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Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Trade and Industry – the dti’s 2012/13 Annual Report and the Second Quarter Report. Date : 20 September 2013 Director-General Mr Lionel October. Members of the Delegation. Jodi Scholtz – Group COO. Zodwa Ntuli – DDG: CCRD.
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Presentation to the Portfolio Committee on Trade and Industry – the dti’s 2012/13 Annual Report and the Second Quarter Report Date : 20 September 2013 Director-General Mr Lionel October
Members of the Delegation • Jodi Scholtz – Group COO. • Zodwa Ntuli – DDG: CCRD. • Garth Strachan – Acting DDG: Industrial Development. • Shabeer Khan – CFO. • Tumelo Chipfupa – DDG: Incentive Administration.
Presentation Outline Economic Context Strategic Goals Achievements against planned targets Industrial Development Trade, Investment & Exports Broadening Participation Regulation Administration & Co-ordination Targets Partially Achieved Financial Management Adjustment Estimates MTEF Budget Second Quarter Report - highlights Challenges Annexures 3
Economic Trends Global Economic Developments The 2012 global economic recovery has been led by emerging economies in Asia, Africa and Latin America. The emerging economies contributed 6,3% to global growth in 2011 and 5,1% in 2012 compared to 1,6% and 1,3% by the advanced economies over the same period. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) expected global growth to accelerate modestly from 3,2% in 2012 to 3,5% in 2013. The IMF also projected that emerging economies would grow by a healthy 5,5% in 2013, but did not expect growth to rebound to 2010/11 levels due to the continued weakness of the advanced economies which was dampening demand. 4
Economic Trends SA Gross Domestic Product Trends The economy grew by an annualised rate of 2,1% in the fourth quarter of 2012, almost double the rate of 1,2% recorded in the third quarter. The main sources of growth included manufacturing; finance, real-estate and business services; general government services; agriculture, forestry and fishing; wholesale, retail and motor trade; catering and accommodation; and the transport, storage and communication industry. 5
Economic Trends Figure 1 Quarter-on-quarter growth 2006-2012 Source: South African Reserve Bank 6
Economic Trends • Real output growth increased from 1,2% in the third quarter to 5,0% in the fourth quarter of 2012. • This made the manufacturing sector the biggest contributor to the 2,1% GDP growth in the fourth quarter. • Manufacturing production grew by 5,6% between 2010 and 2012 (underpinned by the following sectors: petroleum, chemical products, rubber and plastics, which grew by 5,2%; motor vehicles, parts and accessories and other transport by 2,3%; and food and beverages by 2,1%). • Overall, the sluggish economic recovery necessitated additional proactive interventions by Government. • Key interventions introduced to enhance manufacturing competitiveness included the launch of the MCEP and Designations for local procurement by Government. 7
Economic Trends • Growth was supported by an increase of 126 000 jobs in community and social services, 65 000 in finance and other business services, and 55 000 jobs in agriculture. However, these gains were offset by the shedding of jobs in other sectors, led by the trade sector, which shed 139 000 jobs. 8
Economic Trends Total Employment 2008 - 2012 Source: QLFS quarter 4:2012
Economic Trends • Real gross fixed capital formation by general government accelerated from 7,7% in the third quarter of 2011 to 23,4% in the third quarter of 2012. • South Africa’s total merchandise exports (excluding gold) increased from R150.9 billion in the first quarter of 2012 to R170.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012. • Exports were boosted by growth in manufacturing of precious metals, base metals, steel, coal and motor vehicles. • This led to an increase in imports of transport equipment, chemicals, plastics and rubber and vehicle components in the first nine months of the year. 10
Economic Trends • The ‘Great Recession’ and the Eurozone crisis demanded that the dti scale-up its efforts to diversify South Africa’s trade and investment markets, with priority focus falling on the fast-growing, emerging markets in Africa, South-East Asia, the Middle East and South America. • Export volumes to emerging economies in Asia and Africa have been growing more than volumes to the Americas. • Trade with BRICS is about 10% of total South African exports. • The top manufactured exports to BRICS were basic chemicals, basic iron and steel, basic non-ferrous metal and motor vehicles, parts and accessories. 11
Economic Trends Total quarterly exports and imports 2006-2012 Source: the dti
