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Partition Calibration Strategy for A Fully- C oupled Hydrologic Model---PIHM. Xuan Yu, Chris Duffy, Gopal Bhatt Anna Lamacova , Pavel Kram. Civil & Environmental Engineering @ The Pennsylvania State University Czech Geological Survey. Outline. Partition Calibration Strategy
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Partition Calibration Strategy for A Fully-Coupled Hydrologic Model---PIHM Xuan Yu, Chris Duffy, Gopal Bhatt Anna Lamacova, PavelKram Civil & Environmental Engineering @ The Pennsylvania State University Czech Geological Survey Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Outline • Partition Calibration Strategy • Long term SSHCZO hydrological reanalysis • Spatial parameter transferability (Yong Womans Creek ) • SoilTrEC sites application—validated by snow depth(Lysina) Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Hydrological model calibration • Manual Calibration • set up model for simulation • Decide the range for each calibration parameter • Give a initial guess of each parameter • Compare model results to the observation • Give hydrologic explanations for the simulation error • Give another guess according to parameter sensitivities based on previous simulations • The calibration processes will cost the modeler’s long time working • When can we stop the calibration processes • Final results usually depends on the modeler’s experience Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Partition Calibration Strategy Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Partition Calibration Strategy Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Partition Calibration Strategy • Downloads— http://www.pihm.psu.edu/pihm_pcs.html • Documents— • Requirements— Open MPI: A High Performance Message Passing interface Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Outline • Partition Calibration Strategy • Long term SSHCZO hydrological reanalysis • Spatial parameter transferability (Yong Womans Creek ) • SoilTrEC site application—validated by snow depth(Lysina) Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
SSHCZO • Susquehanna Shale Hills CZO • 0.08 sq. km • Soils: (silt loam, field mapping) • Vegetation :Deciduous (1739), Evergreen (321) • Meteorological forcing observation since 2009 • Irrigation experiment in summer 1974 Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
SSHCZO Select relatively simple rain-runoff responses High value of discharge rate will minimize the effect of observational error 6/15/2009 6/1/2009 7/1/2009 simulation period for Objective Function Evaluation Relaxation period for spin-up Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
SSHCZO generation 1 generation 2 generation 3 generation 4 Calibrate event based parameters by the flooding period (2009/6/16-2009/7/1) 24 hours parameter optimization by CMA-ES generation 273 generation 270 generation 271 generation 272 Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
SSHCZO Calibrate seasonal time scale group of parameters by the water budget of 2009 2009 P=1028mm Q=417mm Simulation 1 Q=239mm Simple Sensitivity analysis can finish seasonal time scale group of parameters Simulation 2 Q=366mm Simulation 3 Q=604mm Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete 7/1/09 7/11/09 7/21/09 8/1/09
SSHCZO Final results of 2009 calibration Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
SSHCZO Calibrated parameters can be directly extended backward(1974) and forward(2011) Irrigation experiment, 1974 Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Multi-scale Hydrological Dynamics • Hyporheic Exchange Flow event scale • Diel signals in groundwater and discharge sub daily scale • Long term simulation for hydrologic reanalysis decades time scale Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Diel Signals Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
1979-2010 Reanalysis Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Outline • Partition Calibration Strategy • Long term SSHCZO hydrological reanalysis • Spatial parameter transferability (Yong Womans Creek ) • SoilTrEC site application—validated by snow depth(Lysina) Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Young Womans Creek Kettle Creek Young Womans Creek Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Young Womans Creek 230.7 sq. km watershed in Pennsylvania, USA Calibrated parameters in 2004 is extended until 2010 Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Young Womans Creek Kettle Creek isnext to Young Womans Creek, with drainage area of 352.2 sq. km Calibrated parameters in Young Womans Creek is extended to Kettle Creek Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Outline • Partition Calibration Strategy • Long term SSHCZO hydrological reanalysis • Spatial parameter transferability (Yong Womans Creek ) • SoilTrEC site application—validated by snow depth(Lysina) Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Lysina, Czech Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Lysina, Czech Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Lysina, Czech Observed Snow depth is converted into SWE (Mathew et. al. 2010) Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete
Thanks for your attention! Soiltrec Training Event Modelling Workshop - Crete