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Validity, Sampling & Experimental Control. Psych 231: Research Methods in Psychology. Announcements. The required articles for the class experiment paper are already on-line at the Milner course reserves page. Class Experiment.
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Validity, Sampling & Experimental Control Psych 231: Research Methods in Psychology
Announcements • The required articles for the class experiment paper are already on-line at the Milner course reserves page
Class Experiment • Collect the forms (consent forms and data summary sheets) - pass to the front • Brief discussion: • So how did it go? • What happened? • Any thing unusual/unexpected? • Any problems?
External Validity • Are experiments “real life” behavioral situations, or does the process of control put too much limitation on the “way things really work?” • Will the same basic conclusions be supported with different operational definitions, different participants, different research settings?
External Validity • Variable representativeness • relevant variables for the behavior studied along which the sample may vary • Subject representativeness • characteristics of sample and target population along these relevant variables • Setting representativeness (ecological validity) • how do the characteristics of the research setting compare with the “real world”
Internal Validity • The precision of the results • Did the change result from the changes in the DV or does it come from something else?
Threats to internal validity • History – an event happens during the experiment • Maturation – participants get older (and other changes) • Selection – nonrandom selection may lead to biases • Mortality – participants drop out or can’t continue • Testing – being in the study actually influences how the participants respond • Statistical regression – regression towards the mean, if you select participants based on high (or low) scores (e.g., IQ, SAT, etc.) their scores later tend to move towards the mean.
“Debugging your study” • Pilot studies • A trial run through • Don’t plan to publish these results, just try out the methods • Manipulation checks • An attempt to directly measure whether the IV variable really affects the DV. • Look for correlations with other measures of the desired effects.
Sampling • Why do we do we use sampling methods? • Typically don’t have the resources to test everybody • Population - everybody that the research results are targeted • Sample - the subset of the population that actually participates in the research
Sampling • Goals: • Maximize: • Representativeness - to what extent do the characteristics of those in the sample reflect those in the population • Reduce: • Bias - a systematic difference between those in the sample and those in the population
Sampling Methods • Probability sampling • Simple random sampling • Systematic sampling • Stratified sampling • Non-probability sampling • Convenience sampling • Quota sampling
Simple random sampling • Every individual has a equal and independent chance of being selected from the population
Systematic sampling • Selecting every nth person
Stratified sampling • Step 1: Identify groups (strata) • Step 2: randomly select from each group
Convenience sampling • Use the participants who are easy to get
Quota sampling • Step 1: identify the specific subgroups • Step 2: take from each group until desired number of individuals
Experimental Control • Our goal: • to test the possibility of a relationship between the variability in our IV and how that affects our DV. • Control is used to minimize excessive variability. • To reduce the potential of confoundings. • if there are other variables that influence our DV, how do we know that the observed differences are due to our IV and not some other variable
Sources of variability (noise) • Sources of Total (T) Variability: T = NonRandomexp + NonRandomother +Random
Sources of variability (noise) I. Nonrandom (NR) Variability – systematic variation A. (NRexp)manipulated independent variables (IV) i. our hypothesis is that changes in the IV will result in changes in the DV B. (NRother)extraneous variables (EV) which covary with IV i. other variables that also vary along with the changes in the IV, which may in turn influence changes in the DV
Sources of variability (noise) II. Random (R) Variability A. imprecision in manipulation (IV) and/or measurement (DV) B. randomly varying extraneous variables (EV)
Sources of variability (noise) • Sources of Total (T) Variability: T = NRexp + NRother +R • Our goal is to reduce R and NRother so that we can detect NRexp. • That is, so we can see the changes in the DV that are due to the changes in the independent variable(s).
NR NR NR R R other other exp Weight analogy • Imagine the different sources of variabilility as weights Treatment group control group
NR NR NR R R other other exp Weight analogy • If NRother and R are large relative to NRexp then detecting a difference may be difficult
NR NR NR R R other other exp Weight analogy • But if we reduce the size of NRother and R relative to NRexp then detecting gets easier
Methods of Controlling Variability • Comparison • Production • Constancy/Randomization
Methods of Controlling Variability • Comparison • An experiment always makes a comparison, so it must have at least two groups • Sometimes there are baseline, or control groups • This is typically the absence of the treatment • Without control groups if is harder to see what is really happening in the experiment • it is easier to be swayed by plausibility or inappropriate comparisons • Sometimes there are just a range of values of the IV
Methods of Controlling Variability • Production • The experimenter selects the specific values of the Independent Variables • (as opposed to allowing the levels to freely vary as in observational studies) • Need to do this carefully • Suppose that you don’t find a difference in the DV across your different groups • Is this because the IV and DV aren’t related? • Or is it because your levels of IV weren’t different enough
Methods of Controlling Variability • Constancy/Randomization • If there is a variable that may be related to the DV that you can’t (or don’t want to) manipulate • Then you should either hold it constant, or let it vary randomly across all of the experimental conditions
Potential Problems of Experimental Control • Excessive random variability: • If control procedures are not applied, then R component of data will be excessively large, and may make NR undetectable • Confounding: • If relevant EV covaries with IV, then NR component of data will be "significantly" large, and may lead to misattribution of effect to IV • Dissimulation: • If EV which interacts with IV is held constant, then effect of IV is known only for that level of EV, and may lead to overgeneralization of IV effect
Next time • Read: Chpt 8