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Bond Exchange of South Africa. OECD POLICY SEMINAR “How to reduce debt costs in Southern Africa” “The Development of the South African Corporate bond market, relevance, impediments, prospects” TOM LAWLESS – CEO 25 MARCH 2004. TOPICS FOR DISCUSSION. Overview of Global Corporate Bond market
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Bond Exchange of South Africa OECD POLICY SEMINAR “How to reduce debt costs in Southern Africa” “The Development of the South African Corporate bond market, relevance, impediments, prospects” TOM LAWLESS – CEO 25 MARCH 2004
TOPICS FOR DISCUSSION • Overview of Global Corporate Bond market • Overview of SA bond market • Why is our market different? • Factors effecting change • Impacts of international banks in SA bond market • Areas of concern • Ways to get markets going • Prospects
APPENDICIES • Corporate bonds issued in last 12 Months • Bonds in issue 1999-2003 • Bonds in issue 2/2004 • Listing fees
OVERVIEW OF GLOBAL CORPORATE BOND MARKET • CORPORATE BONDS • US and Europe – big and vibrant markets • US > 4 million issues of bonds of all kinds – government, states, municipal, banks, mortgage backed etc. • Corporate bonds exceed government etc in number • Deutsche Bank spokesman • “Daily secondary market trading in MBS is now greater than US treasuries” • Issuance continuing • Re-rating of some issuers
OVERVIEW OF SA BOND MARKET • Predominantly a government bond market – 94% of turnover in 2003 (Spot & Repo) • Very Liquid market and high velocity of circulation - some 20 times per annum • Government bonds are some 72 % maturities, corporates and public enterprises etc. make up the balance . Corporate bonds in issue have grown from 2.82% in 1999 to 16.9% in 2/2004
Bond Market Turnover (Billion Rand Nominal Traded) 1995-2003
SPOT & REPO (Nominal Traded - Trillion) 1992 - 2003
Total Bond Market Turnover Breakdown by Major Issuer (Nominal Traded) 1995 to 2003
SPOT & REPO (Nominal Traded - Trillion) 1998 -2003
WHY ARE WE DIFFERENT? COMPLEX ISSUE – MANY REASONS ADVANCED • Preference for government, parastatal and bank paper • Greater risks not widely understood by trustees – particularly employee representatives • “ROE” of banks received less attention in past • Banks appetite for assets – more to lend to corporates than to list • Banks chasing market share in corporate finance world • Illiquid secondary market :- • little / no market making activity • No repo market
FACTORS AFFECTING CHANGE • Re-investment opportunities for coupon payments • More diversification in issues • Securitisations • Banks being more innovative • Capital better utilised elsewhere – Basle II impacts • Better pricing of corporate loans • New portfolio managers arriving • Differentiate from the old established firms • Easier to issue using DMTN type documentation – international banks influence • Cost of bond finance dropped dramatically • No stamp duties on issue
IMPACT OF INTERNATIONAL BANKS IN SA BOND MARKET • Changed the attitudes of corporates • Banks are fee driven not annuity income driven • Thus focus different – issue driven, more corporate issues • Issuance styles more towards DMTN • More comprehensive documentation – more European style • More international practice driven
AREAS OF CONCERN • Very few mortgage backed securities (MBS) • Why is there no “Ginnie Mae” type operation in South Africa? • Pathetically low savings ratios • Who Is doing anything to reverse this?? • Who should do it? • Illiquid secondary market:- • Little / no market making activity • No repo markets
THOUGHTS ON WAYS TO GET MARKETS GOING • Consolidate municipal debt into more manageable and attractive parcels • Public / private partnerships should be strongly encouraged to list debt • Get a “Ginnie Mae” off the ground • List money market instruments
