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NORTH AMERICA AND GLOBAL ECONOMY TRADE REPORT ON TURKEY. Funda Celikaksoy Said Diarra. COUNTRY PROFILE. The population is approximately 70 million in 2003 The population growth rate is 1.53% The life expectancy is 68.7 years The age distribution is: 0-14 : 26.6% 15-64: 66.8%
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NORTH AMERICA AND GLOBAL ECONOMYTRADE REPORT ON TURKEY Funda Celikaksoy Said Diarra
COUNTRY PROFILE • The population is approximately 70 million in 2003 • The population growth rate is 1.53% • The life expectancy is 68.7 years • The age distribution is: • 0-14 : 26.6% • 15-64: 66.8% • 65 +: 6.6%
COUNTRY PROFILE • Politics: • Turkey is a parliamentary democracy • The President is Ahmet Necdet Sezer and the Prime Minister is Recep Tayyip Erdogan • The President is elected by National Assembly for a seven year term • The Minister of Economy is Ali Babacan and the Minister of Industry and Trade is Ali Coskun
COUNTRY PROFILE • Ethnic composition: • Turks: 80% • Kurds: 20% • Religion: • Muslim : 99% • Christian and Jews : 1%
COUNTRY PROFILE • GDP IN $US:
COUNTRY PROFILE • Structure of the economy: GDP composition by sector (%)
COUNTRY PROFILE • Government finances: • The budget is constantly in deficit • The public debt ratio to GDP is 54.4% • The government expenditure is 39% of the GDP • The government revenue is 28% of the GDP • The public debt is 194,386,700 billion (TL) (194 billion $CAN)
COUNTRY PROFILE • Balance of Payment:
Country Profile • Exchange rates : on March 4 2005; YTL/USD 1.2620, YTL/EURO1.6690, YTL/CAD 1.020 • Foreign Exchange Reserves: On Feb 18 2005 total reserves is US$ 38,433.4 million, foreign currency reserves are held mainly in US dollars • Net international investment position by latest data in 2003 is US$ –111,225 million • Gross External Debt: US$ 153,160 million • Foreign Debt to GDP ratio: 64%
COUNTRY PROFILE • Global Ranking: • Growth Competitiveness: 66th out of 80 • Business Competitiveness : 52nd out of 80 • Public Institutions: 63rd • Corruption sub index: 75th • Microeconomic Competitiveness: 54th out of 80 • Human development index: 88th
COUNTRY PROFILE • International organizations: NATO, Council of Europe, UN, OECD, UNESCO, WHO, WTO, IMF, World Bank • Trade Agreements: • Customs Union with EU • EFTA • Euro-Mediterranean Partnership • Economic Cooperation Organization • Black Sea Economic Cooperation
COUNTRY PROFILE • Bilateral relations with Canada: • Turkey is a valued commercial and strategic partner for Canada • They both share common membership in numerous international organizations (UN, G20, OECD) • Turkey is Canada’s second largest trading partner in Central and Eastern Europe • It provides good opportunity to sell Canadian products/services • The total bilateral trade is positive and is expected to steadily increase
COUNTRY PROFILE • Bilateral relations with Canada: • Canada’s primarily exports commodities (coal, wheat, wood pulp) • Double taxation agreement was reached between the two countries • Canada-Turkey framework agreement (to ensure closer bilateral relationship)
Country Profile Bilateral relations with the US • US is one of the major trade partners of Turkey • Export items to the US: iron&steel, pearls and precious stones, machinery and mechanic parts, tobacco and cement • Import items from the US: machinery, electrical equipments, pharmaceuticals, organic chemicals, aircraft and parts, optical and photographic instruments • Exports and imports share 8 and 5% respectively • Turkey constitutes 0.2% of imports and 0.4 of exports of the US
COUNTRY PROFILE • Bilateral relation with NAFTA: • Turkey mostly deal with Canada and the US but doesn’t have a significant relationship with Mexico • Turkey’s exports to NAFTA totaled more than $3.6 billion in 2004 (8.6% of total exports) • Turkey’s imports from NAFTA equaled more than $4.6 billion (5.4% of total imports)
INTERNATIONAL TRADE • Turkey’s exports: Total exports are US$ 56 billion in 2004 • Main exporting partners are Germany, the US, the UK, Italy, France, Spain, Holland, Russian Federation ( 80% of exports are directed to EU countries) • Main export products: • Textile and clothing: $6.6 billion 23% of total exports • Iron and Steel: $2.2 billion, 6.9 million tons • Agriculture: Olive, cotton, tobacco, hazelnut • Chemicals: $436 million, plastic raw materials $ 289.6 million, soaps, detergent, cleaning products • Glass and Ceramics: 5th in tiles production (world) 4th in Europe • Gold jewellery • Mining
INTERNATIONAL TRADE • Turkey’s imports: Total imports are US$ 87 billion in 2004 • Main importing partners are Germany, The US, the UK, France, Russian Federation (88% of imports are from EU) • Main import products are: • Machinery and equipment • Chemicals • Petroleum • Pharmaceutical products
INTERNATIONAL TRADE • Capital Flows: • Total FDI in Turkey amounted to US$ 32 billion by 2003, there are 6584 foreign companies operating in Turkey, 108 out of top 500 companies list of Fortune magazine • The leading investors: France, Netherlands, Germany, UK, the US • EU accounts for 68% of foreign investment stock • OECD accounts for 88%, 2% for Islamic countries, 1% East European countries, 9% other countries • Services represent 50-55% of the total stock of FDI • Manufacturing sectors investments, 35-40% • Agriculture and mining investments: 5%
INTERNATIONAL TRADE • International disputes: • Turkey has been involved in 12 cases • 7 concerned Turkey’s trade measures • 3 involved quantitative restrictions on imports of textile and clothing products • Turkey has been the complainant in 2 cases against Egypt and South Africa
INTERNATIONAL TRADE • International disputes with the US: • Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) • Intellectual Property Rights • Anti-Dumping & countervailing duties • Textiles trade • FDA regulations
TRADE POLICY • Influenced by WTO and trade relations with the EU • An export-oriented high value-added services and manufactured products • It also includes an emphasis on technology-intensive • Focuses on supporting export activities particularly of SME’s • Government's goal is to contribute to efficiency of free zones by dealing more with Middle East, Caucasian region and Central Asia
TRADE POLICY • Long term strategy contains 8 five year development plans for 2001-2005 • Reduce state intervention by privatization of public enterprises • Promoting FDI • Continue industrialization policy • Finance exports through the Turk Eximbank • Improve infrastructure for better international trade relationships
TRADE POLICY • Recent modifications on domestic legislation on: • Intellectual property rights • Telecommunication • Customs • Anti-dumping • Banking • Energy • Government procurement
TRADE POLICY • It is not a signatory of the Plurilateral Agreements from the Uruguay Round • Interest in Doha Development Agenda: • Future multilateral tariff reduction • Simplification of tariff structure • Elimination of non-tariff barrier • Equitable agricultural trading environment
CONCLUSION Many future opportunities with the future and official entry in the EU Acquiring more knowledge with the machine they’re importing • Multiple agreement in the region give them an increase level of trade because they deal with different type of market influence in “relationship know-how” • Stable political regime so less risk for making business • Average ranking that gives it time to grow