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Visioning Post Carbon Cities of Tomorrow (PACT sub-tasks 1.1.2/1.1.5)

Visioning Post Carbon Cities of Tomorrow (PACT sub-tasks 1.1.2/1.1.5). What we aim to do? Envisioning different urbanisation schemes Key questions to the cities/experts group Engaging “post-carbon” stakeholders/external experts: sources Proposal for follow up. What we aim to do ?.

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Visioning Post Carbon Cities of Tomorrow (PACT sub-tasks 1.1.2/1.1.5)

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  1. Visioning Post Carbon Cities of Tomorrow (PACT sub-tasks 1.1.2/1.1.5) What we aim to do? Envisioning different urbanisation schemes Key questions to the cities/experts group Engaging “post-carbon” stakeholders/external experts: sources Proposal for follow up

  2. What we aim to do ? • Form a group of “post-carbon” cities/experts • 2. Provide a working paper with the first embryonic vision of the • “carbon-free” city, based on desk research • Develop a first online DELPHI round + Workshop with the cities/experts • group • Develop a second online DELPHI round with cities involved in the application of • quantitative tools (TIMES urban model), to discuss simulation results • Contribution to Deliverable D1.1 and D1 – Cities and land use in post carbon • societies

  3. Envisioning different urbanisation patterns/1 Network of cities Urban sprawl Move fast (higher travel need) IV I Stay together (high density patterns & alternative transport accessibility) Stay alone (low density patterns & car dependent accessibility) III II Sparse settlements Compact city Move slow (lower travel need)

  4. Envisioning different urbanisation patterns/2

  5. Analysis of drivers underpinning urbanisation schemes (Working Paper) • KEY URBAN POLICIES: • Land use and transport (accessibility planning) • Energy planning • GHG reduction measures • KEY EXTERNAL DRIVERS: • Population: growth, ageing, • household size, immigration, etc. • Economy: GDP growth, • dematerialisation, globalisation, etc. • Technology: ICT, new transport and • energy technologies etc. • Social: Income distribution, time use • budgets, etc, • URBANISATION PATTERNS: • Urban sprawl • Network of cities • Compact city • Sparse settlements • KEY IMPACTS IN FOCUS: • Transport • Energy • Environment (GHG and other emissions)

  6. Key questions to the cities/expert group (DELPHI survey)/1 • Do you agree with the vision of “post-carbon cities” presented to you ? • Yes, fully • Yes, but … • No, but … • Not at all • Please provide any comment/motivation you may have for your answer. This will help to validate our analysis, identification of urbanisations scenarios, post-carbon cities features, etc.

  7. Key questions to the cities/expert group (DELPHI survey)/2 2. We have defined different urbanisation schemes up to 2050. They show where the population will mostly go to live, work, study, shop, enjoy … according to four basic land use change patterns - Which urban form fits best to your city context and/or strategy and why? - Which land use, transport, energy changes you think may facilitate most the post carbon transition in your city/region? - Do you like to cooperate to develop a PACT scenario application in your city/region, e.g. by providing data, using our outcomes in support of strategy development, etc. This may help to establish a more permanent link between PACT and cities Interested to post carbon developments

  8. Engaging “post carbon” stakeholders: sources • European Green Capital Award Cities • CONCERTO/CIVITAS projects • ENCI-Low Carbon FP7 project (creating a network of CSOs) • Transition Town (grassroot movement) • Convenant of Mayors to combat Climate Change (EU top down + Eurocities network) • ESEE (network of ecological economists)

  9. European Green Capital Award Cities STOCKHOLM: target to reduce GHGs down to 3 tons CO2e per head until 2015 and to become fossile fuel free city by 2050 HAMBURG: committed itself to reduce CO2 emissions by 40% until 2020 and by 80% until 2050 MUNSTER: decided to cut CO2 by 2020 and to achieve 20% share of renewable energies in communal energy supply FREIBURG: target of 40% reduction of CO2 by 2030 OSLO: the city target is to reduce CO2 emissions of 50% by 2030 BRISTOL: voluntary target of 60% reduction in CO2 emissions by 2050 from 2000 baseline COPENHAGEN: set the goal of reducing the 2005 level of carbon dioxide emissions of 20% by 2015

  10. CONCERTO/CIVITAS projects AMSTERDAM: CONCERTO ECOSTILER project (district heating) + public building, transport, land use plans BARCELONA: CONCERTO POLYCITY project (polygeneration system) + energy Improvement plan and solar ordinance ALESSANDRIA (IT): CONCERTO AL PIANO project (photovoltaic neighbourhood) SZCZECINEK (CZ): CIVITAS RENEISSANCE project (integrated transport and land use plan) GDANSK (PL): CIVITAS MIMOSA project (urban sustainable transport)

  11. OTHER SOURCES TRANSITION TOWN: a grassroot movement aiming to spread Energy Descent Action Plans, started from Rob Hopkins in the city of TOTNES (UK) and now engaging about 170 cities. CONVENANTS OF MAYORS & EUROCITIES Declaration on Climate Change: Under the umbrella of the EU Climate Change Policy, brings together some 120 cities across Europe to go beyond the objectives set by the EU for 2020, reducing the CO2 emissions by at least 20% through the implementation of Sustainable Energy Action Plans. European Society for Ecological Economics: novel research community with a network of 25 national contact points and a linkage established with CSOs through the FP7 project CEECEC (Civil Society Engagement with Ecological Economics). ENCI – LowCarb FP7 project (see next slides).

  12. ENCI – Low Carbon FP7 Environment Project

  13. ENCI – Low Carbon FP7 Environment Project

  14. ENCI – Low Carbon FP7 Environment Project

  15. Proposal for follow-up: planning of activities • Group of “post-carbon” cities/experts (ISIS+ENERDATA) - June 2009 • Working paper with the first embryonic vision of the • “carbon-free” city (ISIS) - to be ready in early September 2009 • Develop a first DELPHI round + Workshop with the cities/experts • group (ISIS + ENERDATA) – to be done with the support of an on-line • questionnarie in late September-October 2009 • Develop a second DELPHI round with cities involved in the application of • quantitative tools (TIMES urban model), to discuss simulation results – • to be done with the support of an on-line questionnaire in February-March • 2010 – (ISIS, IPP, ENERDATA) • Contribution to Deliverable D1.1 and D1 – Cities and land use in post carbon • societies – April 2010

  16. Proposal for follow up: linkages with other PACT tasks • WP4 and/or WP7 stakeholder groups formation – any input to the cities/expert • group ? (June 2009) • WP1, Task 1.2, implications of land use changes for large scale energy • and transport infrastructure – input to the first envisioning working paper • (August 2009) • WP2 analysis of post carbon technologies (ISI-Fraunhofer) and lifestyles • (ENERDATA) – input to the first envisioning working paper (August 2009) • - WP1, sub-task 1.1.4, urban area model implementation (IPP) – interaction • with cities experts and co-design of the second DELPHI round (since • October 2009 up to February 2010) • WP3 analysis of post carbon materials demand – any input to the second • DELPHI round ? • WP4 analysis of anticipatory experiences (LSC) – any input to the Workshop • (October 2009) ?

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