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Understand portfolio theory, risk-return trade-offs, asset allocation, efficient frontiers, and optimum portfolio construction in practice with Prof. Ian Giddy from New York University. Learn how to balance returns and risks when investing in treasuries and equity funds.
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New York University/ING Barings The Capital Markets: Portfolio Construction In Practice Prof. Ian Giddy New York University
The Risk-Return Trade-Off E(R) CAPITAL ALLOCATION LINE 14% 12% SLOPE IS THE RISK-RETURN TRADE-OFF 5% SD 20% 24% 0%
The Risk-Return Trade-Off If this is my indifference curve E(R) then that’s the portfolio I would pick 14% 12% 5% SD 20% 26% 0%
Capital Allocation Possibilities:Treasuries or an Equity Fund? Expected Return THE EQUITY FUND E(rS) =17% S 10% rf=7% TREASURIES 7% S=27% Risk
Capital Allocation Possibilities:Treasuries or an Equity Fund? E(R) ONE PORTFOLIO: 30% Bills, 70% Fund E(R)=.3X7+.7X17=14% SD=.7X27=18.9% C.A.L. SLOPE=0.37 17% 14% rf=7% 18.9% 27% SD
If E(rS)=15%, S=22%,rf=7% • Allocate your money between t-bills (y) and a stock fund (1-y). Then: • rp = yrs + (1-y)rf • E(rp)= rf + y[E(rs - rf] = 7 + y[15 - 7] = 7 + y8 • p = ys = y22
We Can Buy Some T-bills and Some of the Risky Fund... Expected Return E(rS) =15% S 8% rf=7% 7% S=22% Risk
...Or Buy Two Risky Assets E(r) A B
Portfolio Return... To compute the return of a portfolio: use the weighted average of the returns of all assets in the portfolio, with the weight given each asset calculated as (value of asset)/(value of portfolio). The portfolio return E(Rp) is: E(Rp) = (w1k1)+(w2k2)+ ... (wnkn) = wj kj where wj = weight of asset j, kj = return on asset j
Measuring Portfolio Risk The variance of a 2-asset portfolio is: where wAand wBare the weights of A and B in the portfolio.
The Minimum-Variance Frontier of Risky Assets E(r) “Efficient frontier” Individual assets Global minimum-variance portfolio
The Efficient Frontier of Risky Assets with the Optimal CAL E(r) CAL(P) Efficient frontier
Optimal Overall Portfolio E(r) Indifference curve CAL Opportunity set P Optimal complete portfolio
www.giddy.org Ian Giddy NYU Stern School of Business Tel 212-998-0332; Fax 212-995-4233 ian.giddy@nyu.edu http://www.giddy.org