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Attaining the Millennium Development Goals in India: How Likely What Will It Take

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Attaining the Millennium Development Goals in India: How Likely What Will It Take

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    1. Attaining the Millennium Development Goals in India: How Likely & What Will It Take?

    2. Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) As you all know, the MDGs are a set of numerical and time-bound targets to measure achievements in human and social development.

    4. Five MDGs analyzed in this Report Child and infant mortality reduction Reduction in child malnutrition Universal primary enrollment Elimination of gender disparity in school enrollment Reduction of hunger-poverty (calorie deficiency)

    5. Analysis has been at a highly aggregate level – typically the level of the country. This is meaningless in a large and heterogeneous country like India. The likelihood of attaining the MDGs hasn’t been usefully linked to the factors that influence MD indicators. This is necessary to address the question: what will it take to attain the MDGs? Limitations of much of the MDG discussion so far

    6. MDG Attainment in the Poor States of India The poorest states in India (e.g., Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Rajasthan, Orissa, and Madhya Pradesh): are among the most populous in the country, and have among the worst MD indicators. Owing to more rapid population growth, these states will account for an even larger share of India’s population in 2015. Therefore, India’s attainment of MDGs will largely depend on the performance of these states.

    7. Tremendous spatial variation in levels of & changes in MD indicators There are very large inter-state and intra-state variations in all MD indicators in India. For instance, the IMR for the country is 66 infant deaths per 1,000 live births. But it varies from a figure of 11 in Kerala to 90 in Orissa. Intra-state variations in infant mortality and in primary school enrollment rates are even greater, as seen in the following map.

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