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Chaos and Complexity

Chaos and Complexity. in International Relations. Chaos (Classical Realism). Hobbes’ “State of Nature” International system is chaotic States are self-interested. Order within chaos (World Systems Theory). Wallerstein’s World Systems Model Balance of power Bipolar world in the Cold War.

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Chaos and Complexity

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  1. Chaos and Complexity • in International Relations

  2. Chaos (Classical Realism) • Hobbes’ “State of Nature” • International system is chaotic • States are self-interested

  3. Order within chaos(World Systems Theory) • Wallerstein’s World Systems Model • Balance of power • Bipolar world in the Cold War

  4. USA TURKEY NIGER

  5. Self-Organization (Institutional Liberalism) • Man has organized from families to communities, etc. • Institutions lead to peace • United Nations, European Union, World Trade Organization...

  6. US Membershipin international organizations • International Monetary Fund (IMF) • International Olympic Committee (IOC) • International Organization for Migration (IOM) • International Organization for Standardization (ISO) • International Red Cross and Red Crescent Movement (ICRM) • International Telecommunication Union (ITU) • International Telecommunications Satellite Organization (ITSO) • International Trade Union Confederation (ITUC) • North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) • North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) • Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) • Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG) • Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) • Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) • Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) • Organization of American States (OAS) • Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) • Secretariat of the Pacific Community (SPC) • South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) (observer) • Southeast European Cooperative Initiative (SECI) (observer) • United Nations (UN) • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) • United Nations Educational, Scientific, and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) • United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) • United Nations Institute for Training and Research (UNITAR) • United Nations Mission in Liberia (UNMIL) • United Nations Observer Mission in Georgia (UNOMIG) • United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) • United Nations Security Council (UNSC) (permanent member) • United Nations Stabilization Mission in Haiti (MINUSTAH) • United Nations Truce Supervision Organization (UNTSO) • Universal Postal Union (UPU) • World Confederation of Labour(WCL) • World Customs Organization (WCO) • World Federation of Trade Unions (WFTU) • World Health Organization (WHO) • World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) • World Meteorological Organization (WMO) • World Trade Organization (WTO) • Zangger Committee (ZC) • African Development Bank Group (AfDB) (nonregional member) • Arctic Council • Asian Development Bank (ADB) (nonregional member) • Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) • Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) (dialogue partner) • Association of Southeast Asian Nations Regional Forum (ARF) • Australia Group • Australia-New Zealand-United States Security Treaty (ANZUS) • Bank for International Settlements (BIS) • Black Sea Economic Cooperation Zone (BSEC) (observer) • Colombo Plan (CP) • Council of Europe (CE) (observer) • Council of the Baltic Sea States (CBSS) (observer) • Euro-Atlantic Partnership Council (EAPC) • European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) • European Organization for Nuclear Research (CERN) (observer) • Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) • Group of Five (G5) • Group of Seven (G7) • Group of Eight(G8) • Group of Ten (G10) • Group of Twenty Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors (G20) • Inter-American Development Bank (IADB) • International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) • International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) • International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) • International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) • International Criminal Court (ICCt) (signatory) • International Criminal Police Organization (Interpol) • International Development Association (IDA) • International Energy Agency (IEA) • International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRCS) • International Finance Corporation (IFC) • International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD) • International Hydrographic Organization (IHO) • International Labour Organization (ILO) • International Maritime Organization (IMO) • International Mobile Satellite Organization (IMSO) SOURCE: CIA WORLD FACTBOOK

  7. Network Theory(Globalization) • Globalization can push the peripheral states out of the decision-making process • Core states, or hubs, are so interconnected that the system is propped up • The system hinges on the health of the US, UK, France, Russia, China, etc...

  8. Complex Systems(Modern realities) • Difficult to determine boundaries • Prior states have an effect on future states • Components themselves may be complex systems • Negative and/or positive feedback • Peace • Economic growth

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