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Monash University – ACER CENTRE FOR THE ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING. Jobs: How young people are faring Mike Long CEET 9th Annual National Conference Australian education and training: responding to economic trends and social needs Friday 28 October 2005 Ascot House
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Monash University – ACER CENTRE FOR THE ECONOMICS OF EDUCATION AND TRAINING Jobs: How young people are faring Mike Long CEET 9th Annual National ConferenceAustralian education and training: responding to economic trends and social needs Friday 28 October 2005 Ascot House 50 Fenton St Ascot Vale, Melbourne
How young people are faring • An update on the learning and work situation of young Australians. • ▫Transition from school. • Now an annual report -- first published in 1999. • Published by the Dusseldorp Skills Forum. • ▫Established 1988 by Lend Lease shareholders. • ▫Independent funding & governance. • ▫Youth, skills, participation, citizenship. • ▫Advocacy, research, program support. • The 2005 (7th ed) due out in early 2005.
How young people are faring, 2005 • The report has three key indicators: • The proportion of young people not in full-time education and not in full-time employment. • The ratio of the unemployment rate among 15 to 24 year olds to the rate among 25 to 54 year olds. • The proportion of the population aged 20 to 24 years who have completed Year 12 or a post-secondary qualification. • Plus sections on educational participation & labour force participation. • Focus on the labour force participation of young people not in full-time study.
Importance of the transition • For the individual (now & in the future) • For the family (now & in the future) • For society (now and in the future) • For the economy • ▫ An investment that will produce good returns. • ▫ Dealing with skills shortages. • ▫ An offset to the ageing of the workforce. • ▫ Important for international competitiveness
Policy development Reviews: Vic, Qld, SA, WA, Tas, ACT, Commonwealth School leaving age: Qld, WA, Tas, SA, Vic Certificate reviews: NSW, Qld, SA, WA, Tas, ACE Learning alternatives: Vic, Qld, Tas, NSW, POEMs Community partnerships: Vic, Qld, SA, Tas, LCPs Customised support: Vic, Qld, SA, WA, Tas, JPP/YPP Tracking: Vic, Qld, SA, Tas, ANICA Labour markets: Qld.
Young people in May 2005 A snapshot • 208,400 (14.9%) of 15 to 19 year-olds not in full-time education or full-time work • ABS, Labour force Australia.
Young people not in full-time education or work, May 2004 15-19 year-olds not at school by highest year of schooling completed ABS, Education and work
Young people not in full-time education or work, 1986-2005 ABS, Labour force Australia.
Labour force activities of young people not in full-time education or work, 1986-2005 ABS, Labour force Australia.
Growth in full-time jobs: 15-19, 20-24 and 25-64 year-olds ABS, Labour force Australia.
Part-time employment of young people: Hours of work & preference for more hours, 15-19 year-olds, August 2004
Unemployment & NILFers Unemployment: In May 2005 53,700 young Australians were not in full-time education and were looking for work—3.8% of all 15-19 year-olds. Of these, 92.1% wanted full-time work Not in the labour force: In May 2005, 54,500 teenagers were not in full-time education and not in the labour force—3.9% of the all 15-19 year-olds. In 2004, 49% of 15-19 year-olds who were not studying full-time were marginally attached to the labour force.
Key issues • Lack of integration in approaches between levels of government. • Lack of consensus on goals & targets. • Overlap, gaps, waste, confusion. • Piecemeal approach to customised support & tracking. • Relative lack of focus on labour market issues. • Policy focus needed for young adults. • Lack of strong legislative foundations. • Impact of reforms yet to be reflected in data. • Modest funding but very high expectations. • Need for more cohesive policy & delivery framework.
The way forward • National goal to boost educational attainment & achieve best transitions in the OECD • Agreements between States and Commonwealth • Legislative guarantee to access & have the support necessary to complete Year 12 or equivalent • Learning choices in senior & intermediate years • VET in schools & literacy & numeracy • Intensive personal support for all early leavers • Integrated ‘second chances’ for early leavers • Learning from local & international best practice
The commitment • We aim at nothing less than assisting all young Australians from age 13 to 19 to make a successful transition from school to an enduring career. • Prime Minister John Howard in launching the Coalition’s 2004 election campaign, Brisbane, 26 September
Thank you • More information at www.dsf.org.au • ▫ Local Investment, National Returns • ▫ Economic Benefit of Increased Participation in Education & Training • ▫ Setting the Pace • ▫ ABS & CEDA reports • ▫ Reviewing the Reviews • ▫ Hitting the Wall • ▫ How Young People are Faring 2005 (very soon) • Even more information at: www.education.monash.edu.au/centres/ceet