miles Source: Video from International Space Station Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Issues to be Highlighted: 1. ACS data challenges for small and/or dynamic populations 2. New Census initiative that may be helpful in addressing ACS data limitations Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
ACS PUMA Map American Community Survey Public Use Micro Data Area (PUMA) 5% Sample Map for North Dakota (population threshold 100,000) Grand Forks Bismarck Mandan Fargo Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Rural Statistical Areas Joint Project Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Proposed ACS PUMA Map ACS Proposed Rural Statistical Area Map for North Dakota Grand Forks Cass Bismarck Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
North Dakota’s RSA & ACS Boundaries Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Median Age, 2005-2009 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Median Age, 2008 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Young Adults Ages 25 to 34 NDSDC at NDSU in Fargo, ND - Phone: (701) 231-8621 : http://www.ndsu.edu/sdc
Young Children Ages 0 to 4 NDSDC at NDSU in Fargo, ND - Phone: (701) 231-8621 : http://www.ndsu.edu/sdc
Median Gross Rent, 2005-2009 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Median Gross Rent, 2008 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
College Educated, 2005-2009 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
College Educated, 2008 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Movers in Past Year, 2008 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Median Household Income, 2005-2009 ACS MOE 46,953 =/+- 4,226 MOE 49,013 =/+- 7,292 MOE 46,821 =/+- 5,620 Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Median Household Income, 2008 ACS Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
Suggestions for Exploring Alternatives • Need to partner with other data providers in exploring alternative data sets. • Examine ways to triangulate data for small jurisdictions to ensure confidence in our interpretations. • Explore innovative ways of combining geographic units within Census to increase unit size. Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012
ACS Presentation 2012 • Dr. Richard Rathge, Policy Analyst North Dakota KIDS COUNT North Dakota State University IACC 424, Dept. 8000, PO Box 6050 Fargo, ND 58108-6050 Richard.Rathge@ndsu.edu Phone: (701) 231-8621 Fax: (701) 231-9730 URL: www.ndsu.edu/sdc Prepared by North Dakota KIDS COUNT, March 2012