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Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Introduction to AIB Mortgage Bank (AIBMB) Covered Bond Programme Aaa / AAA / AAA Benchmark Transaction December 2006. Contents. Overview of Allied Irish Banks p.l.c. The Irish Economy and the Irish Housing Market AIB’s Funding Profile
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Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. Introduction to AIB Mortgage Bank (AIBMB) Covered Bond Programme Aaa / AAA / AAA Benchmark Transaction December 2006
Contents • Overview of Allied Irish Banks p.l.c. • The Irish Economy and the Irish Housing Market • AIB’s Funding Profile • AIB Mortgage Bank’s ACS Issuance
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c. • Ireland’s largest publicly quoted company • Retail & commercial bank with strong franchises in all geographies • # 1 bank in Ireland with leading market shares in core banking products • By market capitalisation €18.6bn (November 2006) >17% of Irish Stock Market Index • Y/E 2005 - total assets € 133bn, PBT € 1.7bn • 1H 2006 - total assets € 144bn, PBT €1.2bn • Senior debt ratings Moody’s ‘Aa3’ (stable outlook) S&P ‘A+’ (stable outlook) Fitch IBCA ‘AA-’ (stable outlook)
Geographic profile- June ‘06 AIB Bank, ROI Division UK Division PBT 37% RWA’s 41% 5yr Av.GDP 5.1% PBT 15% RWA’s 18% 5yr Av.GDP 2.3% Capital Markets Division PBT 27% RWA’s 37% M&T Bank Poland Division Shareholding of 24% in M&T Bank Contribution to PBT 7% 5yr Av.GDP 2.6% PBT 10% RWA’s 4% 5yr Av.GDP 3.0%
Divisional Performance • 2005 2006 (H1) • AIB Bank Republic of Ireland €779m 24%€453m 19% • AIB GB & NI €322m 18%€184m 18% • Capital Markets €403m27%€300m 45% • Poland €132m13%€114m 62% • M&T * €148m 16%€80m 11% Profit before tax *after tax figure
Strong asset quality and robust capital 2004 2005 2006(H1) 1.3% Impaired loans (ILs) 1.0% 0.8% 5.8% Criticised loans / total loans 5.1% 5.1% 0.7% Gross new ILs 0.4% 0.4% 73% Total provisions / ILs 78 % 81% 20bpts Bad debt charge 15 bps 3bpts Tier 1 7.2% 8.0% Total Capital 10.7% 11.1%
Confident we will continue to achieve balanced and well managed growth Key performance features • Double digit growth in all principal franchises • Cost / income ratio 2.7% and down in all divisions • Investing in our people to underpin rates of retention & recruitment • Operating profit 24% • Strong asset quality, impaired loans to 0.8% and down / stable in all divisions • Intense focus on single enterprise operations • Robust capital and funding positions
The Irish Labour Market Has Been Transformed The Irish Labour Market Has been Transformed (‘000s) (%) Total Employment ’00S (LHS) Unemployment Rate % (RHS)
Population Growth Population Age Profile Estimates (m) Source: DOE and ESRI
Robust Public Finances • Government budget • Surpluses average 1.5% of GDP since 1997 • Budget close to balance in coming years • Large current budget surpluses • Significant capital expenditure/borrowing • Gen Gov Debt/GDP ratio • 27.4% at end 2005(e) and declining • Down from 90% of GDP during the 1990’s • Compares very favourably to eurozone average Debt/GDB of 71% • Relatively Low Tax Economy • Corporation Tax @ 12 ½% ; well below eurozone average • Personal Tax & Insurance Rates are LOW, no property taxes
Many Factors Underpin Strong Housing Demand • Continued strong inward migration • Favourable demographic trends • Untapped demand – Rising Headship rates • Demand for second homes • Strong growth in economy and employment • Maturity of Government savings scheme (SSIA’s) in 2006/7 • Home ownership is seen as an attractive tax efficient savings scheme, there are no personal or municipal taxes on residential property
Summary: A Sound Economy • Public finances to remain close to balance • Very low national debt. Declining debt/GDP ratio • Low tax economy attracting FDI and workers • Virtual full employment despite high immigration • Favourable demographics supporting growth • Inflation back close to Eurozone average
Allied Irish Banks, p.l.c Funding Profile
AIB’s Publicly Traded Securities • Short Term Instruments • Certificates of Deposit , €, STG, US$, Can$, A$ • US $ 10 bn Commercial Paper Programme • US $ 10 bn Yankee CD Programme • € 5b French Certificate of Deposit Programme* • Can $3b Maple Commercial Paper Programme* • Long Term Instruments • AIB plc ( Aa3 / A+ / AA-) • € 30 b EMTN programme • AIB Mortgage Bank (Aaa / AAA / AAA) • € 15b covered bond EMTN programme
