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BioThreat or BioRisk?

BioThreat or BioRisk?. Lorna Miller Steve Eley. Systems. Capability. Threat. Hazard. Intent. Threat Assessment. Risk Assessment. Risk Description, e.g., a dispersal of a BW agent over an operating base Outcome Description, e.g., 100 Dead, up to 5 000 symptomatic, 25 km 2 contaminated

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BioThreat or BioRisk?

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  1. BioThreat or BioRisk? Lorna Miller Steve Eley

  2. Systems Capability Threat Hazard Intent Threat Assessment

  3. Risk Assessment • Risk Description, e.g., a dispersal of a BW agent over an operating base • Outcome Description, e.g., 100 Dead, up to 5 000 symptomatic, 25 km2 contaminated NO SYNTHETIC MATHEMATICS!

  4. Plausibility Matrix

  5. Impact Matrix

  6. Risk Matrix

  7. Urgency index

  8. Personnel Preparation Vulnerability Plausibility Physical Preparation Likelihood Risk Fatalities Impact Mitigated Risk Casualties R&D Risk management Policy Operational

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