The structure of the dti’s work the dti’s work is organised in terms of the following clusters: Industrial development; Trade, Investment and Exports; Broadening participation; Regulation, and Administration and co-ordination 13
Chinese automotive company, First Automobile Works (FAW) has commenced with the construction of a truck plant at the Coega IDZ in the Eastern Cape Province. Beijing Automotive Works (BAW) invested R196 million in a taxi assembly plant for the South African/sub-Saharan markets. The Minister approved the Electric Vehicle (EV) Roadmap in early 2013. Toyota SA opened its new Ses'fikile taxi assembly line in Durban and a new R363 million parts distribution warehouse (Africa's largest). Industrial Development 15
The development of the Clothing and Textiles Competitiveness Programme (CTCP) marked an important incentive development phase for the dti through the introduction of a production and competitiveness enhancement incentivewhich encourages production and job creation activities more directly. Approximately 12 205 new, decent permanent jobs have been created in the sector as a direct result of the CTCP. Conditions in the footwear sector also improved and, after years of decline, the sector now projects an increase in the quantity of shoes produced, from 52 million to 100 million in the next three years. Industrial Development 16
Facilitated the establishment and launch of a Small-Scale Milling plant by Kuvusa Pty (Ltd) in Durban, intended to reduce the price of maize meal by up to 20% for South African households. Energy-Efficiency Training Centre was established at the National Cleaner Production Centre with the first 600 students accepted for training, while a Radiation Training Facility has been established at the South African Nuclear Energy Corporation. Approval of the Aquaculture Development and Enhancement Programme (ADEP) incentive to increase investments in the sector, enhance competitiveness and grow employment. Industrial Development 17
Manufacturing Competitiveness Enhancement Programme launched in May 2012; 189 enterprises approved for grants valued at R999,2 m and 33 551 jobs expected to be retained. Supported 12I projects with the project investment value of R10.2 bn and 1 357 projected jobs. Four (4) sector/subsector designation templates completed and approved. (furniture, pharmaceuticals, solar water heaters and power and telecoms cable) Support Programme for Industrial Innovation (SPII) approved for 53 projects to the total value of support of R203.5m. 1506 students and 1 135 researchers approved for Technology and Human Resources for Industry Programme(THRIP) funding. Industrial Development 18
Approved 70 Film productions. The successful and growing impact of industry demand resulted in the Monyetla Work-Readiness Programme training3 819 learners as Business Process Services (BPS) agents (3 233 agents and 586 team leaders trained) and a total of 2 120 competent learners being placed invarious sectors of employment. Investments worth R1.3 billion were secured from the BPS Incentive Programme and 4 500 jobs are expected to be created over the next three years. Due to the dti’s support of the BPS sector, SA was named Off-Shoring Destination of the Year in the 2012 United Kingdom (UK) National Outsourcing Association Awards. Industrial Development 19
Summary of Achievement of Targets for 2012/13 Financial Year The calculation by the AG focuses on 100% of targets being achieved without taking into account substantive work already concluded. Good progress has been made on all partially achieved targets. 31
Overview of the expenditure for the 2012/13 The expenditure based on the final appropriation of R8,351 billion is 99.23% or R8,286 billion, implying an under-spending of R65 million (0.77%) Overview of expenditure per programme:
Overview of expenditure per economic classification: Overview of the expenditure for the 2012/13
2012/13 audit outcome and interventions to address the AG’s findings
Audit outcomes For the 2012/13 financial year, the department has received a financially unqualified audit opinion from the Auditor-General (AG). Both the areas of non-compliance reported by the AG relate to supply chain management.
Key Challenges • The economic slowdown in traditional markets limits export growth. • Building support from big business to form partnerships with township business, small scale black farmers and the informal sector. • Creating buy-in for local procurement.
Adjusted Estimates 2013/14 FY Overview of the adjustments per programme:
MTEF - 2014/15 FY (Refer to Annexure C) 43
Budget allocations for 2014/15 FY Overview of additional funds requested per programme:
Second Quarter Report - Key Highlights (Refer to Annexure D) 46
Key Achievements Industrial Development 47
Key Achievements Industrial Development 48