THOUGHTS ON WAYS TO GET MARKETS GOING • Radical re-look needed at logic of taxing interest on savings • SA savings ratio is so low • Encourage, don’t discourage savings • List SA government currency debt here to encourage easier and further asset diversification • Invest in our own country in hard currency • This is not “dollarisation of the Rand” • Invest in municipal bonds of your city • Get a rebate on rates and taxes
PROSPECTS • Very promising • Rates low – encouraging environment in which to borrow • Offshore entities allowed to list – (2004/5 – National Budget) • Municipalities – encouraged to list - (2004/5 National Budget) • Enquiries increasing • Securitisations • Innovative ways coming to the fore
TOM LAWLESSTEL: (011) 482-2605 FAX: (011) 482-6699tomlawless@besa.za.comwww.besa.za.com
APPENDICES • CORPORATE BONDS LISTED – PAST 12 MONTHS • Corporates • Securitisation & Dual Listings • Programmes • GROWTH SINCE 1999 – R’ BILLION • TOTAL BONDS IN ISSUE • LISTING FEES
CORPORATE BONDS LISTED - PAST 12 MONTHS CORPORATES • Eagle Bonds One (Pty) Ltd R887 Million • Anglogold Ltd R2 Billion • Sasol Financing (Pty) Ltd R2 Billion • Imperial Group (Pty) Ltd R1 Billion • Lever Ponds (Pty) Ltd R2.5 Billion • African Bank Ltd R1 Billion • Firstrand Bank Ltd R1.3 Billion • Investec Bank Ltd R1 Billion • Development Bank of SA R2 Billion • SBSA (Credit-linked note) R1.2 Billion • Nedbank Ltd R500 Million • SBSA R1 Billion • Daimler Chrysler R2 Billion • Steinhoff Manufacturing (Pty) Ltd R1 Billion • SA National Road Agency Ltd R2.3 Billion • Trans-Caledon Tunnel Authority R1 Billion TOTAL R21.7 BILLION continued on next slide
CORPORATE BONDS LISTED - PAST 12 MONTHS Continued…….. SECURITISATIONS • AutoLoan Invest (BMW) R1.83 Billion • Collaterallised Auto Receivables (ABSA) R3 Billion • Equipment Rentals Securitisation (SASFIN) R670 Billion • Private Mortgages “PRIV” (Investec) R1.4 Billion • Thekwini Fund (SA Home Loans) R2 Billion • Indwa Investment Ltd (RMB) R4.2 Billion • Asset Backed Arbitrage (ABSA) R3.65 Billion • Infrastructure Finance Corporate Ltd R150 Million Total R13.25 Billion DUAL LISTINGS • Swaziland Posts & Telecoms R41 Million
CORPORATE BONDS LISTED - PAST 12 MONTHS Continued…….. PROGRAMMES • Lever Ponds (Pty) Ltd (CP) R1.5 Billion • Grayson Conduit (Pty) Ltd (Investec) (CP) R10 Billion • Eagle Bonds One (Pty) Ltd (DMTN) R930 Million • First Rand Bank Ltd (DMTN) R5 Billion • Investec Bank Ltd (DMTN) R10 Billion • Nedbank Ltd (DMTN) R10 Billion • Swaziland Posts & Telecommunications (DMTN) R500 Million Total R37.93 Billion
GROWTH SINCE 1999 – R’ BILLION 20031999 • Central Government R371.115 R327.106 • Municipal R .091 R .984 • Public Enterprises R 35.829 R 48.091 • Water Authorities R 18.415 R 11.086 • Banks R 30.256 R 7.149 • Securitisation R 21.232 R 1.247 • Other Corporates R 18.542 R 2.850 • Dual Listed R .041 R - • Commercial Paper R 11.300 R - TOTAL R506.921R398.513 CORPORATES 16.9% 2.82%
TOTAL BONDS IN ISSUE AS AT 29 FEB 2004 • Central Government R351.76 Billion • Municipal R 91 Million • Public Enterprises R 35.67 Billion • Water Authorities R 18.02 Billion • Corporates R 82.65 Billion • Banks R 31.44 Billion • Securitisation R 21.31 Billion • Gold Mining R 3.2 Billion • Chemical R 2 Billion • Food R 1 Billion • Household Goods R 1 Billion • Telecommunication R 5 Billion • Transport R 6.5 Billion • Credit Linked Notes R 1.5 Billion • Commercial Paper R 9.7 Billion • Dual Listing R 41 Million TOTAL R488.23 BILLION Corporates 16.9%
LISTING FEES • LISTINGS FEES - (BESA FEES) • INITIAL • R10,000 - R25,000 - once off fee (dependent on complexity) • ANNUAL REVISION FEE • ISSUE SIZEBASE FEES • 0 < R250m R 2 000 • R250m < R1 bn R 6 000 • R1 bn + nominal R12 000
LISTING FEES • ANNUAL • Comprises a base fee and a surcharge fee, payable annually • Base fee calculated accordingly to a fixed scale (previous slide) • Surchargecalculated accordingly to formula • Surcharge fee = market surcharge (R) X relative size (%) • Market surcharge amount is currently set at R1,5 million • OTHER FEES / COSTS associated with listings process • Lawyers • Arrangers • Road shows • Printing