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British American Tobacco Group ADR (BTI). Vincent M. Boccio Analyst, Consumer Staples October 22 nd , 2008. American Depositary Receipt ?. BTI is traded on the AMEX as an ADR ADR stands for American Depositary Receipt
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BritishAmericanTobacco GroupADR (BTI) Vincent M. Boccio Analyst, Consumer Staples October 22nd, 2008
AmericanDepositaryReceipt? • BTI is traded on the AMEX as an ADR • ADR stands for American Depositary Receipt • Helps to reduce administration and duty costs that would otherwise be levied on each transaction • In BTI’s case one ADR is equal to one of its foreign shares
CompanyOverview • International tobacco company that manufactures, distributes, and sells cigarettes, cigars, leaf and other tobacco products • Produce mainly under Global Drive Brands • Dunhill • Kent • Lucky Strike • Pall Mall • Large Diversification • Over 300 brands sold in over 180 different markets
Key Statistics • Price: 52.64 • Market Cap: 56.40B • 52 Week Low: 48.02 • 52 Week High: 81.04 • Average Volume: 237,223 • P/E: 14.30 • F P/F: 11.97 • Beta: 0.69 • PEG: 1.19 • EPS: 1.11 • Dividend: 1.76 • Yield: 3.00% • Outstanding Shares: 998.16M Source: Yahoo Finance
Industry • Recently all tobacco companies have been effected by declining sales volume. • Many threats do lye within the industry. • Illicit Trade • Litigations • Anti-Tobacco Ad’s • Smoking bands • However there are many promising and recovering opportunities that can serve as a defense for well managed tobacco companies.
Threats • Illicit Trade • Smuggling of tobacco has taken off • Increased taxation makes it very profitable to cross boarders undetected • This effects major tobacco companies tremendously, it hurts their revenue streams so they must make sure not to ignore boarders • Empirical evidence shows that illicit trade has led to an increase in teenage smoking and it harbors terrorism
Threats • Litigation • Biggest hurdle that tobacco companies face is the omnipresent court battles. • Class action suits, third party reimbursement, and punitive damage threats are all very real dangers • Fortunately, tobacco companies have been “winning” • The “light” litigation not an issue as the Supreme Court just wants to get it off the table • Another positive aspect is that the judiciary make-up of the foreign market is not very strong
Threats • Anti-Tobacco Campaigns • Significantly increased as activists see declining returns from litigation • Research shows that tobacco education is making a difference • Increased vigilance pertaining to ID-ing has sharply decreased the number of teen smokers • Laws ban most advertisement and displaying techniques • Increase in the Anti-Tobacco ballot initiatives
Threats • Increasing Excise Taxes • Stemming from a decline in litigations potency • Tobacco is targeted because it is considered a negative externality • Increase in taxes in order to “save the third party” • Number one driver of price hikes • Smoking bans • New phenomenon sweeping the nation which is picking up speed • Becoming a very controversial issue • How it will affect the tobacco companies? • Businesses are required to ban smoking or face stiff penalties.
Opportunities • Merger Completions • Many mergers have dominated the tobacco industry’s news feed • These mergers are now starting to take shape • Industry as a whole is a lot stronger • Synergy is the key word in the industry as companies continue to add to their repertoire • Biggest trend for mergers is to attain a consolidated litigation service
Opportunities • Narrowing Price Gaps • Increase in excise taxes and litigation costs have caused discount sellers to hike up their prices • Major players gaining back a lot of lost market share • Better advertising strategies play a role as well • Tobacco companies are learning how they can bend the advertisement laws favoring the big players
Opportunities • Globalization • Tobacco companies are expanding just like everyone else • Capitalization that these companies used to see in the US has gone global • Industry looks to benefit • Simplicity of global judiciary requirements allow tobacco companies freedoms that are strictly prohibited within the US
Opportunities • The biggest opportunity that the Tobacco Industry has is to address their threats • Certainly attainable while there has already been quite a bit of work done to make this a possibility
BTI’s Initiatives • Litigation • Created a consolidated litigation force • Anti-Tobacco/Smoking Bans • Embrace this movement • Illicit Trade • Increased Excise Taxes • Seen as a positive
BTI’s Initiatives • Have taken advantage of mergers and acquisitions. • Acquired • Reynolds American • Skandinavisk Tobakskompagni (ST) • Tekel • Ente Tabacchi Italiani • Results of boosts in growth and credibility. • Management says this will be the basis for achieving their future targets and will continue to acquire profitable companies, when the timing is right.
