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Measuring divorce. Divorce rate (4 per 1000 in the population; 20 per 1000 marriages)Proportion of marriages ending in divorceEstimate(roughly 1 in two; some argue 4 in 10, rate stabilized since 1980). A brief legal history of divorce. Era of restricted divorce (through mid 1800s)Divorce for
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1. Divorce Measuring divorce
Theories to explain the overall level of divorce
Legal change
Economics
Morality and Individualism
Micro-level predictors of divorce
2. Measuring divorce Divorce rate
(4 per 1000 in the population; 20+ per 1000 marriages)
Proportion of marriages ending in divorce
Estimate
(roughly 1 in two; some argue 4 in 10, rate stabilized since 1980)
3. A brief legal history of divorce Era of restricted divorce (through mid 1800s)
Divorce for adultery or desertion, extreme violence
Few wives granted divorces; Men used divorce to protect property rights
Even in the absence of divorce – marital dissolution through death at early ages and separation (particularly among poorer classes)
Divorce Tolerance (mid 1800s – 1970s)
Divorce granted for above reasons as well as habitual drunkenness, failure to provide, or mental cruelty
More accessible to women
Steady rise in divorce rate from 1860 through 1960s (with few exceptional periods)
Era of Unrestricted Divorce (post 1970)
No-fault divorce laws
Initial rise (backlog of cases?), no difference in divorce rates between no-fault and fault states
4. An economic explanation of divorce Marriage as a cost-benefit relationship
(income, love,domestic labor, sex)
When tradeoffs are perceived as unequal (triggered by changes in equity) divorce may be increasingly likely
Evidence:
Much of the evidence used to examine this hypothesis is at the macro-level (e.g. families stay together when they can’t afford divorce (1930s))
Rise of women’s labor force participation changes the marital bargain
Inconsistent with individual-level predictors of divorce
5. Divorce and the rise of individualism Marriage is about personal, emotional commitment
With the decline of community and rise of individualism emphasis on marriage declined
Evidence:
Americans continue to report that they believe in marriage, yet 2/3 think unhappy married couples should divorce
Peoples attitudes about divorce have became more negative in the 1980s, yet divorce rate has been stable for the past 30 years
Much contradictory evidence about the rise of individualism in the post-WWII era
6. Individual Risks of Divorce On average, divorce happens 6 years after marriage
Highest risk in earliest years – 5% in first year; 9% in second year; 9% in third year
Low income and poverty associated with greater risk
More educated less likely to divorce
Early marriage associated with higher risk
African Americans more likely than whites to divorce
Influence of religion declining