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Business As Usual

Business As Usual. The inability to overcome policy and or institutional inertia in order to pull your head out of your ass and start on a sensible pathway to sustainability Much more difficult obstacle to overcome than you think – you live in a legacy world.

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Business As Usual

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  1. Business As Usual • The inability to overcome policy and or institutional inertia in order to pull your head out of your ass and start on a sensible pathway to sustainability • Much more difficult obstacle to overcome than you think – you live in a legacy world. • The REAL world matters and in this course we exam issues always in that context

  2. Why Energy Policy Matters • Energy: • Electricity • Heat • Transportation

  3. BAU Waveform

  4. Methane Emissions Growing Flat from 2000 -2007 This small rise is significant Revised IPCC GWP: 21  36 CO2 = 398 ppm CH4 = 1.85*36 = +67  465 ppm

  5. Electricity growth – must occur with carbon free emissions as fast as practical 1950-2000: Electricity growth scales as (Pop Growth)3.5

  6. Latest Extended Recession: slight reduction (about 2% from peak) Transportation and Electricity Production are equal in GHG

  7. US Reduction in GHG emissions – only a temporary condition 2012 Mild Winters 7% Reduction 2009 Market Crash Overall from 2005-2015 is a reduction of .8% per year So, Business AS USUAL!

  8. But the US is No longer The World

  9. Sources of Carbon

  10. The Chinese Sledgehammer China was relatively unaffected by the global meltdown of 2009

  11. 2014: Legacy LegacyLegacy

  12. And Per Capita is Increasing – which is why 3.26 ppm is happening 1990-2003 stability Recession blip 33% Increase in Per Capita Emissions from 1975 until now

  13. Coal CoalCoal

  14. Price of Consumption Sustainability Awareness Needs to Begin Here CHINA

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