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Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21. “A Tale from Climate Ground Zero...”. Our Expectation from CoP-21 Paris Climate Conference. National Press Club 07 Nov’ 2015. www.equitybd.org. Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21. EquityBD Campaign, following “Track- II” Diplomacy
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Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 “A Tale from Climate Ground Zero...” Our Expectation from CoP-21 Paris Climate Conference National Press Club 07 Nov’ 2015 www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 EquityBD Campaign, following “Track- II” Diplomacy i. Campaign internationally since 2007 on climate Induced migrants through; - Seminar in CoP premises - Exhibition “Climate in Ground Zero” since CoP Bali - Presenting Ground Reality to West as It is the Problem of Tomorrow for them. ii. Campaign also on Aid, Trade and WTO issues www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Our latest achievement - Nansen Initiatives have include the climate induced migrants issue for global and inter-state advocacy. - Latest TRIPS waiver for LDCs as a milestone of CSO mobilization, parallel with govt. process. Book launching is an initiative of expediting the issue in CoP-21 & onward A TALE from CLIMATE GROUND ZERO www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 What we expect in Paris Deal a. A Legally Binding Agreement that follows - Equity principle with a notion of CBDR for developed and poor country context b. International Court for Climate Change Compliance and Justice/ International Legal Institution for; - Forcing the law - Implementation of compliance & monitoring - Dispute Resolution www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Situation somewhat frustrating Draft Text: Favoring the big emitters - Try to insert or diluting the text as favoring point of view of Annex-1 - Try to use new term and concept like “developed & developing country party”, “countries in need of support” etc. - Scientific gambling on defining the “emission reduction” www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Situation somewhat frustrating Big divides remain on the key issues - There is no differentiation between developed and developing countries in the proposed operational provisions. - They are all treated in a like manner, wiping out the notions of historical responsibility and equity. - In mitigation, there is a downgrading of developed countries obligations and an upgrading of developing country obligations. - The focus is overwhelmingly on mitigation, with no obligation for developed countries to provide the needed funds. www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 CoP-21 process: Common issue: A Legally Binding Agreement (LBA) beyond 2020 2. Developed countries issues a. Mitigation commitment b. Financing strategies (Mitigation priority) c. Discourse on mitigation devices 3. LDC issues; a. Commitment on Adaptation financing b. Loss & Damage c. Technology transfer www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of mitigation Our stand points in the negotiation - Clear statement regarding the time line of mitigation, peaking period to limit the temperature rise below 1.5oC by 2100. - LBA must be focused on adaptation parallel with mitigation - No false solution proposed through LBA. - LDCs will be voluntary contributors to INDC. www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Would temperature be possible to control? - Today, the world is 0.85°C warmer than pre-industrial levels - Below 1.50 C (50% chance) - Below 2.00 C (66% chance) AR-5 analysis by the scientist Need realistic compliance target on emission reduction and to be followed as most stringent for Annex 1 countries. www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Current global pledge of INDC insufficient toward 1.50C pathway - The commitments captured in INDCs will not keep temperatures below 20C, much less 1.50C, above pre-industrial levels. - Even if all countries meet their INDC commitments, the world is likely to warm by a devastating 30C or more. (CSO Review on INDC) www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 Big gap in the notion of “Equity & Fare Share” responsibility in mitigation - Russia: INDC represents zero contribution towards its fair share - Japan: INDC represents about one tenth of its fair share - United States: INDC represents about a fifth of its fair share - European Union: INDC represents just over a fifth of its fair share China, Indonesia, India and Brazil’s INDC represents slightly more than two thirds of its fair share. (CSO Review on INDC) www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of Adaptation Our stand points in the negotiation - Clear commitment and work plan by developed country parties to support on; i. Adaptation need & assessment in MVCs ii. Supporting mechanism (finance, technology and IB etc.) www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of Loss & Damage Our stand points in the negotiation - Separate text and work stream for International mechanism - Compensation by developed countries and separate window for financing - No insurance mechanism (for business only???), rather a collective share of UN and Annex-1 guarantees www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of Financing Our stand points in the negotiation - Must be coherent with SDG goals, like climate change; restore ecosystem and environmental sustainability requirement. - Firm commitment from developed countries for pre 2020 (US$100 bln/yr) financial pledge - Current pledges (around US$33 billion up to 2020) are very insufficient http://newsroom.unfccc.int www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of Financing Allocation Approach & Strategies - Compensation and Reparation focus - Adequate, additional and Public Finance for LDCs. - Private finance for rich countries - At least 50:50 share in adaptation & mitigation - Appropriate Finance to appropriate Technology www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 LBA in view of Technology shifting: Our stand points in the negotiation - No IPR regime or conditionality for MVCs in case of their adaptation and mitigation effort - All sort technology (for both adaptation and mitigation) have to be provided following country specific and need base. - LBA must be provisioned for representation of LDCs to ensured in Technology, assessment, transfer and support mechanism www.equitybd.org
Seminar & Book launching Towards CoP-21 We hopeful for life & prospect www.equitybd.org Thank You to all