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In collaboration with: Public Interest Research Centre. Introduction:. A radical yet realistic vision Based on 35 years experience A closing window of opportunity To dream of things that never were. Mapping the unthinkable :. A reading of the science
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Introduction: • A radical yet realistic vision • Based on 35 years experience • A closing window of opportunity • To dream of things that never were
Mapping the unthinkable : • A reading of the science • An evaluation of international & national policy frameworks • Scenarios – how it could happen
The Science: • Climate Change • Energy Security • Global Equity
Climate Change • Continual increase in Global CO2 levels
Climate Change • Record CO2 levels • Triggering positive Feedbacks
Climate Change • Sink Failures • Feedback • Runaway effects
Methane Hydrates • Emergency Situation • Go to Zero Carbon
The Policies: • International • Contraction & Convergence
The Policies: • National • Tradable Energy Quotas (TEQs)
POWERDOWN: • Sector by sector • 50% reduction • Electric vehicles • Organic food
POWER UP: • 100% Renewables – no new nuclear • Electric Britain • Diverse mix • 50% off shore wind
Dealing with variability • Reduced total demand • Distributed generation • Intelligent demand management • Storage - V2G, Vanadium flow batteries, pumped storage
Vital Catalysts: • Increased climate research • Global awareness campaign • Robust international consensus • Accelerated technology research & development • Large scale training and education
Additional benefits: • Better Diet • Improved Health • Robust local economies • Dealing with debt • Stronger local community • Sense of purpose
Conclusions: • Scientifically inescapable • Economically unavoidable • Technically possible • Now has to becomepolitically thinkable
What next….. • 6 weeks after the CAT report was presented to all the major political parties at various events in Westminster, the Liberal Democrats launched a policy called ‘Zero Carbon Britain – Taking a Global Lead’,. • Lembit Opik, MP for Powys and Montgomeryshire, and Shadow Secretary of State for Business and Enterprise said: • “These proposals were largely inspired by the Welsh based Centre for Alternative Technology and I would like to thank them for the ground-breaking work.”
What next….. • A special period in history • Key external Partners • Pan –European scenario • An Annual report • Re-framing for general public • Lifestyle implications