120 likes | 285 Views
Climate change & extreme weather. “There is a scientific consensus over the reality of anthropogenic global warming. [It is based on] multiple, independent lines of evidence converging on a single coherent account.”. Naomi Oreskes. CSIRO Climate Change in Australia 2007.
E N D
“There is a scientific consensus over the reality of anthropogenic global warming.[It is based on]multiple, independent lines of evidence converging on a single coherent account.” Naomi Oreskes
CSIRO Climate Change in Australia 2007 “Australian average temperatures have increased 0.9°C since 1950, with significant regional variations.”
Past changes in temperature Source: Australian Bureau of Meteorology (2007)
[Insert in this slide the CSIRO movie of the projected future rise in Australian mean temperatures available at http://www.climatechangeinaustralia.gov.au/resources.php ] [It is not included here as it is too large to email].
What is the effect of raising mean global temperatures on maximum temperatures?
Effect on extreme temperatures from increase in mean temperature Probability of occurrence Source: Houghton 2004, p 129
Effect on extreme temperatures from increase in variance Probability of occurrence Source: Houghton 2004, p129
Effect on extreme temperatures from increase in mean temperature & variance Probability of occurrence Source: Houghton 2004, p129
10% increase in bushfire danger across Australia with 2-3°C rise Photo: Simon McBeth Photo: Adam Machjer
“Extreme fire danger days likely to increase by up to 25% by 2020” - IPCC