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IE 419 Work Design: Productivity and Safety Dr. Andris Freivalds Class #17. Ch. 14 – Work Sampling. Work Measurement – to establish a standard time for a given job: Time study (IE 327) Predetermined time systems (IE 419) MTM-2 MOST Standard data (IE 327)
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IE 419 Work Design:Productivity and Safety Dr. Andris Freivalds Class #17 IE 419
Ch. 14 – Work Sampling • Work Measurement – to establish a standard time for a given job: • Time study (IE 327) • Predetermined time systems (IE 419) • MTM-2 • MOST • Standard data (IE 327) • Work Sampling – method of find % occurrence of an activity by statistical sampling and random observations IE 419
Work Sampling • Can not continually observe an event • At a given instant, the event either happens or does not • Probability of such binary event happening m out of n times, is determined by the binomial distribution: P(m) = n! pm (1-p)m-n m! (n-m)! n = # obs, m = # events, p = prob of event, q=1-p IE 419
Prob of 0,1,2,3,4 heads in 4 tosses • n! pm (1-p)n-m / m! (n-m)! IE 419
Normal Approximation As n → ∞, binomial → normal, mean = p, std. dev. s = √pq/n IE 419
# Observations Needed • 95% fall in interval p ±ℓ (limit of error) • Where ℓ =1.96s = 1.96 √pq/n • ℓ2 = 3.84 pq/n → n = 3.84pq/ℓ2 • Ex 1: Machines down 25% of time. How many observations needed for 6% error? • Ex 2: Only collect n=100. What is error? IE 419
Frequency and Timing of Observations • Use random number table • 4 digits: #1=day, #2 =hr, #3-4 = min. • Discard outside range • Arrange in numerical order • Or use DesignTools! IE 419
Steps in Work Sampling • Define problem, event to study • Pilot study, for initial p • Determine l, then n • Determine random observations • Design recording form • Carry out study IE 419
Recording Form - Simple IE 419
Recording Form - More IE 419
Recording Form - Detailed IE 419
Problem - Correlated Observations • If several workers observed simultaneously • Individual readings are not independent • Need to correct standard deviation (s) and interval p +ℓ or p +1.96s • s2 = ∑yj2/nj – np2 n(m-1) • Where: n = total #obs, m = # grouped obs • Where: nj = #workers at jth obs, yj = #workers “idle” at jth observation IE 419
Correlated Observations - Ex Standard (but incorrect) approach: ℓ2 = 3.84 pq/n = 95% confident that interval:28 ± 12.4% (Incorrect!) IE 419
Correlated Observations – Ex #3 s2 = [∑yj2/nj–np2]/n/(m-1) = s = 0.086 and p=14/50 = 0.28 95% confident that interval: 28 ± 1.96(8.6) or 28 ± 16.4% (correct) IE 419
Applications of Work Sampling • Calculation of Standard Time • Finding Worker or Machine Utilization • Application to Service Industry • Self Observation IE 419
Calculating a Standard Time Ex #4 (Press operator for 8-hr shift) Observed time (OT) = Tx(ni/n) / #P Normal time (NT) = OTx R/100 Standard time (ST) = NT(1+Allow) IE 419
Calculating a Standard Time (From Work Sampling) • Observed time (OT) = Tx(ni/n) / #P • Normal time (NT) = OTxR/100 • Standard time (ST) = NT(1+Allow) IE 419
Ex #6 -Application to Service IndustryWashington State Dept. of Social and Health Services - 1 • Consultant to Sterling Associates in 1999 • Allocation of workload to social workers • Buzzers given to 304 workers • Over 2 months found: • 91,371 observations recorded • 2,224 cases processed, by AU (μ =1 hr/AU) • % idle (4%) very low • Accuracy high, ℓ = 0.4% IE 419
Washington DSHS - #2 Large disparity between AU and Time Redistribution of staffing assignments. IE 419
Self Observation - 1 • Find “typical” day of college student • % of 24-hour day for different activities: • sleeping (record this directly) • classes (sample this and others) • studying • sports/leisure activities (TV, internet) • eating • transportation, going to-from classes • miscellaneous IE 419
Self Observation - 2 • Key issue: • Random reminder • Use alarm • Or use PDA • Palm Zire • OS 4.1 • QuikSamp IE 419
Flowchart of QuikSamp START Randomizing # of Observ. Limit of Error Sample Days and Time Sorting & Display Work Sampling # of Operator & Work Elements Work sampling RESULT END IE 419
Potential Sources of Error • Sampling error – statistics, ↑n • Bias errors: • Observer bias – expecting outcomes • Operator bias – misleads analyst • In-phase bias – regular sampling bad, random • Representativeness error – sampling during nonrepresentative time, e.g. holiday IE 419
Work Sampling vs. Time Study IE 419