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e-LUP. On Methodology. Mikael Pihlström Amsterdam, 25 January 2007. Title: Simulating land use processes – an interactive e-tool for SIA. focus on tools, models and communication technologies but, dual structure; both e-textbook and e-tool In the beginning was the Word ... 1. John
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e-LUP On Methodology Mikael Pihlström Amsterdam, 25 January 2007
Title: Simulating land use processes – an interactive e-tool for SIA • focus on tools, models and communication technologies • but, dual structure; both e-textbook and e-tool • In the beginning was the Word ... 1. John • e-textbook in parallell English/Russian, freeware in internet • for multiple users, different scales ?
The project has four distinct phases • case studies on ecosystem biogeochemistry, landscape biodiversity, ecotechnosystems, pollution, multifunctional agriculture, sustainable building, months 5 to 20. • dynamic models and their incorporation into an interactive visualization software, 1st batch ready month 18, 2nd batch ready month 26. • combining simulations, text, videos and graphics into a e-textbook/tool, months (6) 11-40. • testing of the e-tool/e-textbook by policy makers (including EC staff) and stakeholders, months (24) 28-39.
WP3 Case study areas Eight potential forest ecosystem plots (FE) in partner countries. The main distribution area of Scots pine (Pinus silvestris) is hatched.In some of these areas simultaneous sampling will be done and a larger surrounding region remote-sensed. In Latvia there is a separate remote-sensing subproject.
the e-format • - an e-book has its own ” touch and feel” comparable to paper publications • - scannable portions rather than a long linear flow • - ease of navigation and overall clarity (indexes, hyperlinks etc) • - avoid excessive links, the e-book should be a closed environment, not invite the user to get lost in the Web.
We approach Sustainability Impact Assessment(SIA) largely through different land usecategories...
Fig. 10. e-textbook chapters ¨ 1. Sustainable impact assessment and policies on land-use writers: NERI, HEL, EAC, A 2. KEY: defining the issue or problem writers: HEL, SAV ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3. Land use and global warming, implications for carbon cycles writers: SPbSU, IGSO, SAV 4. Acidification and contamination of forests and waterswriters: IVL, PSU, NTNU FMI 5. Eutrophication of land and water writers: NIJM, ISU, WAP, FMI 7. Biodiversity; species, habitats and landscapeswriters: LAT, HEL, SPbSU, 8. Sensitive environments: mountains, coast zones, arable landwriters: WAP, HEL, LAT, IGSO, B 9. Multifunctional agriculture and rural developmentwriters: Cemagref, ISU 6. Cleaner and leaner production and consumption writers: UTA, NTNU, PSU, 10. Sustainable cities and infrastructure writers: IVAM, HEL , SPbSU, D 11. Social cohesion and human health impacts writers: ERI, HEL, E, F (RF) x Sustainable economies xx Metrics of globalisation and gender issues -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12. Potential and limitations of SIA writers: HEL, EAC
the user • First, the policy maker at EU-level • > busy, focused, well resourced, at work • > the tool/textbook has to raise interest within 2-3 minutes and provide a ”roadmap” within ½ hour. • Second, the same policy maker (interested now), regional & local administration, planners students, academics, industrialists, stakeholders …..
Review of extended Impact Assessments carried out by EC in 2003 (Bartolomeo et al 2004) • Review of European Employment Strategy • Communication on immigration, integration and employment • Proposal for a Framework Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on unfair commercial practices • Legislation on the Kyoto flexible instruments Joint Implementation (JI) and Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) • Communication: Basic orientations for the sustainability of European tourism • Policy on fixed pack sizes in selected sectors (wine, spirits, coffee, flour etc.) • Framework Legislation on Chemical Substances • Directive establishing strategies to prevent and control pollution of groundwater • Reform of EU sugar policy • Communication on the transition from analogue broadcasting to digital broadcasting: Digital switchover in Europe • Support for private sector development in Mediterranean • Amendment of regulation on the common organisation of the raw tobacco • Proposal for a Directive on non-discrimination on the basis of sex (Art. 13) • Proposal for a European Parliament and Council Directive on batteries and accumulators Issues more or less related to land use are bolded
WP5 e-toole-textbook Dual structure: the main pages for the focused policy maker are more interactive, user-defined and tool-like. The e-textbook levels offer background, explanatory texts and references for general users, incl. students
WP5 User defined search
the e-tool • MAIN PAGES = e-tool (5-10 pages) • Issue – concise formulation • EU-policies • - UN/ECE protocols on long-range transport air pollution • - Clean air directives – National emission ceilings – CAFE • - Directives on hazardous substances, on heavy metals etc • Russian policies - very short list • Impacts and SIA assessment tools (recommended ones) • - primary: acidification of environment • - secondary: economical (losses, abatement costs) and social (life quality) • Case study • - MeHg cycles, POP contamination, deposition models • Visualization (if any) • - acidification model SAFE/MAGIC, run with Southern Sweden values • - or ECOSENSE from EXTERNE: also health effects
the e-textbook IN-DEPTH = e-textbook (20-30 pages) Issue – full story , put in context of Sustainable Development EU-policies, in detail - UN/ECE protocols on long-range transport air pollution - Clean air directives – National emission ceilings – CAFE - Directives on hazardous substances, on heavy metals etc Russian policies Impacts and SIA assessment tools (recommended ones) - primary: acidification of environment - secondary economical (losses, abatement costs) and social (life quality, health effects) Case study - MeHg cycles, POP contamination, deposition models Visualization (if any) - illustration: acidification model SAFE/MAGIC ?, run with Southern Sweden values - or ECOSENSE from EXTERNE: also health effects
WP4 Models to be visualized ? “Consequently, the models to be visualized mostly describe mechanisms and local scenarios in a specific context of land-use, not complex regional models or coupled model systems”.( Annex 1 to Contract)