The Integration Imperative Redrawing the Lines to Invigorate Research and Spark Applications

1. NASA Biodiversity and Ecological Forecasting Team Meeting The Integration Imperative Redrawing the Lines to Invigorate Research and Spark Applications Woody Turner NASA Earth Science Division The Hilton Embassy Row Hotel in Washington, DC May 17, 2010

2. NASA Earth Science Division BUDGET MARKS: FY11 Submit – An Opportunity FY11 President’s Budget BUDGET ($M) FY10 President’s Budget Previous Administration

4. Thoughts from Brown & Lomolino’s Biogeography (1998) • Because of the explosion of data, many empirical patterns of distribution and diversity have been well documented for a variety of different kinds of organisms. What is still lacking is an equally clear understanding of the processes that have produced these patterns, interactions among these processes, and feedback effects between communities and environmental conditions. • One could make the case that progress in theoretical science has not kept pace with the explosion of empirical data. • There seems to be an increasing realization that many of the greatest challenges to modern science lie at the interfaces between the traditional disciplines. • Much of this (existing biogeography) theory was based on the reductionist idea that the natural world can be understood by taking complex systems apart, identifying their basic components,…, and then putting the components back together…to build up subsystems of incrementally increasing complexity. • …new theoretical advances…willbe increasingly holistic…. • We expect biogeography…to become increasingly synthetic.

5. Humans: The Line-Making Species (from Rebecca Lindsey Tropical Deforestation in NASA Earth Observatory March 30, 2007)

6. (from UAH Tom Sever)

7. But Nature Seems to Abhor a Straight Lines, Nature is Fluid (Image courtesy of Carnegie/Greg Asner)

8. How Would Nature Manage a Program?

9. eBird/Partners in Flight + SERVIR for Animal Movement and Changing Weather/Climate (from http://blogs.nationalgeographic.com/blogs/news/chiefeditor/bird-migration-map.jpg)

10. Integration Opportunity: ROSES A.30 - Climate & Biological Response “Another example, which is only beginning to be pursued intensively, is the interface between biogeography and climatology.” Brown & Lomolino Biogeography 1998

11. Tools and Participation

12. A Chance to Redraw Some Lines • Grouped talks into Sections around Common Themes • Have Integration Discussions in Plenary after each section • Look for Overlaps across Projects • Explore the potential for Integrative Research and Applications to address current Challenges • Formulate Research Questions and Applications Plans at end of each discussion

13. Thank You

14. Backup Slides

15. NASA EARTH AUGMENTATION MAJOR ALLOCATIONS FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 TOTAL BASE 1495 1544 1589 1617 1632 7877 OCO-2 171 91 51 13 4 330 CLIMATE 150 309 449 587 646 2141 Initiative CLIMATE/FLIGHT 100 234 359 477 521 1691 CLIMATE/Non-FL. 50 75 90 110 125 450

16. President’s FY11 NASA Budget Request: Earth Science Plan • Present infusion enables significant mission accelerations and program expansions • FY09 Stimulus + FY10 President’s budget increase for Earth Science provided a realistic • basis for the Foundational Missions • All Foundational missions launched by mid-CY2013 (Glory, Aquarius, NPP, LDCM, GPM) • Build on existing balanced program (non-flight as well as flight) • Enables OCO-2 development and launch by 2/2013 • Accelerates selected Decadal Survey systematic missions • Launches all 4 Tier-1 missions between 2104 and 2017 • SMAP: 11/2014; ICESAT-2: 10/2015 DESDynI*: 2017; CLARREO-1*: 2017 • Expands and accelerates Venture-class competitive, PI-led program • ANNUAL solicitations for major flight instruments PLUS biannual alternating • airborne and small-mission solicitations • First small-sat selections in 2012 • Develops Common Instrument Interface, encouraging flight on ISS, international • partner missions, private/commercial missions • *Constrained, focused refined mission • (continued)

17. President’s FY11 NASA Budget Request: Earth Science Plan (cont.) • Develops selected Climate Continuity Missions • SAGE-III refurbishment/hexapod development, ready for flight to ISS late CY2013 • GRACE-C (GRACE Follow-on), launch late CY2015 (joint with DLR) • Potential additional measurements possible – identified in concert with USGCRP • Enables Key Non-Flight activities • Multi-year carbon monitoring pilot program • Expanded Earth Science-specific technology program • SERVIR expansion • Expanded modeling, synthesis, computing capability • NASA substantial support/participation in National Assessment activities • Geodetic ground network expansion/modernization • Expanded NASA support for GLOBE • With US Global Change Research Program, identifies and enables additional selected • Tier-2 Decadal Survey missions to be developed for flight in 2019-2020 time frame

18. MISSION LAUNCH CADENCE – NASA EARTH SCIENCE FY11 BUDGET • GLORY (11/2010) • Aquarius (12/2010) (with CONAE) • NPP (NET 9/2011) (with Interagency partners) • LDCM (12/2012) (agency external commitment 6/2013) (with USGS, TIRS capability) • OCO-2 (2/2013) • GPM Core (7/2013) (with JAXA) • SAGE-III on ISS (11/2013) (launch required and not in budget, includes hexapod) • SMAP (11/2014) (date set by LV selection issues, SRB’s recommendation for Phase C-D) • ICESAT-2 (10/2015) (date constrained by technical development) • GRACE-C (12/2015) (possibly with DLR) • CLARREO-1 (10/2017) (cost-constrained mission) • DESDynI RADAR+LIDAR (10/2017) (possibly with DLR, partnership not essential) • Additional missions possible for launch prior to 2020, identified in concert with USGCRP • Annual Venture major instrument solicitations starting in FY12 • First small-sat Venture mission call in FY12