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Reliable and robust indicators for control chart based fisheries management. Deepak George Pazhayamadom 1 , Emer Rogan 1 , Ciaran Kelly 2 , Edward Codling 3. 1 Department of Zoology, Ecology and Plant Science, University College Cork, Ireland 2 Marine Institute, Galway, Ireland
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Reliable and robust indicators for control chart based fisheries management Deepak George Pazhayamadom 1, Emer Rogan 1, Ciaran Kelly 2, Edward Codling3 1 Department of Zoology, Ecology and Plant Science, University College Cork, Ireland 2 Marine Institute, Galway, Ireland 3 University of Essex, UK PhD : “Application of signal detection methods to fisheries management system” Control chart : Cumulative Sum (CUSUM) Control Chart Indicators : Types of age based catch indicators
Negative Proportions Indicators were calculated from catch data Type 1: Catch numbers (CN) Type 2: Catch weights (CW) Type 3: Positive proportions of CN Type 4: Negative proportions of CN Type 5: Positive proportions of CW Type 6: Negative proportions of CW Type 7: Positive proportions of average CW Type 8: Negative proportions of average CW An operating model that simulates fictional stocks (Iteration used: 1000) Phase 1 : Self-populate and stabilize Phase 2 : Low fishing mortality Phase 3 Scenario – 1 : No management with high fishing mortality Scenario – 2 : Managed using Total Allowable Catch (TAC) Positive Proportions Three fisheries (correlated with SSB) : Celtic Sea and Bay of Biscay Megrim North East Atlantic Mackerel Irish Sea Cod
Boxplots: Indicator correlations with SSB (Scenario – 1 : No Management) Megrim (CS&BB) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 Type 1: Catch numbers (CN) Type 2: Catch weights (CW) Type 3: Positive proportions of CN Type 4: Negative proportions of CN Type 5: Positive proportions of CW Type 6: Negative proportions of CW Type 7: Positive proportions of average CW Type 8: Negative proportions of average CW Mackerel (NEA) Cod (IS)
Boxplots: Indicator correlations with SSB (Scenario – 2 : TAC Management) Megrim (CS&BB) 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8 Type 1: Catch numbers (CN) Type 2: Catch weights (CW) Type 3: Positive proportions of CN Type 4: Negative proportions of CN Type 5: Positive proportions of CW Type 6: Negative proportions of CW Type 7: Positive proportions of average CW Type 8: Negative proportions of average CW Mackerel (NEA) Cod (IS)
Megrim (CS&BB) Mackerel (NEA) Cod (IS) High High Positive / High Positive Positive Type 1: Catch numbers (CN) Type 2: Catch weights (CW) Type 3: Positive proportions of CN Type 4: Negative proportions of CN Type 5: Positive proportions of CW Type 6: Negative proportions of CW Type 7: Positive proportions of average CW Type 8: Negative proportions of average CW • Scenario 1 : Types 1,2,3,5 • Scenario 2 : Type 3 and 5