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Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Stock Assessment & the Long-term Sustainability of Fishery Resources Yimin Ye Senior Fishery Resources Officer. www.fao.org. Outline. Fish population dynamics Stock assessment and its role in fishery management
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Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Stock Assessment & the Long-term Sustainability of Fishery Resources Yimin Ye Senior Fishery Resources Officer www.fao.org
Outline • Fish population dynamics • Stock assessment and its role in fishery management • Assessment models and data requirements • Sustainability of fish stocks • An example of regional fisheries in developing countries www.fao.org
Recruitment Natural death Fish stock Individual growth Fishing removal Fish Stock and Its Variation in Abundance www.fao.org
WhatIs Stock Assessment? ΔB-variation in biomass R-recruitment G-growth M-natural death F-fishing removal • Fish stock Stock assessment is to evaluate the various components of the stock equation www.fao.org
What Can Stock Assessment Tell Us? • What is in the resource envelope? • how much fish is available, • what is the potential productivity • distribution • population structure • How much is being harvested using which type of gears • To predict consequences of different harvest strategies • To provide advice on policy formulation and management plans for the long-term sustainability of the fishery www.fao.org
Basic Elements of a Fishery • The standing stock (biomass) • The input (fishing effort) • The output (catch) • The processes that link input and output • Biological processes • Fishing operations www.fao.org
Control Measures and Fishing Capacity Input Standing Stock & Processes Output No. of vessels Vessel size Fishing time Minimum size Meash size Gear type TAC Bag limit Bycatch limit Fishing Capacity Overcapacity vs Over-exploitation FAO (1999), Arrizabalaga et al. (2009) www.fao.org
Management of Fishing Capacity • Code of Conduct (7.1.8): “States should take measures to prevent or eliminate excessfishing capacity and should ensure that levels of fishing effort are commensurate with the sustainable use of fishery resources” • International Plan of Action for the Management of Fishing Capacity (FAO 1999) • “States and RFOs confronted with an overcapacity problem, where capacity is undermining achievement of long-term sustainability outcomes, should endeavour initially to limit at present level and progressively reduce the fishing capacity applied to affected fisheries. • Three phases of implementations: assessment and diagnosis, adoption of management measures, and periodic adjustment of such assessment and measures”. www.fao.org
Assessment of Fishing Fleet Capacity • Peak to peak method (Kirkly & Squires 1999) • Stochastic frontier (Battese & Coelli 1993) • Data envelopment analysis (DEA, Reid & Squires 2007) Assessment of fishing capacity is difficult & data-demanding, eg. DEA requires trip-by-trip info on catches, fishing effort and vessel characteristics. www.fao.org
The Role of Stock Assessment in Fishery Management Fishing activity Data collection Stock Assess. Advice (SAG) Regulations Policy Formulation (SAC) Fish stock www.fao.org
Yield/recruit analysis Biomass-based models Low Simple Age-structured models Length-based models Ecosystem models High Complex Data Requirements of Various Models Model Formulation Data Requirements www.fao.org
Types of Data Used in Stock Assessment Vessel Stock assessment Gear Scientific survey data Catch Life history parameters Fishery dependent data Soci-economic data www.fao.org
What Models to Use? • Data availability e.g. age composition data • Characteristics of the fishery e.g. spawner-recruit relationship may not be clear for short-lived species • What you want to know e.g. the consequence of capturing juveniles www.fao.org
Fishery Management Objectives • Over-arching objective • Maintain stocks at the level capable of producing MSY • Modified by other factors, eg economic, employment, conservation • Precautionary approach (uncertainties in data, models and implementation) • Objective varies with users/countries www.fao.org
Examples: Different Management Objectives MEY MSY Jobs Ecosystem preservation www.fao.org
Sustainability of Fish Stocks • The meaning of sustainability varies with management objectives (BMSY, BMEY, etc) • Maintain stocks at the level capable of producing MSY (UNCLOS 1982, UN Code of Conduct 1995, UN Fish Stock Agreement 1995, UNEP & WWF 2007) www.fao.org
Natural ecosystem Target species Fish community Habitat Manag. system Policy Harvest strategy Research Controller Foundation Human system Fishers & vessels Comsumers Technology Soci-economic environ. Drive Three Pillars of a Fishery System www.fao.org
Sustainability Criteria Foundation Controller Natural ecosystem Target species Fish community Habitat Manag. system Policy Harvest strategy Research 3. ? 1.Stock>BMSY Human system Fishers & vessels Comsumers Technology Soci-economic environ. Drive 2.Capacity output<MSY (FAO 1998, Arrizabalaga et al. 2009) www.fao.org
Data Availability in Developing Countries Yield per recruit analysis Vessel Length-converted catch curve models Gear Scientific survey data Catch Life history parameters Fishery dependent data Soci-economic data www.fao.org
An Example: Kingfish in the Arabian Sea, Oman Sea & Arabian Gulf Grandcourt et al 2005 FACTS • Largest fishery in the GCC • Migratory shared stock • No info on distr. & migr. route • Only catch data available • No info on fishers, vessels & fishing effort • No regulations in place Max Y/R • Catch dropped to 1/3 • 65% of caught fish immature • A minimum size of 84 CM increasing catch by 7000 t • Closure of Aug-Sept • A minimum legal size of 65 CM www.fao.org
Sustainability Criteria for Data Poor Fisheries Controller Foundation Natural ecosystem Target species Fish community Habitat Manag. system Policy Harvest strategy Research 3.? 1.Indicators? Human system Fishers & vessels Comsumers Technology Soci-economic environ. 2.Fishing capacity? Indicators (vessel tonnage & engine power) Drive www.fao.org
Indicators of Stock Abundance for Fishery Management Purposes • Landings < 50% of the peak-5 years’ average without a clear cut in effort • Abundance indices < 50% of the initial values (catch rates of commercial or research vessels) • Fishing mortality >natural mortality (length-based methods) • The use of indicators involves a great uncertainty • Such uncertainties can be dealt with by adaptive approaches for management purposes, but using indicators to determine sustainability is much more difficult as it requires a clear Reference Value www.fao.org
FAO’s Technical Assistance to Developing Countries • Technical Guidelines • Stock assessment software • Workshops at national and regional levels • Technical cooperation projects • Direct contact with FAO staff www.fao.org
Thanks www.fao.org