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Draft Business as Usual Plan. Wind - Business as Usual. Wind Requirement Per State. 3 inter-State Transfers. Transfers to Meet Requirements. 6 intra-State Transfers. Satisfying the Future’s Requirement. The expected wind energy must be achieved while maintaining voltage
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3 inter-State Transfers Transfers to Meet Requirements 6 intra-State Transfers
Satisfying the Future’s Requirement • The expected wind energy must be achieved while maintaining voltage • Each state’s capacity and wind requirement modeled as a source-sink transfer • PV analysis • Transfer increased until near voltage collapse
Satisfying the Future’s Requirement • The expected wind energy must be achieved while maintaining thermal limits • Each state’s capacity and wind requirement modeled as a source-sink transfer • Limitations to the transfers due to 345 kV contingencies identified • Focuses upon regional issues rather than local issues
Issue Areas & Corridors • Voltage • No major issues encountered, up to expected business-as-usual levels • Results in-line with the latest Generation Interconnection Study • Thermal • 230 & 345 kV in the Texas panhandle • 345 kV corridor in mid-Kansas • 230 & 345 kV corridor in east Kansas
Satisfying the Future’s Requirement SPP system with NTC projects
Least Cost Planning Approach • Installation cost & design simplicity • Shortest distances • Lowest Cost • Existing termination points • Only 345 kV and above projects considered • Emphasis given to previously studied projects
Least Cost Plan Components • Texas panhandle • Tolk – Potter Co • Potter Co – Stateline • East Kansas • Jeffrey – Iatan • Mid-Kansas • Spearville – Wichita • Wichita – Rose Hill • Oklahoma • Stateline – Anadarko
Lease Cost Plan Meets Requirements With proposed projects, limits are eliminated
Balanced Portfolio Priority Projects STEP 345 kV projects ITP20 identified 345 kV lines
Potential projects for further study • Texas panhandle • Frio Draw – Tolk • Tolk – Tuco • Tuco – Potter Co. • East Kansas • Jeffrey – Swissvale • Jeffrey – Auburn • Mid-Kansas • Medicine Lodge – Viola • Viola - Wichita • Knoll – Summit • Spearville – Reno Co.
Correlation to State of the Market Flowgates 8 7 2 9 6 1 & 3 5 4 10
Seams Integration • Expectation of thermal limitations in other futures’ least cost designs • Nebraska – Iowa border near Omaha • Kansas City area • Ft. Smith area • East Texas
Stakeholder Feedback • Comments regarding study approach • Alternative project suggestions • Areas for development
Futures 2 - 4 • Staff will begin development of least-cost plans for these three futures • Same process as business as usual case
Timeline for Futures 2 - 4 • August 2010 • Least-cost plans for futures • September 2010 • Single, flexible plan for all futures • Cost-effective transmission analysis • October 2010 • Robustness evaluation • Limited reliability assessment
Ben RoubiqueLead Engineer, Technical Studies & Modeling501-614-3331broubique@spp.org