Source of funds % 10% 10% 4% 6% 3% 10% 7% 24% 25% 49% 52%
Debt funding – well distributed and diversified Debt Distribution October 2006 € (m) Euro 82% STG 14% US$ 4% Step-up issues – adjustedto earliest step-up date
Overview of AIB Mortgage Bank • Registered as a Designated Mortgage Credit Institution • License granted by Regulator – Feb 2006 • Non-guaranteed, Public Unlimited Company - wholly owned by AIB plc • Shareholders investment exceeds €650m • 9 Directors, including 4 non-executive directors • Major activities outsourced to AIB (ROI) Division, subject to terms of the Service Level Agreement • €13.6bn residential mortgage loans transferred to AIB MB from AIB (ROI) • Prudent Discount Factor - 15 % • Pool Overcollateralisation set @ > 5%
ACS Act (2001) - Irish Legislation • Restricts asset classes – currently Public Sector and Residential Mortgages • Specialist bank principle - AIB Mortgage Bank • Conservative valuation methodology – haircut applied to increases in value (Prudent Market Value) • Prudent Market Value of Pool must be > ACS principal outstanding • Interest Receivable from pool must be > interest payable on the ACS for any 12 month period • Weighted Average maturity of the pool must be > ACS maturity • B/S interest rate sensitivity subject to limits • In the event of default - NTMA (Govt. Agency) appointed - Pool exempt from bankruptcy proceedings - Bond holders prioritised • Mandatory disclosure requirements • Covered Asset Monitor – independent external monitoring • Legislative changes planned for 2007
ACS - Mortgage Origination • Irish mortgage market drawn balances exceed €100bn, AIB has a market share of 16%+ • AIB has a presence in all major towns and cities, by a network of 188 branches and 87 sub-offices • 35% - 40% of the Banked Public have a primary account relationship with AIB • 90%+ of our branched sourced mortgages come from existing bank account holders • AIBMB currently does not book mortgages introduced through intermediaries
ACS - Credit Policy • Max Loan amount determined by DSR ( Debt Service Ratio ) = the Proportion of Net Income that is prudent to allow for purposes of Mortgage Repayments • DSR is stress tested to allow for increases in interest rates of 2% • Max LTV = 92% • Lenders have no sanctioning Targets/Quotas • Loan to be repaid by scheduled retirement date • Exceptions are approved by Senior Mortgage Lenders subject to the customers ability to repay • Regular reporting to Regulator • Arrears as % of total advances at end June - 0.4%
House mortgages - Republic of Ireland • Primary focus on debt service ratio (repayment capacity) New Business Consistent LTVs(% no’s of drawdowns) Dec 02 Dec 04 Jun 06 < 75% 66 67 65 > 75% < 90% 26 24 21 > 90% 8 9 14 Total 100 100 100 Strong arrears profileDec 02 Dec 04 Jun 06 % total mortgage advances 0.8% 0.5% 0.4%
ACS - AIBMB Collateral Pool at November 2006 • Minimum Contractual Overcollateralisation 5% • Actual Overcollateralisation >10% • Pool Size by PMV €7.8 bn • Aggregate Prudent LTV 38% • WA indexed LTV 54% • Dublin/Non-Dublin 31/69 • No. of Properties 50,400 • BTL/Owner Occupier 23/77 • Fixed Rate 16% • Interest only 22%* • Prudent Market Discount 15% • WA Seasoning c. 25 mths • Currently no commercial mortgages • Arrears > 3 months removed from pool • Minimal interest rate risk * Life of interest normally <5 years then reverts to annuity
ACS – AIB’s Issuance Strategy • €15 billion EMTN Programme established (Aaa/AAA/AAA) • Very high quality Covered Asset Pool • Successful Inaugural Dual Tranche Issue - €2.5bn 3 year, €1.0bn 7 year - strong secondary market performance • One issuing document to be updated annually • Ongoing commitment to investor relations - Regular marketing initiatives - Establishment of web-access - Rating Reports posted on website • Regular benchmark issuance across the curve • Participation in Euro Private Placements • To be recognised by investors as a consistent and responsible Issuer
Contacts AIB Web Site : www.aib.ie / investor relations Provides a comprehensive library of AIB & AIB Mortgage Bank programmes, listing particulars and presentations AIB Economic Research :www.aibeconomicresearch.com/research.asp?2 Provides comprehensive analysis of the Irish economy and housing market AIB Group Investor Relationswww.aibgroup.com/investorrelations Exec., GM Group Finance : Alan Kelly T: + 353-1-641-4191 Manager : Maurice Tracey AIB Global Treasurybond.issues@aib.ie Chief Dealer, Debt Issuance : Sean Cremen T: + 353-1-641-7803