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Tana Johnson University of Chicago tana@uchicago

Guilt by Association? How Anti-U.S. Sentiment May Undermine the Legitimacy of Intergovernmental Organizations. Tana Johnson University of Chicago tana@uchicago.edu. The Research Question. Anti-U.S. sentiment is prevalent and possibly growing, but does it matter in international relations?

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Tana Johnson University of Chicago tana@uchicago

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  1. Guilt by Association?How Anti-U.S. Sentiment May Undermine the Legitimacy of Intergovernmental Organizations Tana Johnson University of Chicago tana@uchicago.edu

  2. The Research Question • Anti-U.S. sentiment is prevalent and possibly growing, but does it matter in international relations? • My Answer: It can, by undermining the legitimacy of intergovernmental organizations (IGOs). I call this the possibility of “guilt by association.”

  3. “Guilt by Association” Hypothesis • An actor holding unfavorable perceptions of the United States likely also questions the legitimacy of the IGOs largely created by the U.S. or in which the U.S. possesses substantial ability to intervene.

  4. The Dependent Variables “To what extent do you trust [each IGO] to operate in the best interests of society? If you don’t know what to reply or have no particular opinion, please say so.”

  5. The Key Explanatory Variable “Do you think the USA has a good influence or a bad influence on your country?”

  6. Probit Results

  7. Estimated Probabilities that distrust[IGO] = 1 Note: all estimates are statistically significant at the 1% level.

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