Management • At least half of the Main Board, excluding the Chairman, is comprised of Non-Executive Directors who are independent. • Jan Du Plessis, Chairman • Jan du Plessis joined the Board of British American Tobacco as a Non-Executive Director in 1999 and became Chairman on 1 July 2004. • Paul Adams, Chief Executive • Paul Adams has been Chief Executive of British American Tobacco since January 2004, however has been in with the company since 1991 and has risen respectfully through the ranks.
Management • Ben Stevens, Finance Director • Ben Stevens joined the Board of British American Tobacco in March 2008 and assumed the role of Finance Director at the end of April 2008 • Nicandro Durante, Chief Operating Officer • Nicandro Durante joined the Management Board in 2006 and was appointed to the role of Chief Operating Officer in January 2008. • The rest of the board members (7) are all non-executive directors.
CEOBackground • Paul Adams has been Chief Executive of British American Tobacco PLC since January 2004. He is currently 53 years old. • Paul joined British American Tobacco in 1991 as Regional Director, Asia-Pacific. • In 1999, he was appointed Regional Director in Europe. • Then in March 2001, he became an Executive Director on the PLC Board. • Paul was Managing Director from January 2002 until the end of 2003, where he was then appointed as the CEO.
Cost Cutting • BTI has taken multiple steps to cutting costs • Over past five years have saved more than 1 billion pounds • Projections for next five years • Achieve further annualized savings in areas such as supply chain efficiencies, back office integration and management structure • Approx. 800 million pounds by 2012 • Reinvests cost savings back into the company • Primarily into R&D
Specifics on Cost Cutting • In 2007 shut down operations at five excess factories • Transferred to Mexico for the production of the Canadian market • Cheaper labor costs • Own less tobacco stock while still being able to produce efficiently • Product complexity reduction • Continue to focus on the leveraging of their global purchasing power to drive down costs of indirect purchases
Products Overview • Portfolio of approximately 300 brands including international and regional brands • Focus on four Global Drive Brands: • Dunhill • Kent • Lucky Strike • Pall Mall • Brands include ready-made cigarettes, cigars, roll-your-own, pipe tobacco, and smokeless tobacco • Important consumer segments include international, premium, lights, and “adult smokers under 30”
Global Drive Brands • Dunhill • Premium Brand • Sells in over 120 countries • Offers range of premium and super premium cigars and cigarettes • Key markets: South Korea, Malaysia, Taiwan, South Africa, and Australia • Kent • Modern Premium Brand • Introduced in America in 1952; now sells in over 70 countries • Largest growth brand of four GDBs • Key markets: Russia, Eastern Europe, and Chile
Global Drive Brands • Lucky Strike • Premium brand • Oldest brand with an iconic trademark • Sells in more than 90 countries • Key markets: Germany, Spain, Japan, France, Indonesia • Pall Mall • Value-for-Money brand • Sells in over 60 countries • Offers a range of cigarettes and make-your-own products • Key markets: Germany, Italy, Russia, Uzbekistan
Global Drive Brands Source: BAT Comp. Filing • Since 2001, the four GDBs have increased combined volume by 73%. • Over the past year alone GDB sales have increased 10%, and BTI’s Premium volume grew by 3% in contrast to a 1% decline in the overall industry volume.
Other International Brands • Vogue • International Premium Superslim brand • Gained importance in global portfolio • Meets needs of female consumer • Big player in Eastern Europe • Viceroy • International low price brand • Achieved high growth in 2007 at 21%
Product Innovation • Menthol capsules • Allows consumers to choose when to enhance menthol experience. • Introduced in Japan with positive response. • Swedish-style Snus • Currently more than 95% of world’s smokers consume ready-made cigarettes, but other forms of tobacco are gaining popularity. • Form of smokeless tobacco placed under the lip. • Reported by independent health experts as being less harmful than cigarettes. • Hugely popular in Scandinavia. • Sold under Lucky Strike brand and two other international brands.
Competitive Advantages • Company recognizes and embraces nature of tobacco industry. • Concentrated on cost reduction, and organic growth through GDB’s. • Diversified Brand Portfolio. • Targeting key growth markets/Geographic spread • Innovation Pipeline. • Only Tobacco Company to be listed on the Dow Jones Sustainability Index.
Revenue Breakdown by Region Source: BAT Comp. Filing
Volume Growth Source: BAT Comp. Filing
RevenueGrowth Source: BAT Comp. Filing
ProfitGrowth Source: BAT Comp. Filing
FinancialConcerns • Net decrease in cash flows in 2007 • Attributable to financing cash outflows • Operating cash flow has been increasing • Current interest ratio: 8x
FinancialHighlights • Revenue growth: 5% increase • Operating profits: 11% increase • Dividend/share: 18% increase • FCF: 11% increase • S&P credit rating: BBB+
The End Questions or Concerns